Currencies
US and European equities recover after Trump dials down aggression at Davos, ruling out military force to acquire Greenland. US Treasury yields range-bound; some order restored to Japan’s bond market after the recent meltdown
22nd Jan 26, 7:27am
US and European equities recover after Trump dials down aggression at Davos, ruling out military force to acquire Greenland. US Treasury yields range-bound; some order restored to Japan’s bond market after the recent meltdown
Weaker risk sentiment on US-EU political tensions; global equities extend losses; US equities down sharply. No safe-haven bid for bonds; Meltdown in Japan's JGB market spills over into other markets. UST yields push higher
21st Jan 26, 7:45am
Weaker risk sentiment on US-EU political tensions; global equities extend losses; US equities down sharply. No safe-haven bid for bonds; Meltdown in Japan's JGB market spills over into other markets. UST yields push higher
Market reaction modest, so far, to Trump's weekend threats. USD broadly weaker although JPY also weak as new election in Japan confirmed. Equities retreat
20th Jan 26, 7:57am
Market reaction modest, so far, to Trump's weekend threats. USD broadly weaker although JPY also weak as new election in Japan confirmed. Equities retreat
Roger J Kerr says Governor Breman may be forced to eat her own words that the interest rate markets have become ahead of themselves in pricing-in interest rate increases later in 2026
19th Jan 26, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr says Governor Breman may be forced to eat her own words that the interest rate markets have become ahead of themselves in pricing-in interest rate increases later in 2026
US treasury yields rose after Trump comments on chance of Kevin Hassett becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair. Trump to impose 10% tariffs on European countries until they support his ambition to acquire Greenland
19th Jan 26, 7:39am
US treasury yields rose after Trump comments on chance of Kevin Hassett becoming the next Federal Reserve Chair. Trump to impose 10% tariffs on European countries until they support his ambition to acquire Greenland
US equity markets rebound. A decline in US jobless claims underpinned the US dollar against European currencies. Oil prices sharply lower after an apparent easing in US-Iran tensions
16th Jan 26, 7:51am
US equity markets rebound. A decline in US jobless claims underpinned the US dollar against European currencies. Oil prices sharply lower after an apparent easing in US-Iran tensions
Rising geopolitical tensions hit risk sentiment and weigh on US equities. Limited market rection to US retail sales and PPI data. Oil prices extend recent gain. Metals continue winning streak
15th Jan 26, 7:53am
Rising geopolitical tensions hit risk sentiment and weigh on US equities. Limited market rection to US retail sales and PPI data. Oil prices extend recent gain. Metals continue winning streak
US core CPI undershoots expectations for the second consecutive month. Oil prices gain 3% and approach two-month highs. US dollar recovers from the decline earlier in the week
14th Jan 26, 7:42am
US core CPI undershoots expectations for the second consecutive month. Oil prices gain 3% and approach two-month highs. US dollar recovers from the decline earlier in the week
Fed Chair Powell reveals Justice Department criminal threats raising concerns over central bank independence. Precious metals reach record highs. US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. NZD outperforms
13th Jan 26, 7:49am
Fed Chair Powell reveals Justice Department criminal threats raising concerns over central bank independence. Precious metals reach record highs. US dollar weaker against G10 currencies. NZD outperforms
Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out
12th Jan 26, 8:00am
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Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out
Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions
5th Jan 26, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions
Silvia Sgherri thinks the US needs to help build an open, interoperable, standards-based monetary order for the 21st century
30th Dec 25, 11:10am
Silvia Sgherri thinks the US needs to help build an open, interoperable, standards-based monetary order for the 21st century
The IMF's Chart of the Week visuals illustrate major developments during a year of uncertainty - and resilience
23rd Dec 25, 9:41am
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The IMF's Chart of the Week visuals illustrate major developments during a year of uncertainty - and resilience
Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties
22nd Dec 25, 8:02am
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Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties
Soft US CPI data contributed to a solid rally for equity markets and lower treasury yields. ECB held rates steady and upgraded growth and inflation forecasts. BofE made a cautious cut
19th Dec 25, 8:00am
Soft US CPI data contributed to a solid rally for equity markets and lower treasury yields. ECB held rates steady and upgraded growth and inflation forecasts. BofE made a cautious cut