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Nick Smyth
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RBA raises cash rate by a larger-than-expected 50bps. Short-term Aussie rates blast higher while NZD/AUD cross falls below 90 AUc
RBA raises cash rate by a larger-than-expected 50bps. Short-term Aussie rates blast higher while NZD/AUD cross falls below 90 AUc
Global rates push sharply higher once again - US 10-year back above 3%, German 10-year hits fresh 8-year high. Nonfarm payrolls report seen as confirming Fed's hawkish stance
Global rates push sharply higher once again - US 10-year back above 3%, German 10-year hits fresh 8-year high. Nonfarm payrolls report seen as confirming Fed's hawkish stance
Global rates blast higher again - US 10-year +9bps, Germany 10-year +7bps. Bank of Canada hikes 50bps. Equities fall on higher Fed rate expectations
Global rates blast higher again - US 10-year +9bps, Germany 10-year +7bps. Bank of Canada hikes 50bps. Equities fall on higher Fed rate expectations
No clear catalyst for the improvement in risk sentiment but markets' recession concerns appear to be easing a little. USD broadly weaker amid stabilisation in Fed rate expectations
No clear catalyst for the improvement in risk sentiment but markets' recession concerns appear to be easing a little. USD broadly weaker amid stabilisation in Fed rate expectations
Fed minutes hint at a possible pause in the tightening cycle later this year, boosting equities. NZ short-term rates spike higher, yield curve flattens aggressively as market lifts RBNZ rate expectations
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Fed minutes hint at a possible pause in the tightening cycle later this year, boosting equities. NZ short-term rates spike higher, yield curve flattens aggressively as market lifts RBNZ rate expectations
S&P500 briefly breaks through into bear market territory. No signs of central bankers wavering from their hawkish stances - Lagarde alludes to likely July ECB rate hike. Global rates lower as recession fears mount
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S&P500 briefly breaks through into bear market territory. No signs of central bankers wavering from their hawkish stances - Lagarde alludes to likely July ECB rate hike. Global rates lower as recession fears mount
Risk appetite recovers helped by news that Shanghai is planning to ease lockdown restriction. Fed's Powell supports 50bps hikes at the next two meetings while acknowledging it will be "quite challenging" to achieve a soft landing
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Risk appetite recovers helped by news that Shanghai is planning to ease lockdown restriction. Fed's Powell supports 50bps hikes at the next two meetings while acknowledging it will be "quite challenging" to achieve a soft landing
Risk assets continue to tumble as global recession fears grow. Russia cutting off some gas supplies to Germany, rumours of Beijing lockdown, expectations of aggressive central bank rate hikes all add to the gloomy outlook
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Risk assets continue to tumble as global recession fears grow. Russia cutting off some gas supplies to Germany, rumours of Beijing lockdown, expectations of aggressive central bank rate hikes all add to the gloomy outlook
Risk sentiment rebounds overnight, with equities bouncing back. Global rates lower amid falling market-based inflation expectations. Several Fed officials endorse +50bps hikes at the next two meetings
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Risk sentiment rebounds overnight, with equities bouncing back. Global rates lower amid falling market-based inflation expectations. Several Fed officials endorse +50bps hikes at the next two meetings
Asset markets signal growing concern around the global growth outlook. Equities tumble. Market pares back Fed rate hike expectations. CNY weakness continues
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Asset markets signal growing concern around the global growth outlook. Equities tumble. Market pares back Fed rate hike expectations. CNY weakness continues
Global long-term rates hit fresh highs. US nonfarm payrolls close to expectations, but some tentative signs that wage pressures are easing. Industrial metals and commodity currencies also lower as global growth concerns weigh
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Global long-term rates hit fresh highs. US nonfarm payrolls close to expectations, but some tentative signs that wage pressures are easing. Industrial metals and commodity currencies also lower as global growth concerns weigh
Friday breakfast briefing: Stagflation fears dominate financial markets, Bank of England hikes, modest oil supply increase from OPEC
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Friday breakfast briefing: Stagflation fears dominate financial markets, Bank of England hikes, modest oil supply increase from OPEC
US Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia & Bank of England expected to raise rates this week, with NZ unemployment set for a new low
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US Fed, Reserve Bank of Australia & Bank of England expected to raise rates this week, with NZ unemployment set for a new low
Bank of Japan now stands alone in not fighting inflation. Yen weakness spills over to the yuan. German inflation surprises to the upside, again. European rates increase sharply
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Bank of Japan now stands alone in not fighting inflation. Yen weakness spills over to the yuan. German inflation surprises to the upside, again. European rates increase sharply
Australian CPI blows past expectations and markets expect an RBA hike next week. NZD and AUD hold up relatively well. NZ 2-year swap rate continues to push relentlessly higher
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Australian CPI blows past expectations and markets expect an RBA hike next week. NZD and AUD hold up relatively well. NZ 2-year swap rate continues to push relentlessly higher
Equity markets plummet again on concerns around the global growth outlook. US bond rates fall for the second day running on safe haven demand
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Equity markets plummet again on concerns around the global growth outlook. US bond rates fall for the second day running on safe haven demand
Global rates sharply lower and the USD broadly weaker in partial reversal. Canada CPI blows past expectations; market pricing a small chance of 75bps BoC hike in June
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Global rates sharply lower and the USD broadly weaker in partial reversal. Canada CPI blows past expectations; market pricing a small chance of 75bps BoC hike in June
Global bond yields continue to march higher with the US 10-year up to 2.91%. No real catalyst for the increase in rates although Fed rhetoric remains hawkish
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Global bond yields continue to march higher with the US 10-year up to 2.91%. No real catalyst for the increase in rates although Fed rhetoric remains hawkish
Global bond sell-off resumes - US 10-year makes new cycle high of 2.88%. Higher oil prices add upward pressure. China GDP much stronger than expected in Q1. Lots of US economic data released, mostly stronger than expected
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Global bond sell-off resumes - US 10-year makes new cycle high of 2.88%. Higher oil prices add upward pressure. China GDP much stronger than expected in Q1. Lots of US economic data released, mostly stronger than expected
RBNZ and Bank of Canada both hike by 50bps. RBNZ statement fails to meet very elevated market expectations, seeing big falls in NZ rates and the NZD. Global bonds show further signs of stabilising
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RBNZ and Bank of Canada both hike by 50bps. RBNZ statement fails to meet very elevated market expectations, seeing big falls in NZ rates and the NZD. Global bonds show further signs of stabilising
US rates finally correct lower after core CPI surprises to the downside. Market still priced for a 50bps Fed hike next month but expectations for tightening later this year scaled back
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US rates finally correct lower after core CPI surprises to the downside. Market still priced for a 50bps Fed hike next month but expectations for tightening later this year scaled back
Global rates higher again overnight, as market views ECB minutes hawkishly. US 2s10s curve steepens. More reports that the Shanghai lockdown is worsening supply-chain issues
Global rates higher again overnight, as market views ECB minutes hawkishly. US 2s10s curve steepens. More reports that the Shanghai lockdown is worsening supply-chain issues
Global bond sell-off continues - US 10-year hits fresh 3-year high. FOMC minutes flag 50bps hike risk and aggressive quantitative tightening. USD stronger amid more cautious risk appetite
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Global bond sell-off continues - US 10-year hits fresh 3-year high. FOMC minutes flag 50bps hike risk and aggressive quantitative tightening. USD stronger amid more cautious risk appetite
USD broadly weaker overnight, seeing NZD push up towards 70 USc. Curve flattening continues in the NZ rates market
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USD broadly weaker overnight, seeing NZD push up towards 70 USc. Curve flattening continues in the NZ rates market
Global bond sell-off continues apace. US 10-year hits 2.50% after Citi calls for 4x 50bps hikes. Equities surprisingly resilient. Half of Shanghai to go into four-day lockdown starting today
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Global bond sell-off continues apace. US 10-year hits 2.50% after Citi calls for 4x 50bps hikes. Equities surprisingly resilient. Half of Shanghai to go into four-day lockdown starting today