Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you already work from home, before you shutdown your laptop).
MORTGAGE/LOAN RATE CHANGES
Nothing to report.
TERM DEPOSIT/SAVINGS RATE CHANGES
ANZ raised their rate card to match BNZ and Kiwibank. That has been followed by Westpac. More here. And here.
INFLATION BITES HOUSEHOLDS HARDER
Statistics NZ says the cost of living for households rose +7.2% in the year to June 2023, while food prices increased by some +12.7% for the average household.
NO SHORTAGE OF DEMAND
More than $1.7 bln was bid today in 148 separate bids for the $500 mln offered in the latest NZ Government Bond tenders. There were three tenors, all popular and all achieved yields very similar to the tender of the same tenors two weeks ago. More than $1.2 bln went unsatisfied today so there is no shortage of demand.
STUCK IN A ZOMBIE RUT
China industrial profits data has been released for June showing them falling -8.3% from June a year ago. This is better than anticipated because the decline for the first half of the year rolls up to -16.8%. That indicates the profit pressures are receding somewhat. That said, "operating income" has been bouncing along at break even for every month of 2023 and that is indicative of a zombie situation. Given the companies tracked in this data series are large state-owned enterprises mainly, that isn't a good thing.
22 YEAR HIGH
The US Federal Reserve raised its policy rate by +25 bps to 5.5%, in line with market expectations and to the same level as the RBNZ OCR. It takes American benchmark borrowing costs to the highest level since January 2001.
SWAPS ON HOLD
Wholesale swap rates are probably little-changed today. However, the real action in swap rates comes near the close. Our chart will record the final positions. The 90 day bank bill rate is unchanged at 5.66% and now +16 bps above the 5.50% OCR. The Australian 10 year bond yield is down -7 bps at 3.95%. The China 10 year bond rate is down -2 bps at 2.68%. And the NZ Government 10 year bond rate is unchanged from yesterday at 4.69%, but still higher than the earlier RBNZ fix which was down -2 bps at 4.64%. The UST 10 year yield is down -4 bps at 3.86% today.
EQUITIES UP EXCEPT WALL STREET
The NZX50 is marginally firmer late in its Thursday session, now up +0.1% near the close. The ASX200 is up +0.7% in afternoon trade. Tokyo is up +0.2% in morning trade. Hong Kong is up +1.5% today in early trade. Shanghai is up +0.5%. Wall Street ended its Wednesday session essentially unchanged.
GOLD RISES
In early Asian trade, gold is at US$1980/oz and up +US$18 from yesterday. It closed earlier in New York at US$1972/oz and earlier still at US$1966/oz in London.
NZD STABLE
The Kiwi dollar is up more than +½c from this time yesterday, now at just on 62.6 USc. Against the Aussie we are firmish at 92 AUc. Against the euro we also firm at 56.4 euro cents. That means the TWI-5 is up to 70.1.
BITCOIN STILL STUCK
The bitcoin price is little-changed again from this time yesterday at US$29,359 which was up only +0.6%. Volatility has been low at just over +/- 0.9%.
Daily exchange rates
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Daily swap rates
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This soil moisture chart is animated here.
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