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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

9 years 3 months

Latest articles

Hawkish hold from RBNZ sees NZD volatility but little net change; NZ curve steepens a little. Nerves ahead of FOMC minutes, but fears of some hawkish soundbites not realised. Fresh year-to-date lows for EUR, AUD and NZD printed but moderate changes in FX
19th Aug 21, 8:00am
Hawkish hold from RBNZ sees NZD volatility but little net change; NZ curve steepens a little. Nerves ahead of FOMC minutes, but fears of some hawkish soundbites not realised. Fresh year-to-date lows for EUR, AUD and NZD printed but moderate changes in FX
NZD and rates plunge as market reassesses near term monetary policy outlook. Weaker US retail sales send US equities lower, USD higher. NZD finds support at 0.69
18th Aug 21, 8:10am
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NZD and rates plunge as market reassesses near term monetary policy outlook. Weaker US retail sales send US equities lower, USD higher. NZD finds support at 0.69
A cautious start to the week following soft China economic data. Commodity currencies underperform; US 10-year rate nudges lower. NZD holds head above 0.70
17th Aug 21, 8:25am
A cautious start to the week following soft China economic data. Commodity currencies underperform; US 10-year rate nudges lower. NZD holds head above 0.70
Market takes some comfort from latest US CPI report. USD and US 10-year yield fall, the latter aided by strong bond auction. NZD outperforms, up as high as 0.7060
12th Aug 21, 7:48am
Market takes some comfort from latest US CPI report. USD and US 10-year yield fall, the latter aided by strong bond auction. NZD outperforms, up as high as 0.7060
Little news, but risk sentiment improves overnight. US and European equity indices at fresh record highs, commodity currencies rebound - NZD back with 0.70 handle. US 10-year rate continues to grind higher
11th Aug 21, 7:44am
Little news, but risk sentiment improves overnight. US and European equity indices at fresh record highs, commodity currencies rebound - NZD back with 0.70 handle. US 10-year rate continues to grind higher
Commodity prices under pressure. NZD hangs in there around 0.70. US rates push higher; equities flat
10th Aug 21, 7:53am
Commodity prices under pressure. NZD hangs in there around 0.70. US rates push higher; equities flat
US Treasuries whipsawed by mixed US data and upbeat comments from Fed vice-chair Clarida. NZ rates rise across the curve as the market banks on an earlier and more aggressive monetary tightening cycle
5th Aug 21, 7:54am
US Treasuries whipsawed by mixed US data and upbeat comments from Fed vice-chair Clarida. NZ rates rise across the curve as the market banks on an earlier and more aggressive monetary tightening cycle
RBNZ gives nod to potential August rate hike pushing up short rates higher and NZD well supported. RBA upbeat despite lockdowns, supporting AUD. Global equities push higher; UST10s range-bound
4th Aug 21, 7:53am
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RBNZ gives nod to potential August rate hike pushing up short rates higher and NZD well supported. RBA upbeat despite lockdowns, supporting AUD. Global equities push higher; UST10s range-bound
US 10-year rate tumbles to a low of just below 1.15% after slightly softer US ISM survey. AUD up ahead of RBA this afternoon; NZD flat. COVID19 spreads across nearly half of China's provinces
3rd Aug 21, 7:43am
US 10-year rate tumbles to a low of just below 1.15% after slightly softer US ISM survey. AUD up ahead of RBA this afternoon; NZD flat. COVID19 spreads across nearly half of China's provinces
Fed tweaks policy Statement but unlikely to change market expectations of timing of tapering decision. Little market reaction; USD slightly weaker as Fed Chair Powell offers some dovish soundbites
29th Jul 21, 7:52am
Fed tweaks policy Statement but unlikely to change market expectations of timing of tapering decision. Little market reaction; USD slightly weaker as Fed Chair Powell offers some dovish soundbites
Risk off as China's regulatory crackdown on sectors spills over into other markets. S&P500 down over 1%, Nasdaq down over 2% at their lows. USD surprisingly weak during risk-off episode, but NZD and AUD still dragged down by hit on CNY
28th Jul 21, 8:01am
Risk off as China's regulatory crackdown on sectors spills over into other markets. S&P500 down over 1%, Nasdaq down over 2% at their lows. USD surprisingly weak during risk-off episode, but NZD and AUD still dragged down by hit on CNY
Risk appetite recovers after weak Asian trading session. US equities up slightly to a fresh record high. US nominal 10-year rate little changed for the day but real rate prints a record low. NZD regains the 0.70 handle amidst broad USD weakness
27th Jul 21, 7:41am
Risk appetite recovers after weak Asian trading session. US equities up slightly to a fresh record high. US nominal 10-year rate little changed for the day but real rate prints a record low. NZD regains the 0.70 handle amidst broad USD weakness
Global equities push higher; global rates push lower. ECB reasserts dovish credentials resulting in small EUR underperformance. NZD and AUD show small gains. Strong demand for NZGBs even after QE ends in NZ
23rd Jul 21, 7:46am
Global equities push higher; global rates push lower. ECB reasserts dovish credentials resulting in small EUR underperformance. NZD and AUD show small gains. Strong demand for NZGBs even after QE ends in NZ
Higher risk sentiment drives up equities, global rates, commodities and commodity currencies. US 10-year rate back up towards 1.3%. Strong US earnings help; companies report widespread inflation pressures
22nd Jul 21, 7:48am
Higher risk sentiment drives up equities, global rates, commodities and commodity currencies. US 10-year rate back up towards 1.3%. Strong US earnings help; companies report widespread inflation pressures
US equities bounce back strongly but other markets don't. US 10-year rate hits fresh low below 1.13% before reversing course. NZD and AUD hit fresh year-to-date lows. COVID19 risks overhang the market; conviction of August RBNZ rate hike recedes
21st Jul 21, 7:51am
US equities bounce back strongly but other markets don't. US 10-year rate hits fresh low below 1.13% before reversing course. NZD and AUD hit fresh year-to-date lows. COVID19 risks overhang the market; conviction of August RBNZ rate hike recedes
Risk sentiment sours on worries about delta variant and increased geopolitical tensions with China. Equities tumble, US 10-year rate plunges to 5-month low of 1.17%. Commodity currencies down around 1%; NZD nears 0.6920 support level
20th Jul 21, 7:51am
Risk sentiment sours on worries about delta variant and increased geopolitical tensions with China. Equities tumble, US 10-year rate plunges to 5-month low of 1.17%. Commodity currencies down around 1%; NZD nears 0.6920 support level
Risk appetite weaker on Friday as US consumer sentiment softens. US 10-year rate closes below 1.30%; USD well supported. NZD supported as inflation surges to above the RBNZ's 1-3% target range
19th Jul 21, 7:40am
Risk appetite weaker on Friday as US consumer sentiment softens. US 10-year rate closes below 1.30%; USD well supported. NZD supported as inflation surges to above the RBNZ's 1-3% target range
US 10-year rate falls further, goes sub-1.30%. US equities show modest gains, but still post a fresh record high. Small lift in NZD as rate hike expectations solidify. No surprise from FOMC minutes
8th Jul 21, 7:59am
US 10-year rate falls further, goes sub-1.30%. US equities show modest gains, but still post a fresh record high. Small lift in NZD as rate hike expectations solidify. No surprise from FOMC minutes
NZ QSBO and RBA update drive NZD and AUD higher as market brings forward start date of expected policy tightening. But moves reverse course overnight as risk sentiment sours. US 10-year rate falls to lowest level in more than four months 
7th Jul 21, 7:45am
NZ QSBO and RBA update drive NZD and AUD higher as market brings forward start date of expected policy tightening. But moves reverse course overnight as risk sentiment sours. US 10-year rate falls to lowest level in more than four months 
Quiet trading with the US public holiday. Oil prices higher as no new production deal signed. NZD and AUD flat, trading well below fair value. NZ QSBO and RBA policy announcement today
6th Jul 21, 7:57am
Quiet trading with the US public holiday. Oil prices higher as no new production deal signed. NZD and AUD flat, trading well below fair value. NZ QSBO and RBA policy announcement today
Markets unmoved by string of data releases. Demand for US Treasuries and USD into month-end. NZ commodity prices rise to a record high. NZ economy overheating; another +$32 bln in household lending
1st Jul 21, 7:50am
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Markets unmoved by string of data releases. Demand for US Treasuries and USD into month-end. NZ commodity prices rise to a record high. NZ economy overheating; another +$32 bln in household lending
Strong confidence data in the US and Euro area supports global equity markets. US Treasuries remain locked in a tight trading range. Commodity currencies underperform despite higher commodity prices and positive risk sentiment
30th Jun 21, 7:39am
Strong confidence data in the US and Euro area supports global equity markets. US Treasuries remain locked in a tight trading range. Commodity currencies underperform despite higher commodity prices and positive risk sentiment
Cautious trading tone, likely to continue ahead of Friday's US employment report. US 10-year rate falls, reversing Friday night rise. NZD starts the week on a soft note alongside other commodity currencies
29th Jun 21, 7:43am
Cautious trading tone, likely to continue ahead of Friday's US employment report. US 10-year rate falls, reversing Friday night rise. NZD starts the week on a soft note alongside other commodity currencies
Calm market conditions; equity markets push higher, rates market tightly range-bound. GBP on the soft side after BoE plays with a straight bat with no hint of tightening
25th Jun 21, 7:42am
Calm market conditions; equity markets push higher, rates market tightly range-bound. GBP on the soft side after BoE plays with a straight bat with no hint of tightening
Focus on Fed speakers overnight. Market conditions calmer; Equities higher, UST yields range bound. NZD outperforms, well up through 0.70 as USD softens
23rd Jun 21, 7:46am
Focus on Fed speakers overnight. Market conditions calmer; Equities higher, UST yields range bound. NZD outperforms, well up through 0.70 as USD softens