Bridges and Collins neck-and-neck in latest poll

Labour overtakes National, NZ First become irrelevant and Bridges falls to Collins' level in latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll

18th Feb 19, 6:43pm by Jenée Tibshraeny

Labour and the Greens have enough support to form a government without the help of New Zealand First, according to the latest 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll.

Support for Labour is up 2% from the last poll in November to 45%, while support for National is down 4% to 42%.

With support for the Greens up 1% to 6%, Labour and the Greens could secure 65 seats in the House (58 for Labour, 7 for the Greens).

National, with the help of an ACT seat, could get 55. You need 61 seats to govern.

With support for New Zealand First down 1% to 3%, the party wouldn’t meet the 5% threshold to get into Parliament.

At 6%, National Party Leader Simon Bridges is neck-and-neck with National MP Judith Collins when it comes to preferred prime minister. Support for Bridges is down 1%.

Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has reached her highest ever level at 44%, up 5% from November.

Meanwhile New Zealand First Leader Winston Peters has slumped 3% to 3%.

These 1 NEWS Colmar Brunton poll results are similar to the Newshub Reid Research ones released last Monday.

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24 Comments

by RickStrauss | 18th Feb 19, 6:51pm 1550469115

Speaking of necks, Simon's must be on the line.

by Foxglove. | 18th Feb 19, 9:01pm 1550476861

Bit of a battle of the bunnies if you ask me. Unless there are some unexpected significant developments that alter all the dynamics, then without a meaningful coalition partner National won’t gain power next year. So unless Collins is a real bunny, she should be savvy enough to know that there is more harm for her than good, in leading National into that sort of a result. But heck, ambition is difficult to bridle. Just have a look at what Shakespeare had to say about Coriolanus for instance.

by powerdownkiwi | 18th Feb 19, 7:19pm 1550470795

I wonder how a well-informed populace would vote?

by Davo36 | 18th Feb 19, 8:33pm 1550475200

For you?

by THE MAN 2 | 18th Feb 19, 7:31pm 1550471480

Yeah right.
Labour polling higher due to all the great work they are doing, NOT
Haven’t acheived anything of any benefit.
National doesn’t need to do much as !abour are going to go and self destruct this year!

by JimboJones | 18th Feb 19, 7:45pm 1550472310

Isn’t that what you said about last year?

by bw | 18th Feb 19, 8:16pm 1550474186

Yes, they have! Negative Gearing changes come in on April Fools Day - how appropriate!

by theglc | 19th Feb 19, 11:37am 1550529472

National is too busy getting bent over by China to do anything at the next election!

Just in case you didnt see it

https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2019/02/17/448674/nationals-craven-deference…

by Davo36 | 18th Feb 19, 8:36pm 1550475401

So NZ First hasn't kept any of their election promises. Especially around immigration.

But hey, who cares right? 6 months out from the next election Winston will start his old tricks again, baiting the media etc.

And all his nutty followers will say "You go Winston, you've got my vote!"

by Nic Johnson | 18th Feb 19, 9:24pm 1550478271

Bridges v Collins in the 4.30 at Tauherenikau,
The 2-year-old v The Nag
What a choice of horse to back, may skip this one and wait for the 5pm

by Foxglove. | 19th Feb 19, 1:34pm 1550536492

Which one would you like to scratch then?

by BuyLowSellHigh | 18th Feb 19, 11:25pm 1550485542

What did TOP poll?

by Tui12 | 18th Feb 19, 11:46pm 1550486779

Kiwis very happy with this government they are now way out in front. Labour and the Greens will cruise to win unless there is a miracle.

by GV 27 | 19th Feb 19, 6:49am 1550512185

The 'miracle' will be the media holding them to account over their failure to deliver a single key policy that wasn't reversing tax cuts. Instead we get to talk about babies and look, Jacinda's at the Art Deco Fest! Look, now she's running a BBQ! Yass Queen Slay!!!!

The line between the fourth estate and the endless-sycophancy of Twitter has become permanently blurred.

by bob cotton | 19th Feb 19, 7:54am 1550516095

Right on the button GV. What a circus with a half wit ringmaster and an oversupply of clowns.

by sharetrader | 19th Feb 19, 7:57am 1550516270

she has become a mirror of JK, all about building her own profile and popularity and less about getting her government to make some meaningful changes for the good of future of NZ

by iconoclast | 19th Feb 19, 8:37am 1550518669

JK spent 8 years building his own legacy

JA doing the same

by KBKIWI | 19th Feb 19, 11:41am 1550529693

Key policies already delivered, that actually matter to many kiwis:
- raising minimum wage
- Free tertiary education
- increased health spending
- closing property investor tax loopholes
- ending offshore drilling exploration (decreasing chances of an ecological catastrophe)
- investing in new regional rail connections
- stepping up on pike river
- not selling out to foreign powers any longer
- actually treating the housing crisis seriously after 9 years of National ignoring it

Those that would rather have had nationals $20 a week tax cut are welcome to their opinions, but when they start spouting nonsense and saying labour hasn’t delivered on anything - then they should be aware they sound like muppets.

by powerdownkiwi | 19th Feb 19, 7:53am 1550515996

No political Party is addressing what lies ahead - Climate Change is just the exhaust of the real problem.

But the Greens have the inside running as the truth manifests (the Limits to Growth, in essence) followed by Labour. National are away back in the space where you usurp democracy in favour of corporate agribusiness. Just a dinosaur.

by sharetrader | 19th Feb 19, 7:55am 1550516111

national have two problems
they need a popular leader
and
they need a partner party
without either it looks like some backbenchers will never see the chance to do what they went to parliament to do let alone any job security

by Averageman | 19th Feb 19, 12:17pm 1550531852

True, but their biggest issue was mishandling of overseas owners shunting tax paying kiwis to the side in the race to sell NZ housing and real estate to the highest (overseas) bidder. In short they did jack to protect the sovereignty of NZ being controlled by people born here and choosing to spend their life working and paying tax here. Last I looked, that is actually the Governments job.

If they don't take this seriously they will be in opposition for another term, maybe two.

by Chairman Moa | 19th Feb 19, 11:24am 1550528696

Crush him Jude..!

by Foyle | 19th Feb 19, 11:43am 1550529829

It's a bad result for National, though normal for incumbent govts to get a small boost through low-news summer break. Nice to see Winston down where he belongs. I'd be really interested to see what percent the undecideds make up. As that would reveal whether it is an actual shift from right to left, or just Nat voters becoming undecideds. And a lot of wavering undecideds could also boost Greens and NZF on an election day. Unfortunately that data seems to be no longer published - more dumbing down of tv news.

by Chairman Moa | 19th Feb 19, 12:19pm 1550531999

Jude, it's 2026 babe!