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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

10 years 4 months

Latest articles

Risk appetite slightly higher, with global equities and rates higher. Bullard sees inflation fight winnable without recession. Quiet trading in financial markets with the US public holiday
21st Jun 22, 7:50am
2
Risk appetite slightly higher, with global equities and rates higher. Bullard sees inflation fight winnable without recession. Quiet trading in financial markets with the US public holiday
Modest changes in US equities and USTs on Friday, but caps off a wild week in markets. Oil prices tumble 5-7%, commodities market generally weaker in the face of rising global recession risk. AUD under pressure
20th Jun 22, 7:52am
Modest changes in US equities and USTs on Friday, but caps off a wild week in markets. Oil prices tumble 5-7%, commodities market generally weaker in the face of rising global recession risk. AUD under pressure
Surprise 50bps hike by the Swiss National Bank. US economic dataflow much weaker than expected. USD tumbles as recession fears trump safe-haven bid, amid chunky falls in equity markets
17th Jun 22, 7:57am
2
Surprise 50bps hike by the Swiss National Bank. US economic dataflow much weaker than expected. USD tumbles as recession fears trump safe-haven bid, amid chunky falls in equity markets
Market prices in more aggressive Fed tightening, 75bps this week and a likely follow-up move next month. US Treasury yields continue rise across the curve; 10-year rate approaching 3.5%
15th Jun 22, 7:59am
4
Market prices in more aggressive Fed tightening, 75bps this week and a likely follow-up move next month. US Treasury yields continue rise across the curve; 10-year rate approaching 3.5%
Markets in turmoil; US equities down 3%; USTs up about 20bps across the curve. As inflation fears increase and market prices in much more aggressive tightening. UK has recession on its doorstep and possible trade war with EU
14th Jun 22, 8:07am
3
Markets in turmoil; US equities down 3%; USTs up about 20bps across the curve. As inflation fears increase and market prices in much more aggressive tightening. UK has recession on its doorstep and possible trade war with EU
Strong US CPI inflation data destroys the inflation-has-peaked narrative. Stagflation in focus as US consumer sentiment falls to a record low as well and long-term inflation expectations rise
13th Jun 22, 7:31am
Strong US CPI inflation data destroys the inflation-has-peaked narrative. Stagflation in focus as US consumer sentiment falls to a record low as well and long-term inflation expectations rise
ECB offers a hawkish policy update; guides a 25bps hike in July and 50bps in September. Commodity currencies whacked on weaker risk sentiment. NZ 10 year NZGB closes at a 7-year high
10th Jun 22, 7:57am
2
ECB offers a hawkish policy update; guides a 25bps hike in July and 50bps in September. Commodity currencies whacked on weaker risk sentiment. NZ 10 year NZGB closes at a 7-year high
USD shows meaningful broad-based weakness; NZD and AUD outperform. Oil prices rise despite OPEC+ agreeing to ramp up production schedule; Copper up over 5%. Soft US ADP payrolls; Fed's Brainard hawkish, hoses down talk of a September pause
3rd Jun 22, 7:46am
1
USD shows meaningful broad-based weakness; NZD and AUD outperform. Oil prices rise despite OPEC+ agreeing to ramp up production schedule; Copper up over 5%. Soft US ADP payrolls; Fed's Brainard hawkish, hoses down talk of a September pause
Euro area inflation hits record high; European rates continue to push higher. Higher rates backdrop leads to cautious tone in equity markets. NZ business survey highlights stagflationary fears
1st Jun 22, 7:56am
Euro area inflation hits record high; European rates continue to push higher. Higher rates backdrop leads to cautious tone in equity markets. NZ business survey highlights stagflationary fears
Strength of Germany CPI shocks the market. European rates higher; EUR higher; US on holiday, but futures point to 5bps lift in 10-year rate
31st May 22, 7:58am
1
Strength of Germany CPI shocks the market. European rates higher; EUR higher; US on holiday, but futures point to 5bps lift in 10-year rate
US equities up over 2% on positive retailers' earnings reports, but no risk-on vibe though for bonds and currencies. NZ 2s10s swap curve goes negative, a leading indicator of economic recession
27th May 22, 7:57am
US equities up over 2% on positive retailers' earnings reports, but no risk-on vibe though for bonds and currencies. NZ 2s10s swap curve goes negative, a leading indicator of economic recession
Weaker earnings backdrop and growth outlook concerns weigh on markets. Equity markets weaker; global rates lower. RBNZ MPS today, another "dovish" 50bps hike likely
25th May 22, 7:51am
Weaker earnings backdrop and growth outlook concerns weigh on markets. Equity markets weaker; global rates lower. RBNZ MPS today, another "dovish" 50bps hike likely
Risk sentiment improves with no obvious triggers. Strong gains in equity markets; global rates higher. Mixed news from China. ECB provides clear rate hike guidance for Q3
24th May 22, 8:01am
Risk sentiment improves with no obvious triggers. Strong gains in equity markets; global rates higher. Mixed news from China. ECB provides clear rate hike guidance for Q3
USD significantly weaker as US economic growth concerns supersede safe-haven status. Risk appetite remains weak. NZ Budget doesn't perturb financial markets
20th May 22, 7:51am
1
USD significantly weaker as US economic growth concerns supersede safe-haven status. Risk appetite remains weak. NZ Budget doesn't perturb financial markets
US equities plunge on weak retailer earning reports; S&P500 down 4%. Market waking up to the damage that high inflation can inflict. NZ Budget today; expecting looser fiscal policy and increased bond tender program
19th May 22, 7:57am
2
US equities plunge on weak retailer earning reports; S&P500 down 4%. Market waking up to the damage that high inflation can inflict. NZ Budget today; expecting looser fiscal policy and increased bond tender program
Risk sentiment recovers on positive US economic data and easing of Shanghai restrictions. Global rates up across the board, with come chunky gains across Europe
18th May 22, 7:46am
2
Risk sentiment recovers on positive US economic data and easing of Shanghai restrictions. Global rates up across the board, with come chunky gains across Europe
Risk appetite weaker on poor China economic data but a recovery has ensued. US equities now modestly higher after earlier weakness in futures markets. Global food price inflation rising
17th May 22, 7:52am
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Risk appetite weaker on poor China economic data but a recovery has ensued. US equities now modestly higher after earlier weakness in futures markets. Global food price inflation rising
US CPI inflation stronger than expected, generating some market volatility resulting in lower US equity markets, flatter US yield curve. Brexit risks re-emerge
12th May 22, 7:56am
2
US CPI inflation stronger than expected, generating some market volatility resulting in lower US equity markets, flatter US yield curve. Brexit risks re-emerge
Thursday breakfast briefing: US Fed hikes, eyes quantitative tightening from June, EU to ban Russian crude oil
5th May 22, 7:30am
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Thursday breakfast briefing: US Fed hikes, eyes quantitative tightening from June, EU to ban Russian crude oil
Wednesday breakfast briefing: Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike sees NZ dollar drop, dairy prices tumble, equity markets remain choppy
4th May 22, 7:25am
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Wednesday breakfast briefing: Reserve Bank of Australia rate hike sees NZ dollar drop, dairy prices tumble, equity markets remain choppy
Tuesday breakfast briefing: US dollar strength, NZ dollar soft v greenback, US 10-year Treasury tops 3%, RBA rate rise expected
3rd May 22, 7:25am
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Tuesday breakfast briefing: US dollar strength, NZ dollar soft v greenback, US 10-year Treasury tops 3%, RBA rate rise expected
Fears of front-loaded US tightening cycle and China lockdowns drive risk appetite lower. Much lower US rates since Friday's NZ close
26th Apr 22, 7:57am
1
Fears of front-loaded US tightening cycle and China lockdowns drive risk appetite lower. Much lower US rates since Friday's NZ close
Global bond yields rise significantly again, following hawkish ECB commentary. US 5-year rate cracks 3%. NZ CPI inflation "only" 6.9%, but core measures show further upward momentum in Q1
22nd Apr 22, 7:59am
1
Global bond yields rise significantly again, following hawkish ECB commentary. US 5-year rate cracks 3%. NZ CPI inflation "only" 6.9%, but core measures show further upward momentum in Q1
Bond yields continue their relentless rise. US 10-year rate hits 2.79%; NZ 10-year NZGB rate closes above 3.5% for first time since 2015. Risk appetite weaker as China COVID outbreak spreads, leading to more restrictions
12th Apr 22, 7:41am
2
Bond yields continue their relentless rise. US 10-year rate hits 2.79%; NZ 10-year NZGB rate closes above 3.5% for first time since 2015. Risk appetite weaker as China COVID outbreak spreads, leading to more restrictions
Global rates push higher on Friday to fresh multi-year highs. USD hits highest level in nearly two years. Big week ahead, with RBNZ, Bank of Canada and ECB meetings; US CPI to hit fresh multi-decade high
11th Apr 22, 7:46am
2
Global rates push higher on Friday to fresh multi-year highs. USD hits highest level in nearly two years. Big week ahead, with RBNZ, Bank of Canada and ECB meetings; US CPI to hit fresh multi-decade high