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The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Monday, February 26, 2018

Currencies
The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Monday, February 26, 2018

By Dan Bell

The NZDUSD opens at 0.7296 (mid-rate) this morning.

The NZD is the worst performer of the G10 currencies since Friday’s open, losing three-quarters of a percent against most of the majors.

New Zealand Retail Sales surged in Q4 2017, helped by strong growth in dining out and grocery sales. According to Statistics New Zealand (Stats NZ), Retail Sales volumes jumped by 1.7% for Q4 in seasonally adjusted terms — above the 1.3% gain expected — leaving the increase on a year earlier at 5.4%. It was a substantial improvement in the 0.3% gain in Q3 which was impacted by the British and Irish Lions tour that helped boost sales in the prior quarter.

Euro Area Annual Inflation rate (CPI) was 1.3% in January 2018, down from 1.4% in December 2017. In January 2017, the rate was 1.8%. European Union annual inflation was 1.6% in January 2018, down from 1.7% in December 2017. The rate was 1.7% in 2016.

The Canadian  Dollar was the best performing currency Friday night as the Canadian Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 1.7% on a year-over-year basis in January, following a 1.9% increase in December. The 0.7% increase for the month was ahead of the 0.4% consensus. Canadian inflation came in stronger than expected in January as signs point to price pressures continuing to slowly build. Core consumer prices, which exclude more volatile items like energy and are considered a gauge of inflation pressures, inched higher for a fourth month and are now hovering at the highest since September 2016.

The German economy continued to grow at the end of 2017. The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased by 0.6% in Q4 2017 compared with the previous quarter, in line with expectations.

Global equity markets are broadly higher: Dow +1.39%, S&P 500 +1.60%, FTSE -0.11%, DAX +0.18%, CAC +0.15%, Nikkei +0.72%, Shanghai +0.63%.

Gold prices are down 0.2% trading at $1,328 an ounce. WTI Crude Oil prices have continued higher up 1.5% trading at $63.70 a barrel.

Current indicative rates:

NZDUSD 0.7296 -0.6%
NZDEUR  0.5927 -0.5%
NZDGBP 0.5215 -0.8%
NZDJPY 77.88 -0.7%
NZDAUD 0.9289 -0.7%
NZDCAD 0.9217 -1.3%
GBPNZD 1.9155 0.8%

 

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Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland. You can contact him here »

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Source: CoinDesk

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