Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.
MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
SBS Bank dropped its six month fixed rate down -60 bps to 2.79%, a rate lower than any other bank for that term other than the Co-operative Bank.
TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
China Construction Bank raise many TD rates, for terms 9 months to 4 years.
HARD FALL
Overseas worker numbers arriving are down by -36,840 since March 2020, down -17% from peak, with overseas student numbers down -40%.
APPROVED
Medsafe has now approved the Pfizer vaccine for 12-15 year olds. This is no surprisre however as it has already been approved for 12-15-year-olds in Canada, the USA, Europe, and Japan.
NEIGHBOUR IN TROUBLE
Things are grim in Fiji today COVID-wise with their Government all but admitting they have lost control of it there in the Central Division, which is the half of Viti Levu around Suva. The fast spread is the Delta (Indian) strain and raises the risks for its Pacific neighbours (including New Zealand).
AGGRESSIVE ACQUIRER
Mercury continues its buying spree with a $441 mln deal to buy the TrustPower retail arm. It says it will have about 780,000 connections across both energy and telco services once the acquisition is completed.
FEW SELLERS
There are now 100 fewer dairy farms offered for sale in New Zealand than at this time in 2020. The decline has been rapid recently, halving since the start of the year to just 142 available now. The numbers for mid June in 2016, 2017, 2018,2019 and 2020 were are similar. It is 2021 that is unusually low.
CHEAP(ER) HYDROGEN
Energy company ENEOS is to build a new facility in Japan that manufactures hydrogen without carbon dioxide emissions, at one-third the current cost, and taking it down to NZ$4.30/kg. Japan is betting big that it will be hydrogen and not electrics that power our future vehicles. The environmental consequences of hydrogen are far, far less than for lithium-powered vehicles - and they can handle the heavy transport requirements. Further, they use existing ICE technologies. China is pushing down this path too.
STUNTED
Australian retail sales rose less than expected in May. The snap lockdown in Melbourne in that month kept things restrained. A national rise of +0.5% from April was expected but it came in at +0.1%. However, the -1.5% fall in Victoria was offset by +1.5% rises in Queensland and Western Australia. Separate NSW data wasn't released. Year-on-year the national retail sales were +7.4% higher than for May 2020. Compared with May 2019 the May 2021 sales are 13.6% higher.
GOLD STABILISES
Compared to where it ended on Saturday, the gold price is up +US$8 and now at US$1772/oz in early Asian trading.
EQUITY MARKETS FLASH TOUGH RE-RATING SIGNALS
The NZX50 Capital Index is retreating to start the week, down -0.4% in late trade after starting positive. The ASX200 is getting thrashed by comparison, down -1.7% in early afternoon trade. But that is nothing like the Tokyo market which is down -3.4% in early trade. By comparison, the Hong Kong dip of -1.3% in early trade and the small Shanghai -0.3% dip seem tame. The S&P500 futures market is down -0.6% and suggesting Wall Street will start its week on the back foot. The markdown seems to be because markets believe Fed rate rises are coming, and are repricing based on the new higher yield requirements.
SWAP & BONDS YIELDS FLATTEN
Update: Short term swap rates rose sharply today, continuing the up-trend. The two year rose another +5 bps. Over the past eight weeks, that is a +30 bps rise. The ten year fell -4 bps. We don't have today's closing swap rates yet. If there are significant changes again today, we will update this item. They probably held, little-changed. The 90 day bank bill rate is unchanged at 0.33%. The Australian Govt ten year benchmark rate is unchanged from this morning at 1.51%. The China Govt ten year bond is down -2 at just under 3.13%. The New Zealand Govt ten year is down -4 bps at 1.76% but still above the earlier RBNZ fix of 1.75% (unchanged). The US Govt ten year is down another -2 bps to 1.42% from this morning and a rather steep -10 bps from this time on Friday. Interestingly short-term rates are rising which is flattening their curves fast.
NZ DOLLAR HOLDING LOW
The Kiwi dollar has recovered a minor +30 bps from where we opened this morning and is now at 69.6 USc. Against the Aussie we are still at 92.7 AUc. Against the euro we are at 58.6 euro cents. That means the TWI-5 is at 72.2.
BITCOIN OFF ITS RECENT LOWS
The bitcoin price is now at US$34,800 and up +0.7% from where we started this morning. Volatility in the past 24 hours has been very high at +/- 4.1%. It might be a big week for bitcoin and its future direction.
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