Rodney Dickens

Articles by Rodney Dickens

28 Aug 18, 7:16am
Rodney Dickens criticises Auckland Council's economists, claiming their desire for higher density housing near rapid transport routes taints their analysis
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5 Aug 18, 7:33am
Rodney Dickens says be wary of MBIE's National Construction Pipeline reports, especially their estimates of future residential construction
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5 Jul 18, 5:00am
Rodney Dickens checks how reliable economic forecasters' employment growth predictions are and how useful the leading indicators of employment are
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3 Jun 18, 9:40am
Rodney Dickens says higher construction demand will soon attract building capacity, so KiwiBuild's demands will be responded to by industry without starving other sectors for long
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4 May 18, 12:25pm
Rodney Dickens doubts landlords' costs drive rents, suggesting it's more likely income growth does. But he finds there is confusion in the data with the biggest threat from inflation
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11 Mar 18, 5:02am
Rodney Dickens says section prices are the key to solving the housing affordability problem, not higher density around transport hubs. He warns against force-feeding in areas that won't deliver the intended outcome
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17 Jan 18, 2:49pm
Rodney Dickens says the business confidence surveys have major political bias, and he checks how accurately these surveys signal growth trends
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31 Oct 17, 5:02am
Rodney Dickens sees a risk that a cut to permanent migration will weigh on the tourism sector as visitors shy away from New Zealand - for reasons that are by no means clear
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3 Oct 17, 10:50am
Rodney Dickens looks at what drives global inflation, what drives New Zealand inflation, and is sceptical about how these forces will in turn influence our OCR
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31 Aug 17, 10:40am
Rodney Dickens says there won't be a major catch-up phase for residential building unless something significant is done to improve new housing affordability
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3 Aug 17, 2:01pm
Rodney Dickens says the effective OCR is well over double the 1.75% actual rate, and SMEs are paying that price for their working capital financing
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12 Jul 17, 11:44am
Rodney Dickens questions the threat technology poses to employment, noting that the new jobs that inevitably come are harder to see now than the ones that will be lost
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5 May 17, 8:34am
Auckland house price rises following Housing Accord to ‘boost supply’ means ‘10 steps back before a single step forward,’ Rodney Dickens says; Labour’s urban limit & infrastructure debt proposal “offers much more hope”
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13 Apr 17, 10:00am
Rodney Dickens says now that tourism is vying with dairying as our number one export earner, it is time to scrutinise its economic impact in more depth
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26 Mar 17, 7:52am
Rodney Dickens shows the NZD does not move in response to American benchmark interest rates. It is factors like relative economic growth and NZ export prices that really drive our exchange rate
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20 Mar 17, 12:54pm
Rodney Dickens says the huge disparities between reported GDP and employment growth raise more questions over the accuracy of critical official economic data
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28 Feb 17, 1:10pm
Rodney Dickens thinks underfunding of Statistics NZ is bringing a higher level of uncertainty to their releases, more revisions, and more difficulty in using them for policy making
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12 Feb 17, 7:47am
Rodney Dickens sees interest rates having to be increased to a level that will generate a hard landing for the economy, choking off immigration, and turning the housing market lower
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2 Dec 16, 10:11am
Rodney Dickens suggests how you should assess the numerous surveys and market indicators published about the economy, and how to draw conclusions from them
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5 Nov 16, 7:45am
Rodney Dickens claims the pressures building in our labour markets bring a major threat of sharply rising inflation. The RBNZ should be taking more notice, he says
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