About
David Chaston is the publisher of interest.co.nz and is commited to ensuring readers get the latest information on interest rates, and the forces that move them.
David Chaston
Latest articles
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; worryingly large current account deficit, IAG signals big premium rises coming, food prices jump, massive Settlement Account balance movements, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
14th Jun 23, 3:58pm
104
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; worryingly large current account deficit, IAG signals big premium rises coming, food prices jump, massive Settlement Account balance movements, swaps up, NZD firm, & more
American CPI inflation eases; China credit expansion limp; Japanese sentiment improves; German inflation retreats; Aussie signals mixed; UST 10yr 3.85%; gold dips again and oil firms; NZ$1 = 61.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.5
14th Jun 23, 7:19am
87
American CPI inflation eases; China credit expansion limp; Japanese sentiment improves; German inflation retreats; Aussie signals mixed; UST 10yr 3.85%; gold dips again and oil firms; NZ$1 = 61.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.5
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; HSBC retail winding down, house values fall, work visa arrival high, fewer people travel, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
13th Jun 23, 3:59pm
51
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; HSBC retail winding down, house values fall, work visa arrival high, fewer people travel, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
Inflation expectations fall in the US ahead of CPI and Fed decisions; China demographics worsen; Japan stumbles; India inflation eases; UST 10yr 3.75%; gold dips and oil down sharply; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
13th Jun 23, 7:20am
102
Inflation expectations fall in the US ahead of CPI and Fed decisions; China demographics worsen; Japan stumbles; India inflation eases; UST 10yr 3.75%; gold dips and oil down sharply; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; retail sales under pressure, FMA settles with CBL directors, crude oil prices falls, another volcano watch, swaps and NZD stable, & more
12th Jun 23, 3:59pm
95
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; retail sales under pressure, FMA settles with CBL directors, crude oil prices falls, another volcano watch, swaps and NZD stable, & more
China turns back to deflation; some investors exit China; Canada's jobs shrink unexpectedly; Aussie watchers see contraction ahead; UST 10yr 3.72%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
12th Jun 23, 7:19am
74
China turns back to deflation; some investors exit China; Canada's jobs shrink unexpectedly; Aussie watchers see contraction ahead; UST 10yr 3.72%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
Canada jobs disappoint; China near deflation again; funds flow out of China; Turkey & Argentina have severe currency stress; Aussie recession possible; UST 10yr 3.72%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
10th Jun 23, 8:36am
20
Canada jobs disappoint; China near deflation again; funds flow out of China; Turkey & Argentina have severe currency stress; Aussie recession possible; UST 10yr 3.72%; gold and oil down; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; ANZ also cuts milk payout forecasts, job ads retreat, APRA cautions banks, China inflation vanishes, swaps & NZD unchanged, & more
9th Jun 23, 3:59pm
80
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; ANZ also cuts milk payout forecasts, job ads retreat, APRA cautions banks, China inflation vanishes, swaps & NZD unchanged, & more
US jobs data weakens; Japan GDP growth up; China prepares for a rate cut; EU GDP in recession; Aussie exports fall; UST 10yr 3.72%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 61 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
9th Jun 23, 7:18am
57
US jobs data weakens; Japan GDP growth up; China prepares for a rate cut; EU GDP in recession; Aussie exports fall; UST 10yr 3.72%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 61 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; tax flows softens sharply, FMA sues AA Insurance, NZGB yields rise, grocery prices stop rising, pre-GDP data soft, swaps up, NZD soft, & more
8th Jun 23, 4:00pm
62
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; tax flows softens sharply, FMA sues AA Insurance, NZGB yields rise, grocery prices stop rising, pre-GDP data soft, swaps up, NZD soft, & more
Canada hikes following Australia, rattling the US markets; US exports fall; China exports fall; Turkish lira in freefall; Aussie GDP growth anaemic; UST 10yr 3.79%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.4 USc; TWI-5 = 68.8
8th Jun 23, 7:28am
78
Canada hikes following Australia, rattling the US markets; US exports fall; China exports fall; Turkish lira in freefall; Aussie GDP growth anaemic; UST 10yr 3.79%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.4 USc; TWI-5 = 68.8
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Kiwibank raises TD rates, dairy prices fall, one for One, China exports less, swaps and NZD on hold, & more
7th Jun 23, 3:58pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; Kiwibank raises TD rates, dairy prices fall, one for One, China exports less, swaps and NZD on hold, & more
Dairy prices weaker again; US data weaker; China reacts to pessimistic households; RBA surprises with rate hike; World Bank sees little expansion; UST 10yr 3.70%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 60.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
7th Jun 23, 7:22am
59
Dairy prices weaker again; US data weaker; China reacts to pessimistic households; RBA surprises with rate hike; World Bank sees little expansion; UST 10yr 3.70%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 60.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; the floating rate increases kick in, commodity prices sag, building slowdown arrives, swaps jump, NZD holds, & more
6th Jun 23, 4:04pm
38
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; the floating rate increases kick in, commodity prices sag, building slowdown arrives, swaps jump, NZD holds, & more
US service sector expansion modest, despite strong jobs growth; China, Japan and India have booming service sectors; Aussie pay rises to bring more rate hikes; UST 10yr 3.69%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
6th Jun 23, 7:18am
57
US service sector expansion modest, despite strong jobs growth; China, Japan and India have booming service sectors; Aussie pay rises to bring more rate hikes; UST 10yr 3.69%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
US jobs growth strong but wage growth moderates; US vehicle sales soft. global food prices ease again; Japanese births slump; Aussie bottom-end pay to jump; UST 10yr 3.70%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.5
3rd Jun 23, 8:34am
10
US jobs growth strong but wage growth moderates; US vehicle sales soft. global food prices ease again; Japanese births slump; Aussie bottom-end pay to jump; UST 10yr 3.70%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.5
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; ASB raises some fixed rates, Barfoots at 15 year May low, retail still tough, new borrowers think short-term, swaps and NZD stable, & more
2nd Jun 23, 3:59pm
29
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; ASB raises some fixed rates, Barfoots at 15 year May low, retail still tough, new borrowers think short-term, swaps and NZD stable, & more
ASB pushes up some key fixed home loan rates well above its main rivals as both wholesale and term deposit rates raise, a warning signal that mortgage rates have more upside
2nd Jun 23, 10:38am
50
ASB pushes up some key fixed home loan rates well above its main rivals as both wholesale and term deposit rates raise, a warning signal that mortgage rates have more upside
US gets debt deal done; US labour market stays strong; US PMIs weaken; China debt in focus; Aussie house price rises gain momentum; UST 10yr 3.61%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
2nd Jun 23, 7:24am
53
US gets debt deal done; US labour market stays strong; US PMIs weaken; China debt in focus; Aussie house price rises gain momentum; UST 10yr 3.61%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; more TD increases, house values fall, EQC gets a cat bond away successfully, NIWA sees cold and wet, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & much more
1st Jun 23, 3:59pm
56
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; more TD increases, house values fall, EQC gets a cat bond away successfully, NIWA sees cold and wet, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & much more
US data mixed but labour data still strong; Canada & India surprise with faster GDP expansions; China data lackluster; air cargo trade weak; UST 10yr 3.63%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
1st Jun 23, 7:24am
67
US data mixed but labour data still strong; Canada & India surprise with faster GDP expansions; China data lackluster; air cargo trade weak; UST 10yr 3.63%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; business sentiment less downbeat, mortgage market very quiet, savers rush TDs, milk payouts ease, swaps ease, NZD weaker, & more
31st May 23, 3:59pm
53
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; business sentiment less downbeat, mortgage market very quiet, savers rush TDs, milk payouts ease, swaps ease, NZD weaker, & more
US economic data uninspiring; China faces new food security trouble, and continuing liquidity trap; huge AML fine for Aussie casino; UST 10yr 3.70%; gold rises and oil drops; NZ$1 = 60.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
31st May 23, 7:25am
27
US economic data uninspiring; China faces new food security trouble, and continuing liquidity trap; huge AML fine for Aussie casino; UST 10yr 3.70%; gold rises and oil drops; NZ$1 = 60.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; residential building consents fall, farm & lifestyle block sales low, bank NIMs slip, swaps lower, NZD becalmed, & more
30th May 23, 3:59pm
33
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; residential building consents fall, farm & lifestyle block sales low, bank NIMs slip, swaps lower, NZD becalmed, & more
US will vote on debt deal on Thursday; financial pressures elevated; China shares near bear market; PwC AU situation gets very ugly; McGowan quits; UST 10yr 3.77%; gold soft and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 60.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
30th May 23, 7:18am
45
US will vote on debt deal on Thursday; financial pressures elevated; China shares near bear market; PwC AU situation gets very ugly; McGowan quits; UST 10yr 3.77%; gold soft and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 60.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4