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ASB follows rivals with mortgage rate cuts in a home loan market walking on eggshells, one that hasn't fired any shots in a season dominated by low real estate sales transaction levels

Personal Finance / analysis
ASB follows rivals with mortgage rate cuts in a home loan market walking on eggshells, one that hasn't fired any shots in a season dominated by low real estate sales transaction levels
walking on eggshells
Image sourced from Shutterstock.com

After a quiet six weeks of rate changes in the mortgage market, ASB has kicked off this week with some reductions.

However, they are not significantly notable because they basically just represent an adjustment of ASB's carded rates down towards where most of the market has already settled.

ASB has trimmed its card by between 10 basis points and 20 basis points across the board, except for its five-year fixed rate.

But that still leaves them 15 bps higher than Kiwibank for the one year fixed term, 19 bps higher than BNZ for the 18 month fixed term, and 14 bps higher than ANZ for the benchmark two-year fixed term. It is only for four and five year fixed rates where they have any carded advantage over their main rivals.

The mortgage market is basically a zero-sum refi market at present, with the real estate transfer market in an unusual summer doldrums period.

Challenger banks are setting the pace with lower home loan offers, especially the Bank of China who have all their carded rates for fixed terms one to three years at 6% or below. These are advantages of at least 50 bps, or more.

In wholesale markets, the pressure is lower. Since the start of March, swap rates have fallen about -30 bps. But wholesale swap rates were actually lower than they are at present at the beginning or February, so the recent period has been characterised by meandering volatility. From the start of 2023, swap rates are generally -30 bps lower.

When home loan demand is low, the influence of wholesale swap market trends is muted.

One useful way to make sense of the changed home loan rates is to use our full-function mortgage calculator which is also below. (Term deposit rates can be assessed using this calculator).

And if you already have a fixed term mortgage that is not up for renewal at this time, our break fee calculator may help you assess your options. But break fees should be minimal in a rising market.

Here is the updated snapshot of the lowest advertised fixed-term mortgage rates on offer from the key retail banks at the moment.

Fixed, below 80% LVR 6 mths   1 yr   18 mth  2 yrs   3 yrs  4 yrs  5 yrs 
as at March 20, 2023 % % % % % % %
               
ANZ 6.60 6.54 6.49 6.45 6.59 7.19 7.09
ASB 6.64
-0.20
6.64
-0.20
6.64
-0.15
6.59
-0.20
6.59
-0.10
6.49
-0.10
6.49
6.54 6.54 6.45 6.49 6.59 6.59 6.59
Kiwibank 6.50 6.49   6.49 6.79 6.79 6.79
Westpac 6.59 6.59 6.59 6.54 6.59 6.59 6.49
               
Bank of China    6.00 5.95 5.95 5.90 6.35 6.35
China Construction Bank 6.60 6.54 6.49 6.45 6.40 6.40 6.40
Co-operative Bank [*FHB special] 6.49 6.39* 6.49 6.49 6.59 6.59 6.59
Heartland Bank   6.14 6.15 5.99 5.95    
HSBC 6.44 6.39 6.44 6.49 6.59 6.65 6.69
ICBC  6.39 6.25 6.29 6.29 6.39 6.39 6.35
  SBS Bank 6.59 6.59 6.64 6.59 6.59 6.65 6.69
  6.29 6.29 6.49 6.49 6.59 6.59 6.49

Fixed mortgage rates

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Daily swap rates

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Opening daily rate
Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA
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Source: NZFMA

Comprehensive Home Loan Calculator

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42 Comments

No comments on the hot topic after half an hour 😟

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3

Doomy Gloomies still in bed, its not benefit day.  ;)

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10

Okay this one made me laugh.

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1

Are we at the point in the game where they lock people in at 6+% before central banks start reducing rates?

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2

Been a busy day for me, work and surveying a section I have my eye on. As someone who is a bit gloomy on the current economic situation I quite happy to let the bulls have this day of .5% drop from one lonely bank. Break out the champagne!

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3

Oh whoops my mistake it's only 0.2% well this is awkward... Probably still enough to stir a response from the RB though

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2

That's funny, I bank with ASB and they are offering lower then carded.

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3

by IT GUY | 12th Feb 23, 12:23pm

i now have no debt so if I choose to buy another house its pretty easy. 

 

by IT GUY | 27th Feb 23, 5:21pm

I paid off a 130k revolving credit acc today that was at 7.95% interest....     anyone who can must be paying down debt.

 

I cant follow this storyline. From zero balance to 2 weeks later, I just cleared 130k balance on 7.95% to I get offered below 6.64

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11

Perhaps one of my favorite things things about this site are the people who track the commentary history of their 'adversaries' just so they can call them out on any apparent inconsistencies or hypocrosises.  

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28

Yeah how is that done? Is there a search function on this site? I hope so because if not people on this site (looking at you HW2) really need to take the time to find something a little more fulfilling in their lives. 

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14

Photographic memory Albert2020

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3

and others also, House Rodent and Tired Ploppy to name a few. Nothing else to do I guess?

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6

I have almost never searched up someone’s comment history and quoted it. Very rarely. Better things to do.

Printer 8 however loves doing it to me, lol.

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2

Bingo 😂

Yeah right

 

 

 

 

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Not sure why HW2 takes so much interest in my finances.....       Before I cleared the orbit I asked ASB what they could do if it was transferred to a mortgage. They offered below carded.   I decided to just transfer the cash onto the orbit debt, , the orbit is  still there and I could draw it back down, but for now I am not being charged 7.95%......    as its sitting at zero.....               

 

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8

On Hotcopper, each post discussing a stock requires a disclosure of sentiment (buy, hold, sell) and whether or not you currently hold any shares. Maybe if we do the same on housing articles here and disclose our property portfolio, LVR etc, we can save HW2 the time involved in snooping.

Disc: own home held, ~20% LVR

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2

I second this. We could even add little monopoly houses under the name of each commenter to show how many properties they claim to own (Yvil gets a red hotel).

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9

And a Monopoly piece to indicate sentiment. Good times for investors - top hat, bad times - old dog. Cost of living crisis - thimble. 

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4

Not really big news. They have merely aligned to the competition, still offering the highest 6m-2y rates amongst the big 4.

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6

/

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1

Because it's barely newsworthy they trimmed their rates slightly? If they had dropped a bombshell and ignited a price war by going down a further 0.5%, it might be worth talking about?

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Zzzzzzzzzzz.... is asb tweaking its carded rates for some free news promotion?

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4

a false dawn to tease the 2% millionaires.

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2

If you were an alarmist, you could se the rate cut as an attempt to improve cash inflow - because they have to.

Errrr...What are our bank stress tests like at the moment?

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3

Not following that line of thought, how does cutting mortgage rates improve cash inflow exactly?

Attracting new mortgage customers = cash going out to settle up with the previous bank.

Existing customers refixing at lower (than last weeks carded) rates = decrease of payments coming in compared to what they would have been at the old rate.

 

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2

They get the asset on their books, and right now they want the best quality assets they can get. You can't force the bank to give you a loan, they can be choosy about who they give them to.

It will be interesting to see RBNZ's asset quality report for the end of this month - at the end of Dec '22, ASB had the highest dollar value of impaired loans, though Rabobank and Heartland were both higher by percentage.

Us plebians don't get to see where the bank is heading, but with further interest deductibility removal, and house values dropping, you can be sure the bank has a fairly accurate forecast for the next year or two (even if they may state elsewhile).

It will also be interesting to see what happens to their LVR ratio as house prices drop.

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0

What has that got to do with cashflow as The_Golem was talking about?

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Because with the largest amount of impaired loans of any bank in the country, and that number forecast to rise substantially, they need people who are going to pay their mortgage bills.

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1

NZ$/Gold calling this to be a short-lived miscalculation.

Up to another all-time high. The era of rapid CPI upward movements might have arrived early.

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6

Hmmm , might be time to go sell what I own.  Just need to figure out where to put the cash.  Maybe a boring old lump sum on the mortgage.

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NZ$/Gold calling this to be a short-lived miscalculation.

XAUNZD
Past 1 month - up 6.9%

Past 6 months / 12 months  - up 12% / 13%

Since March 2020 - up 30%

Past 4 years - up 74%

 

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yes looks transitory 

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2

So ASB moves to match what other have already done. Is this a "penny drop" moment...?

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I know. Further the banks offer better deals than the card rate.

Banks (BNZ I think) were quietly offering 4.99%, 2 years up till March 8th. Now you won't get cheaper than 5.99%.

Seams like rates are increasing to me.

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1

It was 1 year fixed 4.99 but new borrowing only...

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The banks offer there own staff 50bps off at these levels, if you work for a bank and bank elsewhere they will match it knowing you can move.   They offer the big acc and consultancies even more.   Only muggins pays the carded rates.

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Interestingly my business OD went up.5% last week (to 10.8%). So I guess Im helping to fund mortgages now ?

Really happy outcome. Might have to give staff a pay cut, and put prices up, to even the playing field.

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7

It should be alarming that CoreLogic figures are already showing drops of over 27% in some suburbs when their numbers are 3 or 4 months out of date (approx 5% out) and that is before any real effect from forced sales and loss of interest deductibility and interest rate rises have yet to take their full effect.

We are already in the biggest market crash in the past 40 years and it has not even reached the end of the beginning yet. I would bet (almost) any amount that 2023 will show bigger median drops (based on the REINZ HPI) than last year, taking the falls from peak to an AVERAGE of 30%+ ie many many houses will have dropped 40%+ by year end.

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3

where are you quoting this from?

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Is that from Bagrie?

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If the banks fueled ponzi does indeed drop by that amount, are the banks in NZ required to mark the massive reduction in loan security accordingly, and adjust borrowing and liquidity...?

 

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In Australia, 70% of existing bank customers are moving banks when refinancing.  That's probably also happening here and why the banks are getting competitive on mortgage rates.

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