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Capital Economics

Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
15th Sep 21, 11:19am
13
Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
NZ-based economists still think as long as the Covid outbreak here can be contained reasonably quickly, interest rates will still go up this year - but one international economics firm reckons hikes are off till May next year now
23rd Aug 21, 2:43pm
14
NZ-based economists still think as long as the Covid outbreak here can be contained reasonably quickly, interest rates will still go up this year - but one international economics firm reckons hikes are off till May next year now
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped in the June quarter to 4.0% from 4.6% in March, 'underutilisation' also dropped sharply, seemingly pointing the way for Reserve Bank interest rate increases
4th Aug 21, 11:01am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped in the June quarter to 4.0% from 4.6% in March, 'underutilisation' also dropped sharply, seemingly pointing the way for Reserve Bank interest rate increases
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
11th Jul 21, 6:01am
60
Kiwis now seem to be unloading some of the partly enforced savings they made last year - and that might not be helping an economy that's starting to overheat
Economists with global researcher Capital Economics expect the first generation of Central Bank Digital Currencies will be designed to have as little impact on the existing financial system as possible
8th Jul 21, 10:49am
20
Economists with global researcher Capital Economics expect the first generation of Central Bank Digital Currencies will be designed to have as little impact on the existing financial system as possible
RBNZ leaves monetary policy settings unchanged, but reintroduces forward interest rate forecasts suggesting a first Official Cash Rate rise in the second-half of 2022; Kiwi dollar jumps
26th May 21, 2:07pm
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RBNZ leaves monetary policy settings unchanged, but reintroduces forward interest rate forecasts suggesting a first Official Cash Rate rise in the second-half of 2022; Kiwi dollar jumps
The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
18th Mar 21, 11:03am
174
The economy went into reverse again in the last quarter of 2020 with a fall that was bigger than expected by the Reserve Bank and by bank economists; second recession looms
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
74
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Economics research firm Capital Economics says the Wallstreetbets saga of recent days highlights how technology allows asset bubbles to inflate more quickly than in the past
2nd Feb 21, 1:17pm
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Economics research firm Capital Economics says the Wallstreetbets saga of recent days highlights how technology allows asset bubbles to inflate more quickly than in the past
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
26th Jan 21, 4:29pm
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Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics have doubled down on forecasts of rising interest rates from next year and now see quantitative easing ending by the middle of this year
Westpac economists expect annual house price inflation will peak at 20% later this year, 'which is not an environment conducive to further OCR cuts'
21st Jan 21, 1:28pm
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Westpac economists expect annual house price inflation will peak at 20% later this year, 'which is not an environment conducive to further OCR cuts'
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
19th Jan 21, 3:48pm
70
Global independent economic researchers Capital Economics see the Reserve Bank as needing to lift interest rates from next year as economic conditions improve beyond expectations
The Reserve Bank's not expected to make any changes to either interest rates or its QE programme this week, but the markets will be looking for any further clues about the potential arrival of negative interest rates next year
21st Sep 20, 2:29pm
23
The Reserve Bank's not expected to make any changes to either interest rates or its QE programme this week, but the markets will be looking for any further clues about the potential arrival of negative interest rates next year
RBNZ says a package of additional monetary instruments, including possibly a negative Official Cash Rate 'must remain in active preparation'
12th Aug 20, 2:11pm
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RBNZ says a package of additional monetary instruments, including possibly a negative Official Cash Rate 'must remain in active preparation'
Economists see the Reserve Bank having to do much more in future with its quantitative easing programme after inflation dropped 0.5% in the June quarter
16th Jul 20, 11:00am
25
Economists see the Reserve Bank having to do much more in future with its quantitative easing programme after inflation dropped 0.5% in the June quarter
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment edged up to 4.2% at the end of the March quarter from 4% previously
6th May 20, 11:01am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment edged up to 4.2% at the end of the March quarter from 4% previously
Capital Economics chief economist says the virus crisis could add to 'a growing pushback' against large and complex supply chains
18th Feb 20, 8:31am
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Capital Economics chief economist says the virus crisis could add to 'a growing pushback' against large and complex supply chains
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment has fallen to 4.0% from 4.1%, while wages have risen by 2.6%, which is the most since 2009; RBNZ seen as putting interest rates on hold
5th Feb 20, 11:06am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment has fallen to 4.0% from 4.1%, while wages have risen by 2.6%, which is the most since 2009; RBNZ seen as putting interest rates on hold
International independent research firm Capital Economics says the risks are 'skewed' to the RBNZ making more cuts, possibly into negative interest rates - 'if the Government doesn't step up it's game soon'
9th Oct 19, 3:29pm
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International independent research firm Capital Economics says the risks are 'skewed' to the RBNZ making more cuts, possibly into negative interest rates - 'if the Government doesn't step up it's game soon'
Reserve Bank makes no change to Official Cash Rate but says it still has scope to provide further stimulus in future if that's needed
25th Sep 19, 2:07pm
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Reserve Bank makes no change to Official Cash Rate but says it still has scope to provide further stimulus in future if that's needed
Capital Economics Neil Shearing points out the whole curve has already flattened substantially – and that this has typically been a reliable indicator of cyclical economic downturns, if not recessions
2nd Apr 19, 2:00pm
by Guest
3
Capital Economics Neil Shearing points out the whole curve has already flattened substantially – and that this has typically been a reliable indicator of cyclical economic downturns, if not recessions
Capital Economics thinks the RBA's growth assumptions are too optimistic and sees them cutting both these forecasts and their policy interest rate
6th Feb 19, 12:30pm
by Guest
16
Capital Economics thinks the RBA's growth assumptions are too optimistic and sees them cutting both these forecasts and their policy interest rate
Although no one expects a change to the OCR, Thursday’s MPS will be the first for Governor Adrian Orr meaning even more tea-leaf reading than usual will go on during & after his press conference
7th May 18, 7:19am
by Jason Walls
3
Although no one expects a change to the OCR, Thursday’s MPS will be the first for Governor Adrian Orr meaning even more tea-leaf reading than usual will go on during & after his press conference
Although wage inflation is expected to bounce, the Government’s progressive increases to the minimum wage is not forecast to have a major impact on CPI, Westpac says
23rd Apr 18, 12:55pm
by Jason Walls
4
Although wage inflation is expected to bounce, the Government’s progressive increases to the minimum wage is not forecast to have a major impact on CPI, Westpac says
Acting RBNZ Governor Grant Spencer is widely tipped to sit on his hands at Thursday’s OCR review, with very little change expected in his statement
19th Mar 18, 12:00pm
by Jason Walls
Acting RBNZ Governor Grant Spencer is widely tipped to sit on his hands at Thursday’s OCR review, with very little change expected in his statement