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Recession

Stephen Roach is getting that 1970s feeling from the Federal Reserve's sanguine view of recent price data
26th May 21, 9:49am
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Stephen Roach is getting that 1970s feeling from the Federal Reserve's sanguine view of recent price data
Stephen Roach explains why he expected a double-dip US recession this year, and why that call now lies in tatters
25th Apr 21, 8:59am
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Stephen Roach explains why he expected a double-dip US recession this year, and why that call now lies in tatters
Pinelopi Goldberg points out that poor countries aren't becoming richer so much as rich countries are becoming poorer
30th Jan 21, 3:35pm
by Guest
1
Pinelopi Goldberg points out that poor countries aren't becoming richer so much as rich countries are becoming poorer
Stephen Roach explains why the negative impact on supply and demand will not end when the pandemic does
28th Dec 20, 7:59am
by Guest
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Stephen Roach explains why the negative impact on supply and demand will not end when the pandemic does
David Hargreaves with a wish list for 2021, which includes vaccines, open borders and cooling house prices
13th Dec 20, 7:02am
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David Hargreaves with a wish list for 2021, which includes vaccines, open borders and cooling house prices
David Hargreaves reviews 2020 - a year that proved to be anything but the 'stable and boring' one he was looking for
6th Dec 20, 6:31am
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David Hargreaves reviews 2020 - a year that proved to be anything but the 'stable and boring' one he was looking for
Stephen Roach points out that while a COVID-19 vaccine promises a spring of hope, a winter of despair is coming first for the US
25th Nov 20, 12:27pm
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Stephen Roach points out that while a COVID-19 vaccine promises a spring of hope, a winter of despair is coming first for the US
Massey's Alison Brook investigates the current fad to decouple from globalisation. Are we about to jump from efficient but painful global settings into inefficient and even more painful policies?
11th Nov 20, 10:17am
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Massey's Alison Brook investigates the current fad to decouple from globalisation. Are we about to jump from efficient but painful global settings into inefficient and even more painful policies?
Massey's Alison Brook explains why a K-shaped recovery is what we are heading for and the four factors that make it the most likely outcome
22nd Oct 20, 7:40am
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Massey's Alison Brook explains why a K-shaped recovery is what we are heading for and the four factors that make it the most likely outcome
Economist Brian Easton says the economy has been through a traumatic experience. Prospects look sobering
12th Oct 20, 9:21am
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Economist Brian Easton says the economy has been through a traumatic experience. Prospects look sobering
Mohamed El-Erian thinks markets should be more worried about the faltering policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis
8th Oct 20, 10:27am
by Guest
Mohamed El-Erian thinks markets should be more worried about the faltering policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis
Economist Brian Easton says much of the commentariat’s reporting of the most recent GDP figure was misleading and unhelpful
23rd Sep 20, 9:09am
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Economist Brian Easton says much of the commentariat’s reporting of the most recent GDP figure was misleading and unhelpful
Gareth Vaughan on natural rate of unemployment dogma, justifying equity bull markets, Melbourne battles on, from tourism to nappies, and the US electoral tinderbox
4th Sep 20, 12:33pm
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Gareth Vaughan on natural rate of unemployment dogma, justifying equity bull markets, Melbourne battles on, from tourism to nappies, and the US electoral tinderbox
Eswar Prasad explains why a new version of the renminbi will fail to challenge the US dollar's dominance
26th Aug 20, 1:40pm
by Guest
10
Eswar Prasad explains why a new version of the renminbi will fail to challenge the US dollar's dominance
Stephen Roach argues that the pandemic's continuing impact on consumer demand all but rules out a V-shaped recovery
26th Aug 20, 10:59am
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Stephen Roach argues that the pandemic's continuing impact on consumer demand all but rules out a V-shaped recovery
Gareth Vaughan on the lack of a positive impact from QE on bank lending, everything is going to be repriced, stealing from our kids, the degrowth movement, reported COVID-19 deaths & excess deaths
20th Aug 20, 9:04am
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Gareth Vaughan on the lack of a positive impact from QE on bank lending, everything is going to be repriced, stealing from our kids, the degrowth movement, reported COVID-19 deaths & excess deaths
ASB economists have crunched the numbers on what the current alert level settings may mean for the economy - and what impact a broader lockdown would have
13th Aug 20, 9:32am
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ASB economists have crunched the numbers on what the current alert level settings may mean for the economy - and what impact a broader lockdown would have
Grant Robertson remains committed to reducing government debt long-term, saying Modern Monetary Theory isn't an approach he's looking to adopt
6th Aug 20, 9:23am
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Grant Robertson remains committed to reducing government debt long-term, saying Modern Monetary Theory isn't an approach he's looking to adopt
Bernstein analysts suggest the scale and social impact of the public policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic will ultimately prove inflationary
22nd Jul 20, 3:39pm
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Bernstein analysts suggest the scale and social impact of the public policy response to the COVID-19 pandemic will ultimately prove inflationary
ANZ economists now say the downturn in the housing market will come later - at the end of this year and into next
21st Jul 20, 2:56pm
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ANZ economists now say the downturn in the housing market will come later - at the end of this year and into next
Pinelopi Goldberg highlights several reasons why advanced economies have an interest in helping developing countries
18th Jul 20, 11:16am
by Guest
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Pinelopi Goldberg highlights several reasons why advanced economies have an interest in helping developing countries
Patrick Watson of Mauldin Economics says airlines and travel, the sharing economy and commercial real estate may never be the same thanks to COVID-19
1st Jul 20, 11:20am
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Patrick Watson of Mauldin Economics says airlines and travel, the sharing economy and commercial real estate may never be the same thanks to COVID-19
New economic index being published by Treasury shows that activity plummeted 19% in April compared with a year earlier but then bounced back in May
30th Jun 20, 11:48am
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New economic index being published by Treasury shows that activity plummeted 19% in April compared with a year earlier but then bounced back in May
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the New Zealand economy is heading for a 'V-shaped bounce back' while Australia faces a 'U-shaped economic recovery'
30th Jun 20, 10:20am
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HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the New Zealand economy is heading for a 'V-shaped bounce back' while Australia faces a 'U-shaped economic recovery'
GDP figures out this week for the March quarter will show a fall in economic activity - but this will just be a taste of what is to come in the June quarter
15th Jun 20, 11:11am
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GDP figures out this week for the March quarter will show a fall in economic activity - but this will just be a taste of what is to come in the June quarter