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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 3 months

Latest articles

Markets unwind some of last week's incredible price action. USD falls, US Treasuries curve significantly re-steepens, reflation-trade sectors favoured in rebound for US equities
22nd Jun 21, 7:35am
Markets unwind some of last week's incredible price action. USD falls, US Treasuries curve significantly re-steepens, reflation-trade sectors favoured in rebound for US equities
Positioning shakeout post-Fed evident in commodities, currencies and Treasuries curve. Commodities plunge, taking NZD and AUD to fresh lows. Strong NZ GDP brings RBNZ policy tightening expectations forward
18th Jun 21, 8:06am
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Positioning shakeout post-Fed evident in commodities, currencies and Treasuries curve. Commodities plunge, taking NZD and AUD to fresh lows. Strong NZ GDP brings RBNZ policy tightening expectations forward
US 10-year rate up nearly 5bps, reversing half of last week's fall, ahead of key FOMC policy update later this week. Oil prices hit a 2 year high; bets increase of an eventual move to $100 a barrel
15th Jun 21, 7:43am
US 10-year rate up nearly 5bps, reversing half of last week's fall, ahead of key FOMC policy update later this week. Oil prices hit a 2 year high; bets increase of an eventual move to $100 a barrel
USD short-covering on Friday ahead of Fed policy update this week sees NZD close at a two-month low. US 10-year Treasury rate near bottom-of the-range as inflation expectations fall
14th Jun 21, 7:27am
USD short-covering on Friday ahead of Fed policy update this week sees NZD close at a two-month low. US 10-year Treasury rate near bottom-of the-range as inflation expectations fall
US CPI inflation cracks 5% mark and ECB policy update on the dovish side of expectations. Market prepared to back Fed's view that inflation will prove transitory, so Treasury yields drift lower
11th Jun 21, 7:53am
US CPI inflation cracks 5% mark and ECB policy update on the dovish side of expectations. Market prepared to back Fed's view that inflation will prove transitory, so Treasury yields drift lower
Equities flat but US 10-year rate heads to bottom of the range, ahead of key US CPI data tomorrow night. NZD back below 0.72; NZD/AUD sub-0.93. NZ rates lower, playing catch-up after long weekend
9th Jun 21, 7:54am
Equities flat but US 10-year rate heads to bottom of the range, ahead of key US CPI data tomorrow night. NZD back below 0.72; NZD/AUD sub-0.93. NZ rates lower, playing catch-up after long weekend
Mostly strong data, but US ISM employment component soft ahead of key employment data on Friday. US equities flat and US 10-year trades a tight range. Domestic rates continue to push lower, reversing initial post-MPS move
2nd Jun 21, 7:51am
Mostly strong data, but US ISM employment component soft ahead of key employment data on Friday. US equities flat and US 10-year trades a tight range. Domestic rates continue to push lower, reversing initial post-MPS move
US and UK on holiday; a fittingly dull end to a dull month. PBoC signals some discomfort with pace of CNY strength. NZD and AUD push higher against the backdrop of weaker USD
1st Jun 21, 7:43am
US and UK on holiday; a fittingly dull end to a dull month. PBoC signals some discomfort with pace of CNY strength. NZD and AUD push higher against the backdrop of weaker USD
A quiet end to last week ahead of the US holiday today. Another positive US inflation surprise but US 10-year yield drifts lower. NZD and AUD sluggish against backdrop of higher risk appetite and CNY strength
31st May 21, 7:38am
A quiet end to last week ahead of the US holiday today. Another positive US inflation surprise but US 10-year yield drifts lower. NZD and AUD sluggish against backdrop of higher risk appetite and CNY strength
RBNZ MPS a market-mover as the Bank signals rate hikes from next year. Stronger USD overnight sees NZD lose some of its post-MPS gains, now back below 0.73. NZ rates much higher, with the 5-year rate up the furthest
27th May 21, 7:50am
RBNZ MPS a market-mover as the Bank signals rate hikes from next year. Stronger USD overnight sees NZD lose some of its post-MPS gains, now back below 0.73. NZ rates much higher, with the 5-year rate up the furthest
Flat equity markets, UST10 yields push down to lower end of recent trading range. Currencies largely track sideways, although USD/CNY approaches key 6.40 level. RBNZ MPS today could be a market mover
26th May 21, 7:49am
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Flat equity markets, UST10 yields push down to lower end of recent trading range. Currencies largely track sideways, although USD/CNY approaches key 6.40 level. RBNZ MPS today could be a market mover
Little news but risk appetite improves from the US market open, seemingly less concerned about the inflation outlook, at least for today. NZD back above 0.72. RBNZ MPS in sight. UST10s go sub-1.60%
25th May 21, 7:50am
Little news but risk appetite improves from the US market open, seemingly less concerned about the inflation outlook, at least for today. NZD back above 0.72. RBNZ MPS in sight. UST10s go sub-1.60%
Bond markets tread water; US equities show modest falls. USD broadly weaker, NZD back up to 0.7250, AUD through 0.78. NZ 2-year swap rate closes at fresh high for the year, ahead of RBNZ MPS next week
19th May 21, 8:10am
Bond markets tread water; US equities show modest falls. USD broadly weaker, NZD back up to 0.7250, AUD through 0.78. NZ 2-year swap rate closes at fresh high for the year, ahead of RBNZ MPS next week
New week sees risk appetite weaken. NZD underperforms, even as global commodity prices push higher. Fed speakers run the party line on no changes to the policy outlook
18th May 21, 7:44am
New week sees risk appetite weaken. NZD underperforms, even as global commodity prices push higher. Fed speakers run the party line on no changes to the policy outlook
Some softer US activity data, but risk appetite ends the week on a stronger note. More soothing words from the Fed. Broad USD weakness; NZD gains 1% Friday night to 0.7250. UST10 yields drift lower
17th May 21, 7:52am
Some softer US activity data, but risk appetite ends the week on a stronger note. More soothing words from the Fed. Broad USD weakness; NZD gains 1% Friday night to 0.7250. UST10 yields drift lower
Game over...or is it? US CPI inflation an absolute shocker. Vice chair Clarida still runs the party line "it's transitory". US equities tumble, US 10-year rate pushes up to 1.69%. Risk-off move sees USD strength
13th May 21, 8:00am
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Game over...or is it? US CPI inflation an absolute shocker. Vice chair Clarida still runs the party line "it's transitory". US equities tumble, US 10-year rate pushes up to 1.69%. Risk-off move sees USD strength
US equities fall again, but this time not led by tech sector. US 10-year rate drifts higher. Only modest currency moves; NZD and AUD track sideways. More spending in Australian Budget
12th May 21, 7:46am
US equities fall again, but this time not led by tech sector. US 10-year rate drifts higher. Only modest currency moves; NZD and AUD track sideways. More spending in Australian Budget
Inflation expectations continue to rise, US 10y BEIs up to a fresh 8-year high; industrial commodity prices stretch higher. Further rotation out of tech stocks into "value". GBP gains over 1% post Scottish elections
11th May 21, 7:37am
Inflation expectations continue to rise, US 10y BEIs up to a fresh 8-year high; industrial commodity prices stretch higher. Further rotation out of tech stocks into "value". GBP gains over 1% post Scottish elections
Rotation out of big tech drags down US equity indices. Negative risk sentiment weighed by Yellen talk of possible rise in rates. US 10-year Treasury rate drifts lower. Safe haven currencies outperform - NZD and AUD show notable fall
5th May 21, 7:49am
Rotation out of big tech drags down US equity indices. Negative risk sentiment weighed by Yellen talk of possible rise in rates. US 10-year Treasury rate drifts lower. Safe haven currencies outperform - NZD and AUD show notable fall
US ISM manufacturing weaker, but with noted supply issues and inflationary pressures. Some reversal of Friday's move - US equities higher, USD lower
4th May 21, 7:46am
US ISM manufacturing weaker, but with noted supply issues and inflationary pressures. Some reversal of Friday's move - US equities higher, USD lower
A weak end to a strong April for US equities. Wealth of data points to stronger US growth and inflation pressure. USTs drift lower in yield, USD shows broadly based rebound
3rd May 21, 9:09am
A weak end to a strong April for US equities. Wealth of data points to stronger US growth and inflation pressure. USTs drift lower in yield, USD shows broadly based rebound
US equities rise to fresh record high on solid economic data and strong earnings season. US Treasury yields push a little higher; break-even inflation rate at fresh 8-year high; Copper breaks $10,000. Despite all that, NZD pulls back
30th Apr 21, 7:51am
US equities rise to fresh record high on solid economic data and strong earnings season. US Treasury yields push a little higher; break-even inflation rate at fresh 8-year high; Copper breaks $10,000. Despite all that, NZD pulls back
US Fed upgrades economic assessment but remains dovish on the policy outlook. USD broadly weaker pre and post FOMC announcement. USTs range trade, US equities a touch higher. NZD outperforms, up 0.7% to 0.7260
29th Apr 21, 8:04am
US Fed upgrades economic assessment but remains dovish on the policy outlook. USD broadly weaker pre and post FOMC announcement. USTs range trade, US equities a touch higher. NZD outperforms, up 0.7% to 0.7260
S&P500 flat around record high. US 10-year rate trends higher, up 5bps, with higher supply and commodity prices in the mix. NZD and AUD head lower despite positive commodity price backdrop. FOMC policy update in less than 24 hours
28th Apr 21, 8:01am
S&P500 flat around record high. US 10-year rate trends higher, up 5bps, with higher supply and commodity prices in the mix. NZD and AUD head lower despite positive commodity price backdrop. FOMC policy update in less than 24 hours
Risk sentiment higher from Friday on positive economic data. US equities track close to record high but bond markets flat. NZD and AUD well supported, up to 0.7240 and above 0.78 respectively. Big week ahead for economic data and other events
27th Apr 21, 7:55am
Risk sentiment higher from Friday on positive economic data. US equities track close to record high but bond markets flat. NZD and AUD well supported, up to 0.7240 and above 0.78 respectively. Big week ahead for economic data and other events