About
Nick Smyth
Latest articles
USD higher as the Bloomberg DXY moving to its highest levels since mid-January; EUR has fallen below 1.22; NZD has fallen to year-to-date lows over the past two days, and currently sits just above 0.7050 USD
26th Apr 18, 8:10am
USD higher as the Bloomberg DXY moving to its highest levels since mid-January; EUR has fallen below 1.22; NZD has fallen to year-to-date lows over the past two days, and currently sits just above 0.7050 USD
USD strengthened across the board for the third day running, Bloomberg DXY rose around 0.75%; EUR has fallen to 1.2200 USD; NZD has followed the broad USD move and moved down towards 0.7150
24th Apr 18, 8:11am
USD strengthened across the board for the third day running, Bloomberg DXY rose around 0.75%; EUR has fallen to 1.2200 USD; NZD has followed the broad USD move and moved down towards 0.7150
Markets push bond yields higher on inflation expectations. Curves steepen. US pulls back from some tough positions on China, Russia. Wall Street up, then down
24th Apr 18, 7:55am
Markets push bond yields higher on inflation expectations. Curves steepen. US pulls back from some tough positions on China, Russia. Wall Street up, then down
The USD was stronger across the board for a second day running, Bloomberg DXY was around 0.5% higher; EUR fell below 1.23 on Friday, a two week low; commodity currencies were among the worst performers on Friday, with the NZD down almost 1%
23rd Apr 18, 7:47am
The USD was stronger across the board for a second day running, Bloomberg DXY was around 0.5% higher; EUR fell below 1.23 on Friday, a two week low; commodity currencies were among the worst performers on Friday, with the NZD down almost 1%
Commodity price rises boost inflation expectations, in turn push bond yields up. Eyes on US corporate earnings. US-China trade tension risk seen easing
23rd Apr 18, 7:21am
Commodity price rises boost inflation expectations, in turn push bond yields up. Eyes on US corporate earnings. US-China trade tension risk seen easing
Politics spruik commodity prices. Rising inflation expectations lift bond yields. Equities fall despite most earnings reports beating expectations
20th Apr 18, 8:10am
Politics spruik commodity prices. Rising inflation expectations lift bond yields. Equities fall despite most earnings reports beating expectations
Bloomberg dollar index is up around 0.5% on higher US interest rates and little fresh news on trade tensions; Yen has outperformed; NZD has declined to around 0.7265
20th Apr 18, 7:43am
Bloomberg dollar index is up around 0.5% on higher US interest rates and little fresh news on trade tensions; Yen has outperformed; NZD has declined to around 0.7265
Oil prices hit a post-2014 high in boost to junk bond market. Market expectations of inflation also rise, reflected in rise in UST 10yr yields
19th Apr 18, 8:07am
1
Oil prices hit a post-2014 high in boost to junk bond market. Market expectations of inflation also rise, reflected in rise in UST 10yr yields
CAD is the weakest currency overnight; GBP is the other underperformer; EUR is largely unchanged; NZD fell to just above 0.73 in the London morning, before recovering to around 0.7325 now
19th Apr 18, 7:43am
CAD is the weakest currency overnight; GBP is the other underperformer; EUR is largely unchanged; NZD fell to just above 0.73 in the London morning, before recovering to around 0.7325 now
Markets and Fed officials turning their attention to the flattening yield curve. VIX eases as political and trade tension sease. Wall Street rises strongly
18th Apr 18, 8:10am
Markets and Fed officials turning their attention to the flattening yield curve. VIX eases as political and trade tension sease. Wall Street rises strongly
EUR has fallen back from above 1.24 after a weaker German ZEW survey; GBP made a new post-Brexit high overnight; NZD is again one of the underperformers overnight
18th Apr 18, 8:09am
EUR has fallen back from above 1.24 after a weaker German ZEW survey; GBP made a new post-Brexit high overnight; NZD is again one of the underperformers overnight
Fed officials warn that they shouldn’t overreact to a modest inflation overshoot. UST 10yr rangebound. Likely Fed vice-chair nominee sees lower 'neutral rate'
17th Apr 18, 8:07am
Fed officials warn that they shouldn’t overreact to a modest inflation overshoot. UST 10yr rangebound. Likely Fed vice-chair nominee sees lower 'neutral rate'
USD weaker on Trump comments on China and Russia, Bloomberg DXY fell around 0.3% on the day; NZD is unchanged overnight, and is one of the worst performers
17th Apr 18, 7:55am
USD weaker on Trump comments on China and Russia, Bloomberg DXY fell around 0.3% on the day; NZD is unchanged overnight, and is one of the worst performers
US 2-10 curve flattest since 2007. US earnings season only has downside risk. Oil prices now highest since 2014. VIX at 1 month low. Eyes on NZ CPI
16th Apr 18, 8:10am
US 2-10 curve flattest since 2007. US earnings season only has downside risk. Oil prices now highest since 2014. VIX at 1 month low. Eyes on NZ CPI
USD firms but other safe haven currencies fall away. Positive sentiment emerging from NAFTA talks for a change. Latest NZ business confidence data didn't move local markets
29th Mar 18, 8:23am
USD firms but other safe haven currencies fall away. Positive sentiment emerging from NAFTA talks for a change. Latest NZ business confidence data didn't move local markets
UST yield curve its flattest since 2007 as yields drop, then recover. Drop in tech stocks triggered the realignment
29th Mar 18, 8:12am
UST yield curve its flattest since 2007 as yields drop, then recover. Drop in tech stocks triggered the realignment
Portfolio cleanup moves may be behind some chunky bond market realignments as data or policy news don't give clues
28th Mar 18, 8:18am
Portfolio cleanup moves may be behind some chunky bond market realignments as data or policy news don't give clues
JPY and CHF are the outperformers, although still down against the USD on the day; EUR has fallen back to just above 1.2400 USD; NZD is a little weaker than this time yesterday, in line with the appreciation in the USD overnight
28th Mar 18, 7:48am
JPY and CHF are the outperformers, although still down against the USD on the day; EUR has fallen back to just above 1.2400 USD; NZD is a little weaker than this time yesterday, in line with the appreciation in the USD overnight
USD at one-month lows as equities stage recovery in expectation of deal with China. Willams at NY Fed not dollar-supportive. NZD firm against USD, AUD. Record UST issuance
27th Mar 18, 8:16am
USD at one-month lows as equities stage recovery in expectation of deal with China. Willams at NY Fed not dollar-supportive. NZD firm against USD, AUD. Record UST issuance
US equities fall sharply. UST yields fall. China threatens UST demand but options limited. Local focus shifts to arrival of RBNZ governor Orr and the new Policy Targets Agreement
26th Mar 18, 8:17am
US equities fall sharply. UST yields fall. China threatens UST demand but options limited. Local focus shifts to arrival of RBNZ governor Orr and the new Policy Targets Agreement
The Bloomberg dollar index is up 0.4% on the day; GBP has outperformed overnight; UST 10 year yield, at 2.82%, remains near to its recent lows; NZD has fallen down to 0.7275 USD; local swaps curve flattened sharply
16th Mar 18, 8:16am
The Bloomberg dollar index is up 0.4% on the day; GBP has outperformed overnight; UST 10 year yield, at 2.82%, remains near to its recent lows; NZD has fallen down to 0.7275 USD; local swaps curve flattened sharply
FX markets have been reasonably stable, with the Bloomberg DXY around 0.15% lower on the day; AUD is stronger on the day, helped by higher iron ore futures; NZD traded a very narrow range between 0.7318 and 0.7349
15th Mar 18, 8:09am
FX markets have been reasonably stable, with the Bloomberg DXY around 0.15% lower on the day; AUD is stronger on the day, helped by higher iron ore futures; NZD traded a very narrow range between 0.7318 and 0.7349
US 10 year bond yield fell 3bps to 2.81%, near the low of its recent 2.80% – 2.95% trading range; heavy short positioning among speculative investors appears to be keeping bond yields contained for the moment
15th Mar 18, 8:03am
1
US 10 year bond yield fell 3bps to 2.81%, near the low of its recent 2.80% – 2.95% trading range; heavy short positioning among speculative investors appears to be keeping bond yields contained for the moment
US 10 year bond yield fell 3bps immediately after the US core CPI release; USD is generally weaker overnight, with the Bloomberg DXY near to a two-week low; NZD is the best performing currency over the past 24 hours
14th Mar 18, 8:28am
US 10 year bond yield fell 3bps immediately after the US core CPI release; USD is generally weaker overnight, with the Bloomberg DXY near to a two-week low; NZD is the best performing currency over the past 24 hours
Markets were quiet ahead of the US CPI data release tonight; UST 10yr yields fell 2 bps to 2.88%; NZD increased from 0.7285 to 0.7323 during the local sesssion before falling back to 0.7300 overnight
13th Mar 18, 8:18am
Markets were quiet ahead of the US CPI data release tonight; UST 10yr yields fell 2 bps to 2.88%; NZD increased from 0.7285 to 0.7323 during the local sesssion before falling back to 0.7300 overnight