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Nick Smyth
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Against a backdrop of better risk sentiment, the NZD has bounced a little, but it remains near multi-year lows; US bond yields are near unchanged on the day; AUD is the strongest performer
13th Jul 18, 8:05am
Against a backdrop of better risk sentiment, the NZD has bounced a little, but it remains near multi-year lows; US bond yields are near unchanged on the day; AUD is the strongest performer
Equity markets and global bond yields have fallen modestly overnight; GBP is stronger on the day; NZD made a new year-to-date low yesterday; NZ 10 year bond yield up 7bps
22nd Jun 18, 8:02am
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Equity markets and global bond yields have fallen modestly overnight; GBP is stronger on the day; NZD made a new year-to-date low yesterday; NZ 10 year bond yield up 7bps
Trump announced that he was considering tariffs on $200b worth of Chinese imports; markets have recovered some ground overnight after a generalised flight to safety move; NZD down to around 0.69 USD; UST yields lower
20th Jun 18, 7:58am
Trump announced that he was considering tariffs on $200b worth of Chinese imports; markets have recovered some ground overnight after a generalised flight to safety move; NZD down to around 0.69 USD; UST yields lower
Oil prices move higher on more restrained output targets. US yield curve flattest since 2007. Fed official reports significant change in US corporate mood
19th Jun 18, 8:06am
Oil prices move higher on more restrained output targets. US yield curve flattest since 2007. Fed official reports significant change in US corporate mood
NZD is down very slightly from Friday night’s close of 0.6940 and has traded a relatively tight range overnight; concerns about Chinese growth have likely weighed on the AUD; GBP is down 0.2%
19th Jun 18, 8:04am
NZD is down very slightly from Friday night’s close of 0.6940 and has traded a relatively tight range overnight; concerns about Chinese growth have likely weighed on the AUD; GBP is down 0.2%
Commodities bear brunt of escalating trade restriction actions and emerging economies also buffeted, but New Zealand gets off very lightly
18th Jun 18, 8:14am
Commodities bear brunt of escalating trade restriction actions and emerging economies also buffeted, but New Zealand gets off very lightly
The Americans impose unilateral tariffs on steel, threaten more on cars. EU and others respond. Markets look on with disapproving concern
1st Jun 18, 8:11am
The Americans impose unilateral tariffs on steel, threaten more on cars. EU and others respond. Markets look on with disapproving concern
Yields rise as risk appetite returns. Equity markets also recover sharply. But US-China trade tensions spike again
31st May 18, 8:15am
Yields rise as risk appetite returns. Equity markets also recover sharply. But US-China trade tensions spike again
From a low of 0.6883 yesterday morning, the NZD is now nudging up against 0.7000 USD; EUR is around 1% higher against the USD at 1.1650
31st May 18, 8:08am
From a low of 0.6883 yesterday morning, the NZD is now nudging up against 0.7000 USD; EUR is around 1% higher against the USD at 1.1650
Italy delivers serious investor angst which has spread fast to most major markets. The brutal selloff and flight to safety brings sharply lower bond yields
30th May 18, 7:51am
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Italy delivers serious investor angst which has spread fast to most major markets. The brutal selloff and flight to safety brings sharply lower bond yields
Italian yields have skyrocketed again and the EUR weakened, as the market prepares for new elections in Italy; US 10 year Treasury futures yield down 7bps; NZD is around 0.3% higher; NZ 10 year swap rate fell 2.25bps
29th May 18, 7:47am
Italian yields have skyrocketed again and the EUR weakened, as the market prepares for new elections in Italy; US 10 year Treasury futures yield down 7bps; NZD is around 0.3% higher; NZ 10 year swap rate fell 2.25bps
Saudi Arabia said it was “likely” OPEC and Russia would boost production; decline in oil prices in turn pushed down core bond yields and energy stocks; against a backdrop of broad USD strength on Friday, the NZD has outperformed
28th May 18, 8:19am
Saudi Arabia said it was “likely” OPEC and Russia would boost production; decline in oil prices in turn pushed down core bond yields and energy stocks; against a backdrop of broad USD strength on Friday, the NZD has outperformed
Renewed inflation signals push UST yields up strongly; further rises anticipated. Chances of an extra rate hike in 2018 increase
16th May 18, 8:16am
Renewed inflation signals push UST yields up strongly; further rises anticipated. Chances of an extra rate hike in 2018 increase
The move higher in US yields has boosted the USD across the board; GBP has been one of the outperformers in the FX market overnight; NZD is once again one of the underperformers
16th May 18, 8:13am
The move higher in US yields has boosted the USD across the board; GBP has been one of the outperformers in the FX market overnight; NZD is once again one of the underperformers
NZD has been the underperformer in FX markets overnight, now trading at 0.6920 USD; NZ swap rates continued to move lower yesterday; European bond yields rose after news that the ECB was planning on raising rates at some point in 2019
15th May 18, 8:08am
NZD has been the underperformer in FX markets overnight, now trading at 0.6920 USD; NZ swap rates continued to move lower yesterday; European bond yields rose after news that the ECB was planning on raising rates at some point in 2019
USD closed the week slightly lower against most of the G10, although the movements were very modest; NZD traded a narrow range on Friday night, ending the week just below 0.6970 USD; Budget on Thursday is the key event for the local rates
14th May 18, 8:07am
USD closed the week slightly lower against most of the G10, although the movements were very modest; NZD traded a narrow range on Friday night, ending the week just below 0.6970 USD; Budget on Thursday is the key event for the local rates
NZD is the worst performing currency the past 24 hours; local rates lower; GBP was the second worst performing currency; USD fell after a slightly lower than expected US core CPI release; UST yields declined slightly
11th May 18, 7:58am
NZD is the worst performing currency the past 24 hours; local rates lower; GBP was the second worst performing currency; USD fell after a slightly lower than expected US core CPI release; UST yields declined slightly
UST 10yr up over 3% again despite weaker US PPI. Eyes on US CPI data. Eyes also on the new RBNZ Governor and the MPS
10th May 18, 8:11am
UST 10yr up over 3% again despite weaker US PPI. Eyes on US CPI data. Eyes also on the new RBNZ Governor and the MPS
USD has extended its recent gains overnight, with the Bloomberg DXY moving up to a new high for 2018; NZD broke below 0.70 to a low of 0.6954, before bouncing back slightly to 0.6965; US 10 year Treasury is up 2bps to 2.97%
9th May 18, 7:59am
USD has extended its recent gains overnight, with the Bloomberg DXY moving up to a new high for 2018; NZD broke below 0.70 to a low of 0.6954, before bouncing back slightly to 0.6965; US 10 year Treasury is up 2bps to 2.97%
Oil prices pushed on to a new post-2014 high; USD is generally stronger, with the Bloomberg DXY and the (euro-centric) DXY both making new highs for 2018; GBP is the strongest currency in the G10
8th May 18, 8:29am
Oil prices pushed on to a new post-2014 high; USD is generally stronger, with the Bloomberg DXY and the (euro-centric) DXY both making new highs for 2018; GBP is the strongest currency in the G10
USD moved higher after payrolls, in tandem with the increase in Treasury yields off the intraday lows, Bloomberg DXY was up 0.2%; NZD hit a low of 0.6994 after payrolls, before recovering to end the week at 0.7020
7th May 18, 8:23am
USD moved higher after payrolls, in tandem with the increase in Treasury yields off the intraday lows, Bloomberg DXY was up 0.2%; NZD hit a low of 0.6994 after payrolls, before recovering to end the week at 0.7020
Mixed US payrolls data, deadlocked China talks, EMs doing it tough, but UST 10yr yields little changed at 2.95%. Eyes on commodity risks
7th May 18, 7:46am
Mixed US payrolls data, deadlocked China talks, EMs doing it tough, but UST 10yr yields little changed at 2.95%. Eyes on commodity risks
Mixed US data ahead of Q1 GDP which is expected to be modest. Oil prices jump on Iran tiff between Trump and Macron
27th Apr 18, 8:19am
Mixed US data ahead of Q1 GDP which is expected to be modest. Oil prices jump on Iran tiff between Trump and Macron
President Draghi acknowledged “some moderation in growth” but noted the economic recovery was still solid, EUR fell to 1.21; NZD still trading close to where it was this time yesterday at 0.7060 USD
27th Apr 18, 7:43am
President Draghi acknowledged “some moderation in growth” but noted the economic recovery was still solid, EUR fell to 1.21; NZD still trading close to where it was this time yesterday at 0.7060 USD
Foundations for US rates above 3% are far stronger this time around than they were last time they hit this level
26th Apr 18, 8:12am
Foundations for US rates above 3% are far stronger this time around than they were last time they hit this level