OCR
Global risk sentiment supported by China's measures to "invigorate capital markets and boost investor activity". Global equities push higher; UST yields well contained, modestly lower
29th Aug 23, 7:34am
Global risk sentiment supported by China's measures to "invigorate capital markets and boost investor activity". Global equities push higher; UST yields well contained, modestly lower
Powell commits to restrictive policy until inflation beaten. Little market reaction. Lagarde says ECB will also stay restrictive
28th Aug 23, 7:20am
Powell commits to restrictive policy until inflation beaten. Little market reaction. Lagarde says ECB will also stay restrictive
US initial jobless claims data in sign of lingering labour market reslience. US Treasury yields higher, US equities lower and broad-based recovery in the USD
25th Aug 23, 8:03am
US initial jobless claims data in sign of lingering labour market reslience. US Treasury yields higher, US equities lower and broad-based recovery in the USD
US and EU PMI surveys point to a greater than expected slowdown in economic activity. This weak data contributed to a large move lower in global bond yields. Initial weakness in European currencies reverse as US data also disappoints
24th Aug 23, 7:52am
US and EU PMI surveys point to a greater than expected slowdown in economic activity. This weak data contributed to a large move lower in global bond yields. Initial weakness in European currencies reverse as US data also disappoints
[updated]
Stats NZ figures show that retail sales volumes have fallen for a third quarter in a row, with figures only propped up somewhat by a surge in motor vehicle sales to beat changes to the Clean Car Discount Scheme
23rd Aug 23, 11:28am
60
Stats NZ figures show that retail sales volumes have fallen for a third quarter in a row, with figures only propped up somewhat by a surge in motor vehicle sales to beat changes to the Clean Car Discount Scheme
US 10-year rate touches a fresh 16-year high before consolidating. Currency markets well contained. NZ-global rate spreads higher; NZGBs out of favour, seeing bond-swap spread head deeper into negative territory, a rare event
23rd Aug 23, 7:50am
US 10-year rate touches a fresh 16-year high before consolidating. Currency markets well contained. NZ-global rate spreads higher; NZGBs out of favour, seeing bond-swap spread head deeper into negative territory, a rare event
A major bank offers 6% for a term deposit, as ANZ raises some key rates and adopts that rate for an 18-month term
22nd Aug 23, 7:04pm
50
A major bank offers 6% for a term deposit, as ANZ raises some key rates and adopts that rate for an 18-month term
If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
22nd Aug 23, 11:34am
54
If the economy develops as expected, with very weak economic activity and falling inflation, then 'we should start talking more about rate cuts as we head into next year', Kiwibank economists say
US Treasuries record new milestones, with the real 10-year rate up through 2% and the nominal 10-year rate as high as 4.35%. NZGBs underperform, not helped by expectations of more bond supply adding to the current tsunami of supply
22nd Aug 23, 7:40am
US Treasuries record new milestones, with the real 10-year rate up through 2% and the nominal 10-year rate as high as 4.35%. NZGBs underperform, not helped by expectations of more bond supply adding to the current tsunami of supply
Westpac economists say if the RBNZ's judgement is wrong, then New Zealand could be facing a protracted period of strong domestic inflation pressures
21st Aug 23, 2:23pm
49
Westpac economists say if the RBNZ's judgement is wrong, then New Zealand could be facing a protracted period of strong domestic inflation pressures
Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Karen Silk says the Official Cash Rate is working despite sticky core inflation and record high employment
21st Aug 23, 9:41am
20
Reserve Bank Assistant Governor Karen Silk says the Official Cash Rate is working despite sticky core inflation and record high employment
US treasury yields marginally lower but remain close to cycle highs. US Dollar stable. But the MSCI World Index declined 2.5% during last week which is the largest fall since the US banking crisis in March
21st Aug 23, 7:33am
US treasury yields marginally lower but remain close to cycle highs. US Dollar stable. But the MSCI World Index declined 2.5% during last week which is the largest fall since the US banking crisis in March
Global rates continue to rise, led by the long end; US 10-year rate trades high; NZ 10-year rate closes at 5.05%, highest level since 2011. Weaker yuan drags down NZD and AUD to fresh lows before Chinese state intervention provides some relief
18th Aug 23, 7:40am
1
Global rates continue to rise, led by the long end; US 10-year rate trades high; NZ 10-year rate closes at 5.05%, highest level since 2011. Weaker yuan drags down NZD and AUD to fresh lows before Chinese state intervention provides some relief
Stocks fell in Asia reflecting ongoing concerns about the Chinese economy and the growing debt crisis in the property sector. The FOMC minutes revealed most see significant upside risks to inflation which could require further tightening
17th Aug 23, 8:09am
Stocks fell in Asia reflecting ongoing concerns about the Chinese economy and the growing debt crisis in the property sector. The FOMC minutes revealed most see significant upside risks to inflation which could require further tightening
The Reserve Bank could lift the Official Cash Rate one more time early in 2024
17th Aug 23, 5:00am
21
The Reserve Bank could lift the Official Cash Rate one more time early in 2024
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
16th Aug 23, 2:18pm
99
Reserve Bank leaves Official Cash Rate unchanged at 5.50% but says interest rates need to remain at a restrictive level for some time
Strong US retail sales; strong UK wage inflation; poor China activity data and surprise PBoC rate cut; strong Japan GDP, and another poor GDT dairy auction. NZD resilient under the circumstances
16th Aug 23, 7:56am
Strong US retail sales; strong UK wage inflation; poor China activity data and surprise PBoC rate cut; strong Japan GDP, and another poor GDT dairy auction. NZD resilient under the circumstances
[updated]
A survey for the Reserve Bank shows that households think inflation is going to be NEARLY back in the RBNZ's 1% to 3% target range in two years' time, while house prices will rise next year and continue to rise
15th Aug 23, 3:43pm
44
A survey for the Reserve Bank shows that households think inflation is going to be NEARLY back in the RBNZ's 1% to 3% target range in two years' time, while house prices will rise next year and continue to rise
Sentiment on China remains pessimistic. Large shadow bank under the spotlight after missed bond payments. UST 10yr rate hits fresh high for the year. NZGB 10-year yield closed at its highest level since 2011
15th Aug 23, 7:41am
1
Sentiment on China remains pessimistic. Large shadow bank under the spotlight after missed bond payments. UST 10yr rate hits fresh high for the year. NZGB 10-year yield closed at its highest level since 2011
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
14th Aug 23, 11:37am
17
While the Reserve Bank's widely expected to keep the Official Cash Rate unchanged this week, some experts on NZIER's 'Shadow Board' think higher rates are needed
Above consensus US PPI data raised concerns the downshift in core prices has stalled. UST yields higher with 10-year back towards the highs for 2023. University of Michigan inflation expectations fell
14th Aug 23, 7:25am
Above consensus US PPI data raised concerns the downshift in core prices has stalled. UST yields higher with 10-year back towards the highs for 2023. University of Michigan inflation expectations fell
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming OCR review, saying all eyes will be on its updated economic forecasts & whether it has changed its opinion on the path of inflation & interest rates
13th Aug 23, 6:00am
54
David Hargreaves examines the Reserve Bank's forthcoming OCR review, saying all eyes will be on its updated economic forecasts & whether it has changed its opinion on the path of inflation & interest rates
Another benign US CPI result, core up 0.16% m/m, adding to the case that the Fed tightening cycle might be done. Tepid 30-year US bond auction drags up long end of the curve
11th Aug 23, 7:48am
Another benign US CPI result, core up 0.16% m/m, adding to the case that the Fed tightening cycle might be done. Tepid 30-year US bond auction drags up long end of the curve
USTs and currency markets stay in narrow ranges ahead of US CPI. Brent crude at $88/bbl, the highest levels since January and up 20% since June on tightening supply. China consumer and producer prices both fell
10th Aug 23, 8:03am
USTs and currency markets stay in narrow ranges ahead of US CPI. Brent crude at $88/bbl, the highest levels since January and up 20% since June on tightening supply. China consumer and producer prices both fell
[updated]
Influential RBNZ survey shows a slight rise in the expected level of inflation in two years time
9th Aug 23, 3:22pm
17
Influential RBNZ survey shows a slight rise in the expected level of inflation in two years time