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Exchange Rates

September Fed rate hike odds reduce after US August payrolls data; Fed chairs' rhetoric indicates outlook for hikes on track
6th Sep 16, 2:45pm
September Fed rate hike odds reduce after US August payrolls data; Fed chairs' rhetoric indicates outlook for hikes on track
Greenback rises in wake of Fed meeting; strong employment growth and higher wages would increase odd of Fed hike
30th Aug 16, 2:39pm
Greenback rises in wake of Fed meeting; strong employment growth and higher wages would increase odd of Fed hike
Investors focus on whether the US can extract one more rate hike this year; BoJ to take further steps to ease economic malaise; Wheelers speech causes spike in NZD
23rd Aug 16, 1:30pm
Investors focus on whether the US can extract one more rate hike this year; BoJ to take further steps to ease economic malaise; Wheelers speech causes spike in NZD
Indicators due out will show impact on UK of exit decision; NZD is range bound against majors, except GBP
16th Aug 16, 1:43pm
Indicators due out will show impact on UK of exit decision; NZD is range bound against majors, except GBP
US Nonfarm payrolls surprise raises Fed rate hike odds; further RBNZ rate cuts after August being mooted
9th Aug 16, 1:49pm
US Nonfarm payrolls surprise raises Fed rate hike odds; further RBNZ rate cuts after August being mooted
US GDP disappointment brings non-farm payrolls into spotlight; RBA favoured to set new historical low cash rate of 1.50%; BoE expected to cut when they meet Thursday
2nd Aug 16, 1:53pm
US GDP disappointment brings non-farm payrolls into spotlight; RBA favoured to set new historical low cash rate of 1.50%; BoE expected to cut when they meet Thursday
Eyes on FOMC and BoJ announcements; Australian inflation data could have policy implications for RBA
26th Jul 16, 3:23pm
Eyes on FOMC and BoJ announcements; Australian inflation data could have policy implications for RBA
Economist Rodney Dickens accuses the RBNZ policy makers being out of touch with "the coal face" and the consequence will be a painful retrenchment after an unnecessary boom
21st Jul 16, 12:41pm
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Economist Rodney Dickens accuses the RBNZ policy makers being out of touch with "the coal face" and the consequence will be a painful retrenchment after an unnecessary boom
NZD trades lower on negative interpretation of RBNZ interim briefing announcement; kiwi dollar a casualty of weaker CPI and RBNZ's crusade to slow housing market
19th Jul 16, 2:10pm
NZD trades lower on negative interpretation of RBNZ interim briefing announcement; kiwi dollar a casualty of weaker CPI and RBNZ's crusade to slow housing market
Equities pushed higher on US employment data; economic and political cracks appearing globally; NZD eases back from recent highs
12th Jul 16, 1:46pm
Equities pushed higher on US employment data; economic and political cracks appearing globally; NZD eases back from recent highs
Economist Rodney Dickens says the currency market is smarter than the Reserve Bank because it is much quicker at responding to economic news
12th Jul 16, 11:32am
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Economist Rodney Dickens says the currency market is smarter than the Reserve Bank because it is much quicker at responding to economic news
Aussie joins the fragile political environment party; another UK political figure sidesteps the UK EU backlash by resigning; UK businesses trying to stall exit from EU; other EU countries want own referendum on membership
5th Jul 16, 1:42pm
Aussie joins the fragile political environment party; another UK political figure sidesteps the UK EU backlash by resigning; UK businesses trying to stall exit from EU; other EU countries want own referendum on membership
Markets set for extended period of volatility; path ahead for UK uncertain; GBP falls 12% against USD to 1985 levels
28th Jun 16, 1:52pm
Markets set for extended period of volatility; path ahead for UK uncertain; GBP falls 12% against USD to 1985 levels
An update of where major markets ended the week following the UK vote to leave the European Union, as they affect New Zealand
25th Jun 16, 8:45am
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An update of where major markets ended the week following the UK vote to leave the European Union, as they affect New Zealand
Whatever the outcome of the Brexit vote, expect volatility to be high in the short-term; GBP/USD jumps most in 8-years
21st Jun 16, 2:37pm
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Whatever the outcome of the Brexit vote, expect volatility to be high in the short-term; GBP/USD jumps most in 8-years
Brexit polling and central bank meetings the focus for the market; prospects for dismantling of euro currency project if UK leaves EU; elevated volatility only sure bet this week
14th Jun 16, 1:46pm
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Brexit polling and central bank meetings the focus for the market; prospects for dismantling of euro currency project if UK leaves EU; elevated volatility only sure bet this week
US non-farm payroll data comes in below most pessimistic forecast; market discounting near term US rate hikes is warranted; sharp USD sell-off benefits NZD; upcoming UK referendum on EU membership dominates eurozone sentiment
7th Jun 16, 2:57pm
US non-farm payroll data comes in below most pessimistic forecast; market discounting near term US rate hikes is warranted; sharp USD sell-off benefits NZD; upcoming UK referendum on EU membership dominates eurozone sentiment
Orchestrated and aligned message from the Fed; NZ dollar trading with soft undertone against the AUD & GBP; Brexit polling may increase the vulnerability of support and resistance levels; USD volatility expected to remain high in near term
31st May 16, 1:44pm
Orchestrated and aligned message from the Fed; NZ dollar trading with soft undertone against the AUD & GBP; Brexit polling may increase the vulnerability of support and resistance levels; USD volatility expected to remain high in near term
FOMC meeting minutes reveal members ready to act on raising interest rates; Firmer USD erodes NZD gains; AUD facing downward momentum
24th May 16, 1:44pm
FOMC meeting minutes reveal members ready to act on raising interest rates; Firmer USD erodes NZD gains; AUD facing downward momentum
Key inflation data out of UK and US could be firmer; UK employment data could be softer; expectations of FOMC minutes showing an asymmetric balance of risks
17th May 16, 2:23pm
Key inflation data out of UK and US could be firmer; UK employment data could be softer; expectations of FOMC minutes showing an asymmetric balance of risks
Investors desert commodity currencies; previous gains in commodities had been result of speculative positioning; NZD marches lower against most majors, strengthens against AUD
10th May 16, 2:25pm
Investors desert commodity currencies; previous gains in commodities had been result of speculative positioning; NZD marches lower against most majors, strengthens against AUD
RBA decision front of mind for traders; soft US data results in NZD/USD pushing higher; combination of RBA & BoJ actions could mean hair-raising volatility for AUD/JPY
3rd May 16, 2:23pm
RBA decision front of mind for traders; soft US data results in NZD/USD pushing higher; combination of RBA & BoJ actions could mean hair-raising volatility for AUD/JPY
BoJ announcement likely to involve more stimulus, not likely to see even more negative interest rates; Fed not expected to hike rates; RBNZ statement should point to further easing
26th Apr 16, 2:48pm
BoJ announcement likely to involve more stimulus, not likely to see even more negative interest rates; Fed not expected to hike rates; RBNZ statement should point to further easing
Geopolitical tensions prevent Doha resolution; volatile week ahead for commodity-linked currencies; strong correlation between oil price and equities continues
19th Apr 16, 2:32pm
Geopolitical tensions prevent Doha resolution; volatile week ahead for commodity-linked currencies; strong correlation between oil price and equities continues
BoE continues to hint next interest rate move will be higher, market disagrees; strong rise in Yen creating headaches for BoJ; rise in NZD coming from commodity rally and USD weakness
12th Apr 16, 1:50pm
BoE continues to hint next interest rate move will be higher, market disagrees; strong rise in Yen creating headaches for BoJ; rise in NZD coming from commodity rally and USD weakness