Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today (or if you already work from home, before you shutdown your laptop).
MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
BNZ has lifted all its fixed rates up to and including two years by between 4 basis points (two years) and 30 bps (six months). But longer term fixed rates have been cut, most noticeably the three-year rate, which has been sliced by 60 bps. The variable meanwhile is up 40 bps.
ANZ has added 30 bps to its business lending rates, with the indicator rate now 13.2%, the agri current account 11.4% and the business overdraft 15.2%
TERM DEPOSIT/SAVINGS RATE CHANGES
ANZ has added 30 bps to its online account rates (now 2.55%).
ASB has added 30 bps to its FastSaver (2.1%), and 40 bps to the on-call account (2.65%)
Treasury says Kiwi Bond rates have been raised by 50 bps (for two-year), 75 bps (for one year) and 100 bps (for six months). The top rate is now 5% for a year, while the four-year rate is unchanged at 4.25%.
AIR NEW ZEALAND IS FLYING
National carrier Air New Zealand is continuing to soar above its own expectations and has increased the midpoint of its expected profit range in this financial year by $35 million. It told the NZX that it now expects earnings before other significant items and taxation for the June 2023 financial year to be in the range of $510 million to $560 million, compared with prior guidance range of $450 million to $530 million. "The airline has continued to experience strong levels of demand on both the domestic and international networks," the company said.
NO PENALTIES FOR ANZ AFTER RBNZ AML PROBE
The Reserve Bank has closed an anti-money laundering investigation into ANZ NZ related to self-reported wire transfer reporting failures. No fine or other penalties have been imposed on ANZ which says it's "acutely aware" of its "role in preventing financial crime and will continue to proactively engage with regulators and law enforcement." The Reserve Bank says ANZ must provide a written update to its AML/CFT supervision team on the effectiveness of the procedures, policies and controls relating to the affected transaction types, including details of assurance activities or control testing results. The report's to be provided to the Reserve Bank no later than 31 October. Background to the investigation is here.
NATIONAL TO REVERSE LABOUR'S REMOVAL OF 'NO CAUSE' TENANCY TERMINATION
The National Party's pledging to reverse Labour's removal of 'no cause' tenancy terminations as well as the Labour-introduced provisions that saw most fixed tenancies automatically role over to periodic tenancies. This latest pledge is on top of the National promise to reinstate interest deductibility for rentals and restoring the brightline test to two years from 10. "Labour’s removal in 2021 of no-cause terminations and the near-automatic rollover of fixed term tenancies into periodic tenancies may have been well intentioned, but they have backfired badly, discouraging landlords from offering their properties up for rent," National's Housing Spokesperson Chris Bishop said.
GOVT ANNOUNCES NEW $57 MILLION FUND FOR ONSHORE WOOD PROCESSING
The Government's announced a $57 million fund to assist more onshore wood processing. Forestry Minister Peeni Henare says the new fund would enable the Government to partner with wood processors to co-invest in wood processing capacity to create products like sawn structural timber and engineered wood. "We want to process more logs onshore, help move our forestry sector from volume to value, lift our economic performance and resilience and create high-wage jobs in our regions," he said.
YOU HAVE ONE MORE WEEK FOR HELP WITH YOUR CENSUS FORMS
Stats NZ says Census collectors will be in communities for one more week only, until May 3. [But they will stay in areas most affected by Cyclone Gabrielle (the Far North, and Te Tairāwhiti and Hawke’s Bay regions) until Thursday 1 June.] "It is time to get those forms in if you haven’t done them yet. Time is running out to do the census," Deputy Government Statistician and Deputy Chief Executive Census and Collections Operations Simon Mason said. "To organise a visit from a census collector, call the 0800 236 787 (0800 CENSUS) helpline." He thanked the "8.5 people in 10" who have filled in the Census to date.
BUSINESS CREDIT DEMAND DOWN 6.6% SAYS EQUIFAX
Business credit demand fell -6.6% year on year in the first quarter of 2023, with demand across all commercial credit types below pre-pandemic levels, according credit reporting company Equifax NZ. The company says business credit demand is now at its lowest level since the initial pandemic lockdown in 2020. According to Equifax, business loans -12.7% and trade credit -11.1% were the largest contributors to the March quarter decline, with asset finance down -5.6% year on year following a strong December quarter. Business loan and trade credit demand are both now at their lowest levels in the history of the Index (est. 2019).
THE 'NO FRILLS' BUDGET
The May Budget will not include any new taxes and will be focused on fiscal restraint, Prime Minister Chris Hipkins says.
RBNZ 'GAINS TRACTION' WITH INFLATION FIGHT
ANZ's latest Business Outlook Survey shows "falling inflation signals", which is consistent with the Reserve Bank gradually gaining traction with its inflation-fighting efforts, ANZ economists say.
FISHER & PAYKEL HEALTHCARE CLEARED TO BUY SITE FOR SECOND NZ CAMPUS
Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corporation [FPH] has received approval from the Overseas Investment Office (OIO) for its $275 million acquisition of a 105-hectare site in Karaka, Auckland that will be used to construct a second NZ campus for the company. Development of the new campus will occur over 30 to 40 years. The initial focus will be on effecting a private plan change to re-zone the land, designing the core infrastructure and commencing earthworks over the next five years.
SWAP RATES LIKELY FIRMER
Wholesale swap rates are probably firmer on Thursday and reversing some of Wednesday's falls. However, the real action in swap rates comes near the close. Our chart will record the final positions. The 90 day bank bill rate is down 1 bp at 5.56%. The Australian 10-year bond yield is now at 3.35% and up 3 bps. The China 10 year bond rate is down 1 bp at 2.81%. And the NZ Government 10 year bond rate is now at 4.1%, and that is up 4 bps. The UST 10 year yield is at at 3.44% and up 1 bp.
EQUITIES MOSTLY LOWER
The S&P500 followed Wednesday's turbulent day with another 0.4% drop overnight. Tokyo has opened down 0.2% and Hong Kong is down marginally, with a 0.1% fall. Shanghai is having a brighter start, up 0.3%. The ASX200 is down 0.4% in afternoon trade, and the NZX50 is following Wednesday's fairly sold drop with a very small fall at time of writing.
GOLD PUSHING US$2000
Gold broke through the US$2000/oz mark overnight only to fall back pretty much straight away. A short while ago it gained another head of steam in early Asian trade, and at time of writing was up U$10 at US$1999.
NZD DRIFTING
The Kiwi dollar is down slightly against the US currency from this time on Wednesday, at US61.3c, but that is up from US61.1c overnight. Against the Aussie we are at A92.85c, up from A92.75c. And against the euro we are at 55.5 euro cents, down from 55.9 euro cents on Wednesday. The TWI-5 is at 68.6, which is down down 20 bps from this time on Wednesday.
BITCOIN BACK UP OVER US$29,000
Having just fallen short of hitting the US$30,000 mark again in the past 24 hours, Bitcoin's currently at just over $29,000, which is up 2.4% in the past 24 hours.
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