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Capital Economics

[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
203
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
14th Jun 22, 2:12pm
70
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
172
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs
21st Apr 22, 10:59am
144
Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern
28th Mar 22, 9:58am
101
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern
Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
29th Nov 21, 11:49am
15
Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
Latest labour market figures blow all economists' expectations out of the water once again
3rd Nov 21, 11:05am
132
Latest labour market figures blow all economists' expectations out of the water once again
Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 2.2% in September quarter, which was by far more than economists and the Reserve Bank picked
18th Oct 21, 10:55am
190
Statistics New Zealand says the Consumers Price Index rose 2.2% in September quarter, which was by far more than economists and the Reserve Bank picked
Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
15th Sep 21, 11:19am
13
Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
NZ-based economists still think as long as the Covid outbreak here can be contained reasonably quickly, interest rates will still go up this year - but one international economics firm reckons hikes are off till May next year now
23rd Aug 21, 2:43pm
14
NZ-based economists still think as long as the Covid outbreak here can be contained reasonably quickly, interest rates will still go up this year - but one international economics firm reckons hikes are off till May next year now
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped in the June quarter to 4.0% from 4.6% in March, 'underutilisation' also dropped sharply, seemingly pointing the way for Reserve Bank interest rate increases
4th Aug 21, 11:01am
120
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped in the June quarter to 4.0% from 4.6% in March, 'underutilisation' also dropped sharply, seemingly pointing the way for Reserve Bank interest rate increases
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
11th Jul 21, 6:01am
60
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
Economists with global researcher Capital Economics expect the first generation of Central Bank Digital Currencies will be designed to have as little impact on the existing financial system as possible
8th Jul 21, 10:49am
20
Economists with global researcher Capital Economics expect the first generation of Central Bank Digital Currencies will be designed to have as little impact on the existing financial system as possible
RBNZ leaves monetary policy settings unchanged, but reintroduces forward interest rate forecasts suggesting a first Official Cash Rate rise in the second-half of 2022; Kiwi dollar jumps
26th May 21, 2:07pm
110
RBNZ leaves monetary policy settings unchanged, but reintroduces forward interest rate forecasts suggesting a first Official Cash Rate rise in the second-half of 2022; Kiwi dollar jumps
The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
18th Mar 21, 11:03am
174
The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
74
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Economics research firm Capital Economics says the Wallstreetbets saga of recent days highlights how technology allows asset bubbles to inflate more quickly than in the past
2nd Feb 21, 1:17pm
47
Economics research firm Capital Economics says the Wallstreetbets saga of recent days highlights how technology allows asset bubbles to inflate more quickly than in the past
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
26th Jan 21, 4:29pm
39
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
Westpac economists expect annual house price inflation will peak at 20% later this year, 'which is not an environment conducive to further OCR cuts'
21st Jan 21, 1:28pm
33
Westpac economists expect annual house price inflation will peak at 20% later this year, 'which is not an environment conducive to further OCR cuts'
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
19th Jan 21, 3:48pm
70
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
The Reserve Bank's not expected to make any changes to either interest rates or its QE programme this week, but the markets will be looking for any further clues about the potential arrival of negative interest rates next year
21st Sep 20, 2:29pm
23
The Reserve Bank's not expected to make any changes to either interest rates or its QE programme this week, but the markets will be looking for any further clues about the potential arrival of negative interest rates next year
RBNZ says a package of additional monetary instruments, including possibly a negative Official Cash Rate 'must remain in active preparation'
12th Aug 20, 2:11pm
103
RBNZ says a package of additional monetary instruments, including possibly a negative Official Cash Rate 'must remain in active preparation'
Economists see the Reserve Bank having to do much more in future with its quantitative easing programme after inflation dropped 0.5% in the June quarter
16th Jul 20, 11:00am
25
Economists see the Reserve Bank having to do much more in future with its quantitative easing programme after inflation dropped 0.5% in the June quarter
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment edged up to 4.2% at the end of the March quarter from 4% previously
6th May 20, 11:01am
28
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment edged up to 4.2% at the end of the March quarter from 4% previously
Capital Economics chief economist says the virus crisis could add to 'a growing pushback' against large and complex supply chains
18th Feb 20, 8:31am
25
Capital Economics chief economist says the virus crisis could add to 'a growing pushback' against large and complex supply chains