Capital Economics

Capital Economics revises down its forecast for the NZ dollar this year and sticks to its view the Reserve Bank will need to cut the OCR further than currently expected

Capital Economics revises down its forecast for the NZ dollar this year and sticks to its view the Reserve Bank will need to cut the OCR further than currently expected

Independent global economic researchers Capital Economics say despite their expectation the RBNZ will slash the OCR to just 2.25% in 2025 the housing market price recovery will be 'muted'

Independent global economic researchers Capital Economics say despite their expectation the RBNZ will slash the OCR to just 2.25% in 2025 the housing market price recovery will be 'muted'

David Hargreaves says the Reserve Bank will ultimately decide where interest rates go and at what speed. But what will it decide?

David Hargreaves says the Reserve Bank will ultimately decide where interest rates go and at what speed. But what will it decide?

Economists say interest rates could be cut as soon as August after the Reserve Bank performs ‘dovish pivot’ at July meeting

Economists say interest rates could be cut as soon as August after the Reserve Bank performs ‘dovish pivot’ at July meeting

Independent global economic researchers Capital Economics say falls in nominal house prices have been 'modest' in most developed economies and 'almost non-existent' in some others

Independent global economic researchers Capital Economics say falls in nominal house prices have been 'modest' in most developed economies and 'almost non-existent' in some others

Independent economic researchers Capital Economics say it is 'increasingly clear' monetary policy tightening is doing its work and the rate-hiking cycle is already over, with cuts coming next year

Independent economic researchers Capital Economics say it is 'increasingly clear' monetary policy tightening is doing its work and the rate-hiking cycle is already over, with cuts coming next year

After quarterly inflation figures that contained, in the words of one economist, 'a number of red flags' for the Reserve Bank, upcoming labour market data are seen as key ahead of the RBNZ's next Official Cash Rate decision in August

After quarterly inflation figures that contained, in the words of one economist, 'a number of red flags' for the Reserve Bank, upcoming labour market data are seen as key ahead of the RBNZ's next Official Cash Rate decision in August

Independent economic researchers see global economy next year meeting the 'old' IMF description of a recession, while NZ's economy WILL tip into recession; house prices here down 25%

Independent economic researchers see global economy next year meeting the 'old' IMF description of a recession, while NZ's economy WILL tip into recession; house prices here down 25%

Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it

Capital Economics says several central banks around the globe will have to reverse course as their countries' economies either enter recession or teeter on the edge of it

The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth

The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth

Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US

Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US

Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range

Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range

Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs

Inflation had its biggest annual jump since 1990, driven by housing and fuel related costs

Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern

Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics says some countries' housing markets look vulnerable to 'even a modest rise' in interest rates - and the New Zealand market is pinpointed as one for particular concern

Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures

Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures