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Stephen Roach

About

Member for

5 years 11 months

Latest articles

Stephen Roach on US monetary tightening, China's growth sacrifice, the Sino-American rivalry, and more
10th Nov 22, 12:27pm
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Stephen Roach on US monetary tightening, China's growth sacrifice, the Sino-American rivalry, and more
Stephen Roach says the CCP's 20th Party Congress in Beijing confirmed national security will take precedence over economic growth
25th Oct 22, 11:32am
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Stephen Roach says the CCP's 20th Party Congress in Beijing confirmed national security will take precedence over economic growth
Stephen Roach thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders
28th Sep 22, 9:11am
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Stephen Roach thinks the US central bank and Chinese governance share a conceptual weakness leading to major policy blunders
Stephen Roach says that three factors have shaved nearly 3.5 percentage points from China's output gains since 2012
24th Aug 22, 11:54am
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Stephen Roach says that three factors have shaved nearly 3.5 percentage points from China's output gains since 2012
Stephen Roach thinks China, who benefited the most from global trade growth, could now lose the most
26th Jul 22, 9:26am
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Stephen Roach thinks China, who benefited the most from global trade growth, could now lose the most
Stephen Roach revisits his 2020 prediction of a dollar crash and explains why he got it perfectly wrong
28th Jun 22, 10:03am
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Stephen Roach revisits his 2020 prediction of a dollar crash and explains why he got it perfectly wrong
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
27th May 22, 10:52am
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Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
Stephen Roach says predictions of 'the perfect soft landing' for the global economy could be wishful thinking
26th Apr 22, 3:59pm
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Stephen Roach says predictions of 'the perfect soft landing' for the global economy could be wishful thinking
Stephen Roach et al. call on China's leaders to leverage their partnership with Russia to stand up for peace in Ukraine
20th Mar 22, 9:23am
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Stephen Roach et al. call on China's leaders to leverage their partnership with Russia to stand up for peace in Ukraine
Stephen Roach proposes three ways Chinese policymakers can take the lead in restoring peace and stability
12th Mar 22, 4:16pm
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Stephen Roach proposes three ways Chinese policymakers can take the lead in restoring peace and stability
Stephen Roach thinks China's President Xi Jinping will need to revisit the cooperation agreement he forged with Vladimir Putin
8th Mar 22, 2:21pm
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Stephen Roach thinks China's President Xi Jinping will need to revisit the cooperation agreement he forged with Vladimir Putin
Stephen Roach warns that American monetary policymakers are so far behind the inflation curve that they can't even see it
25th Jan 22, 9:59am
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Stephen Roach warns that American monetary policymakers are so far behind the inflation curve that they can't even see it
Stephen Roach urges the governors of the US Fed to acknowledge - and soon - that the 'transitory inflation' debate is over in the US
23rd Nov 21, 12:06pm
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Stephen Roach urges the governors of the US Fed to acknowledge - and soon - that the 'transitory inflation' debate is over in the US
Stephen Roach thinks financial markets are right to worry about China's economic prospects, but for the wrong reasons
28th Sep 21, 9:13am
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Stephen Roach thinks financial markets are right to worry about China's economic prospects, but for the wrong reasons
Stephen Roach worries that the recent official crackdown on tech companies will strangle the Chinese economiy's most dynamic sector
28th Jul 21, 10:09am
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Stephen Roach worries that the recent official crackdown on tech companies will strangle the Chinese economiy's most dynamic sector
Stephen Roach is getting that 1970s feeling from the Federal Reserve's sanguine view of recent price data
26th May 21, 9:49am
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Stephen Roach is getting that 1970s feeling from the Federal Reserve's sanguine view of recent price data
Stephen Roach explains why he expected a double-dip US recession this year, and why that call now lies in tatters
25th Apr 21, 8:59am
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Stephen Roach explains why he expected a double-dip US recession this year, and why that call now lies in tatters
Stephen Roach hopes US President Joe Biden can muster the courage to renounce his predecessor's failed but popular approach to relations with China
24th Mar 21, 11:40am
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Stephen Roach hopes US President Joe Biden can muster the courage to renounce his predecessor's failed but popular approach to relations with China
Stephen Roach cautions that lasting scarring in face-to-face services will limit the rebound in consumption - and employment
23rd Feb 21, 12:18pm
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Stephen Roach cautions that lasting scarring in face-to-face services will limit the rebound in consumption - and employment
Stephen Roach interrogates the distinction between US-style cyber-libertarianism and Chinese-style digital surveillance
21st Jan 21, 12:28pm
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Stephen Roach interrogates the distinction between US-style cyber-libertarianism and Chinese-style digital surveillance
Stephen Roach points out that while a COVID-19 vaccine promises a spring of hope, a winter of despair is coming first for the US
25th Nov 20, 12:27pm
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Stephen Roach points out that while a COVID-19 vaccine promises a spring of hope, a winter of despair is coming first for the US
Stephen Roach says that negative net domestic saving in the US and a soaring current-account deficit will weaken the greenback fast
26th Sep 20, 9:37am
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Stephen Roach says that negative net domestic saving in the US and a soaring current-account deficit will weaken the greenback fast
Stephen Roach argues that the pandemic's continuing impact on consumer demand all but rules out a V-shaped recovery
26th Aug 20, 10:59am
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Stephen Roach argues that the pandemic's continuing impact on consumer demand all but rules out a V-shaped recovery
Stephen Roach explains why the newly approved EU rescue fund represents another nail in the coffin of US dollar hegemony
23rd Jul 20, 11:36am
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Stephen Roach explains why the newly approved EU rescue fund represents another nail in the coffin of US dollar hegemony
Stephen Roach argues that further pressure on the US net savings rate will force a rapid and sharp devaluation of the American currency
24th Jun 20, 8:50am
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Stephen Roach argues that further pressure on the US net savings rate will force a rapid and sharp devaluation of the American currency