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David Chaston

About

David Chaston is the publisher of interest.co.nz and is commited to ensuring readers get the latest information on interest rates, and the forces that move them.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

US consumption remains resilient; EU sentiment stays very low; German inflation worse but economy expands; some key commodity prices sink; UST 10yr 4.01%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 58 USc; TWI-5 = 68.3
29th Oct 22, 8:53am
42
US consumption remains resilient; EU sentiment stays very low; German inflation worse but economy expands; some key commodity prices sink; UST 10yr 4.01%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 58 USc; TWI-5 = 68.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; latest property transfer stats, consumer confidence stays low, a La Niña summer coming, swaps fall hard again, NZD rises (again), & more
28th Oct 22, 3:59pm
19
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; latest property transfer stats, consumer confidence stays low, a La Niña summer coming, swaps fall hard again, NZD rises (again), & more
US economy resilient; China and Taiwan report soft data; ECB raised rates +75 bps; German sentiment improves; freight rates fall faster; UST 10yr 3.96%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.4 USc; TWI-5 = 68.5
28th Oct 22, 7:35am
65
US economy resilient; China and Taiwan report soft data; ECB raised rates +75 bps; German sentiment improves; freight rates fall faster; UST 10yr 3.96%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.4 USc; TWI-5 = 68.5
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; many retail rate rises, new fee-free credit card, ANZ profits jump 20%, investors rush NZGBs, more FLP, swaps fall, NZD rises, & more
27th Oct 22, 3:59pm
45
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; many retail rate rises, new fee-free credit card, ANZ profits jump 20%, investors rush NZGBs, more FLP, swaps fall, NZD rises, & more
[updated]
A 5% offer for a one year term deposit has burst on to the scene for savers, potentially up-ending the current rate cards of other banks. But despite this, TD rates have been rising anyway, and compared to home loan rates, aren't much out of line
27th Oct 22, 11:57am
37
A 5% offer for a one year term deposit has burst on to the scene for savers, potentially up-ending the current rate cards of other banks. But despite this, TD rates have been rising anyway, and compared to home loan rates, aren't much out of line
US new home sales stay low; US trade deficit stays high; Canada raises rates less than expected; Wuhan back in partial lockdown; Aussie CPI up more than expected; UST 10yr 4.02%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.3 USc; TWI-5 = 68.2
27th Oct 22, 7:28am
113
US new home sales stay low; US trade deficit stays high; Canada raises rates less than expected; Wuhan back in partial lockdown; Aussie CPI up more than expected; UST 10yr 4.02%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.3 USc; TWI-5 = 68.2
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; many big retail rate increases, business sentiment drops, farm sales slump, new housing supply jumps, swaps fall and flatten, NZD stable, & more
26th Oct 22, 3:59pm
23
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; many big retail rate increases, business sentiment drops, farm sales slump, new housing supply jumps, swaps fall and flatten, NZD stable, & more
[updated]
ASB and HSBC are the next to raise fixed home loan rates. A feature is the steepness of their hikes for terms of 4 and 5 years. Both raised TD rates too, with ASB matching Kiwibank with a 4.5% one year offer. BNZ raises rates too
26th Oct 22, 8:46am
25
ASB and HSBC are the next to raise fixed home loan rates. A feature is the steepness of their hikes for terms of 4 and 5 years. Both raised TD rates too, with ASB matching Kiwibank with a 4.5% one year offer. BNZ raises rates too
US data soft; China deficit huge; Japan stops buying USTs; Germany hangs in there; California rises; Aussie budget makes major changes; UST 10yr 4.09%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 57.4 USc; TWI-5 = 67.8
26th Oct 22, 7:27am
73
US data soft; China deficit huge; Japan stops buying USTs; Germany hangs in there; California rises; Aussie budget makes major changes; UST 10yr 4.09%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 57.4 USc; TWI-5 = 67.8
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; rate change front quiet, auction activity low, home loan affordability worse, population growth low, swaps retreat, NZD stable, & more
25th Oct 22, 3:59pm
13
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; rate change front quiet, auction activity low, home loan affordability worse, population growth low, swaps retreat, NZD stable, & more
US service sector contracts; markets fear Xi's new team; Chinese data inconsistent; Japan defends the yen; EU PMIs soft; eyes on Aussie CPI; UST 10yr 4.23%; gold and oil lower; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 67.5
25th Oct 22, 7:19am
76
US service sector contracts; markets fear Xi's new team; Chinese data inconsistent; Japan defends the yen; EU PMIs soft; eyes on Aussie CPI; UST 10yr 4.23%; gold and oil lower; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 67.5
Xi anointed as expected; Chinese housing sales fade further; global credit threats rise, car loans and commercial property eyed; Japan supports the yen; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 57.6 USc; TWI-5 = 68.1
24th Oct 22, 8:01am
79
Xi anointed as expected; Chinese housing sales fade further; global credit threats rise, car loans and commercial property eyed; Japan supports the yen; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 57.6 USc; TWI-5 = 68.1
Eyes on financial market judgments; US Fed shrinks its balance sheet; Japan intervenes to save the yen; China's economy struggles; eyes on Aussie CPI; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold up and oil flat; NZ$1 = 57.6 USc; TWI-5 = 68.1
22nd Oct 22, 8:49am
100
Eyes on financial market judgments; US Fed shrinks its balance sheet; Japan intervenes to save the yen; China's economy struggles; eyes on Aussie CPI; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold up and oil flat; NZ$1 = 57.6 USc; TWI-5 = 68.1
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Many retail rate hikes, another bad trade deficit, credit card data shows early sign of stress, swaps little changed, NZD stable, & more
21st Oct 22, 3:59pm
83
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; Many retail rate hikes, another bad trade deficit, credit card data shows early sign of stress, swaps little changed, NZD stable, & more
Kiwibank is the next major bank to raised interest rates for both borrowers and savers, but because we are in the middle of a sharp global shift higher, New Zealand banks may have to move up again in the coming week or so
21st Oct 22, 9:31am
49
Kiwibank is the next major bank to raised interest rates for both borrowers and savers, but because we are in the middle of a sharp global shift higher, New Zealand banks may have to move up again in the coming week or so
US labour market strong but some sectors not; China to attack wealth accumulation; Yen sinks; container shipping costs fall again; Victoria to renationalise power sector; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 67.9
21st Oct 22, 7:33am
147
US labour market strong but some sectors not; China to attack wealth accumulation; Yen sinks; container shipping costs fall again; Victoria to renationalise power sector; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 57 USc; TWI-5 = 67.9
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac moves on fixed rates too, AIA reports surge, Fonterra unhappy with Govt., household net worth dives, swaps up sharply again, NZD dips, & more
20th Oct 22, 3:59pm
51
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac moves on fixed rates too, AIA reports surge, Fonterra unhappy with Govt., household net worth dives, swaps up sharply again, NZD dips, & more
[updated]
Fixed home loan rate rises are spreading with another major mortgage lender pushing through big increases. But in the background the causes are rising even further, meaning this won't end soon
20th Oct 22, 3:51pm
43
Fixed home loan rate rises are spreading with another major mortgage lender pushing through big increases. But in the background the causes are rising even further, meaning this won't end soon
US data mixed but Beige Book confirms expansion; CPI data from Canada, EU and UK all high; lithium price in new surge; UST 10yr 4.11%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI-5 = 67.5
20th Oct 22, 7:19am
126
US data mixed but Beige Book confirms expansion; CPI data from Canada, EU and UK all high; lithium price in new surge; UST 10yr 4.11%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI-5 = 67.5
[updated]
ANZ first to react to the much higher wholesale swap rates flowing from the surprise CPI data. Bank raises fixed home loan rates by about +45 bps and term deposit rates by about +30 bps
19th Oct 22, 4:11pm
155
ANZ first to react to the much higher wholesale swap rates flowing from the surprise CPI data. Bank raises fixed home loan rates by about +45 bps and term deposit rates by about +30 bps
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; weak dairy auction, InvestNow warned, NZIER wants evidence used, Australia wetter, swaps up again, NZD firm, & more
19th Oct 22, 3:59pm
20
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; weak dairy auction, InvestNow warned, NZIER wants evidence used, Australia wetter, swaps up again, NZD firm, & more
Dairy prices fall again; US retail sales flatline; US industrial production strong; China on hold; low German sentiment unchanged; commodity prices weaken; UST 10yr 4.02%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 67.4
19th Oct 22, 7:22am
161
Dairy prices fall again; US retail sales flatline; US industrial production strong; China on hold; low German sentiment unchanged; commodity prices weaken; UST 10yr 4.02%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.8 USc; TWI-5 = 67.4
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; last echo of rate hikes before the rush for new ones, CPI stays very high, agent commissions low, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
18th Oct 22, 3:59pm
108
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; last echo of rate hikes before the rush for new ones, CPI stays very high, agent commissions low, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
All the wholesale signals point to a new round of fixed mortgage rate increases soon, even in a real estate market that's failing to fire this spring
18th Oct 22, 9:34am
60
All the wholesale signals point to a new round of fixed mortgage rate increases soon, even in a real estate market that's failing to fire this spring
NY factories slow; US freight activity up; China's 'opening up' stutters; Japanese industrial production up; Aussie floods affect harvests; UST 10yr 4.01%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 56.4 USc; TWI-5 = 66.9
18th Oct 22, 7:23am
66
NY factories slow; US freight activity up; China's 'opening up' stutters; Japanese industrial production up; Aussie floods affect harvests; UST 10yr 4.01%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 56.4 USc; TWI-5 = 66.9