David Chaston

Dairy prices rise as China demand returns; Canada inflation contained; German sentiment positive but less so; China sets lower growth targets; UST 10yr at 4.58%; gold up and oil mixed; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1

Dairy prices rise as China demand returns; Canada inflation contained; German sentiment positive but less so; China sets lower growth targets; UST 10yr at 4.58%; gold up and oil mixed; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1

The largest home loan lender cuts its rate card, but in this tight market, discounts from that are becoming rarer. Savers are paying for this discounting because wholesale rates aren't shifting lower

The largest home loan lender cuts its rate card, but in this tight market, discounts from that are becoming rarer. Savers are paying for this discounting because wholesale rates aren't shifting lower

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; service sector shrinks too, end of year puff for retail, job ads weak, milk flows up, REINZ says 'tomorrow', swaps stable, NZD rises, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; service sector shrinks too, end of year puff for retail, job ads weak, milk flows up, REINZ says 'tomorrow', swaps stable, NZD rises, & more

Trump puts tariffs on the backburner, promises war with Panama; Japan machine orders rise; China holds LPRs; HSBC signals quitting personal banking in Australia; UST 10yr at 4.48%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1

Trump puts tariffs on the backburner, promises war with Panama; Japan machine orders rise; China holds LPRs; HSBC signals quitting personal banking in Australia; UST 10yr at 4.48%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 56.6 USc; TWI = 67.1

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Wellington on holiday, meat exporters shift focus, REINZ data late, NZX50 slips, swaps on hold, NZD up slightly, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Wellington on holiday, meat exporters shift focus, REINZ data late, NZX50 slips, swaps on hold, NZD up slightly, & more

Eyes on NZ CPI, Trump2 effect; China says it hit GDP target; IMF raises growth estimates; US debt limit in focus again; Fed quits NGFS; UST 10yr at 4.62%; gold and oil soft; NZ$1 = 55.9 USc; TWI = 66.8

Eyes on NZ CPI, Trump2 effect; China says it hit GDP target; IMF raises growth estimates; US debt limit in focus again; Fed quits NGFS; UST 10yr at 4.62%; gold and oil soft; NZ$1 = 55.9 USc; TWI = 66.8

Westpac says the drivers for higher gold prices are still in place, even though traditional analysis suggests it may have peaked

Westpac says the drivers for higher gold prices are still in place, even though traditional analysis suggests it may have peaked

IMF upgrades global growth estimate on US strength; China claims +5% expansion; Singapore exports surge; aluminium price rises; UST 10yr at 4.60%; gold and oil softish; NZ$1 = 56 USc; TWI = 66.8

IMF upgrades global growth estimate on US strength; China claims +5% expansion; Singapore exports surge; aluminium price rises; UST 10yr at 4.60%; gold and oil softish; NZ$1 = 56 USc; TWI = 66.8

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; both home loan rates and term deposit rates are cut by majors, PMI still contracting, rents stable, swaps hesitate, NZD little-changed, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; both home loan rates and term deposit rates are cut by majors, PMI still contracting, rents stable, swaps hesitate, NZD little-changed, & more

Both ASB and Westpac follow up their home loan rate cuts with reduced rates for term deposit savers. Now three institutions (including these two) no longer offer any 5% rates

Both ASB and Westpac follow up their home loan rate cuts with reduced rates for term deposit savers. Now three institutions (including these two) no longer offer any 5% rates

ASB has kickstarted the 2025 mortgage market competition with -20 bps rate cuts to have the most competitive home loan rate card among the main banks

ASB has kickstarted the 2025 mortgage market competition with -20 bps rate cuts to have the most competitive home loan rate card among the main banks

US data mixed; Korea holds rates unexpectedly; Country Garden reports huge loss; Aussie jobs gains strong, bring doubt about rate cuts; UST 10yr at 4.61%; gold up and oil holds; NZ$1 = 56.2 USc; TWI = 66.9

US data mixed; Korea holds rates unexpectedly; Country Garden reports huge loss; Aussie jobs gains strong, bring doubt about rate cuts; UST 10yr at 4.61%; gold up and oil holds; NZ$1 = 56.2 USc; TWI = 66.9

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac matched BNZ at 5.99%, food prices show little inflation, TM sees very soft house buyer interest, swaps settle back, NZD holds, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Westpac matched BNZ at 5.99%, food prices show little inflation, TM sees very soft house buyer interest, swaps settle back, NZD holds, & more

US CPI inflations delivers no surprise; markets react with glee; US home loan applications jump; US bank earnings jump; Japan nears rate hike; Indonesia makes a cut; UST 10yr at 4.66%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 56.1 USc; TWI = 67

US CPI inflations delivers no surprise; markets react with glee; US home loan applications jump; US bank earnings jump; Japan nears rate hike; Indonesia makes a cut; UST 10yr at 4.66%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 56.1 USc; TWI = 67

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; employment confidence rises, milk powder prices hold, overseas workers & students back at pre-pandemic levels, eyes on swap rate, NZD stable, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; employment confidence rises, milk powder prices hold, overseas workers & students back at pre-pandemic levels, eyes on swap rate, NZD stable, & more

US sentiment mixed, retail eases and PPI gives inflation signals; US demographics changing; China bank lending up; Aussie sentiment lower; UST 10yr at 4.81%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 56 USc; TWI = 67

US sentiment mixed, retail eases and PPI gives inflation signals; US demographics changing; China bank lending up; Aussie sentiment lower; UST 10yr at 4.81%; gold up and oil down; NZ$1 = 56 USc; TWI = 67

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; BNZ trims TD rates, business sentiment jumps, fewer Auckland dwelling built, home ownership better, grocery price rises tamer, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; BNZ trims TD rates, business sentiment jumps, fewer Auckland dwelling built, home ownership better, grocery price rises tamer, swaps stable, NZD rises, & more

Term deposit savers are facing lower interest rates in 2025 from a number of factors, not the least of which is that banks face depressed lending opportunities. The DCS is also a factor

Term deposit savers are facing lower interest rates in 2025 from a number of factors, not the least of which is that banks face depressed lending opportunities. The DCS is also a factor

US inflation expectations unchanged; Chinese exports surge; India's inflation eases; Aussie inflation signals up; Spain proposes 100% property sales tax; UST 10yr at 4.77%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 55.5 USc; TWI = 66.6

US inflation expectations unchanged; Chinese exports surge; India's inflation eases; Aussie inflation signals up; Spain proposes 100% property sales tax; UST 10yr at 4.77%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 55.5 USc; TWI = 66.6

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Heartland trims TD rates, building consents not recovering, but filled jobs rise, swaps stable but long bond rates jump, oil up sharply, NZD holds, & more

A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Heartland trims TD rates, building consents not recovering, but filled jobs rise, swaps stable but long bond rates jump, oil up sharply, NZD holds, & more

Benchmark bond yields are in the middle of significant change in many countries, NZ included. While it is hard to know where things will settle, we track the shifts so far

Benchmark bond yields are in the middle of significant change in many countries, NZ included. While it is hard to know where things will settle, we track the shifts so far

Eyes on inflation's track; US jobs rose more than expected; American fear upcoming inflation; China struggles to contain economic stagger; Aussie tax receipts surge; UST 10yr at 4.76%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 55.6 USc; TWI = 66.6

Eyes on inflation's track; US jobs rose more than expected; American fear upcoming inflation; China struggles to contain economic stagger; Aussie tax receipts surge; UST 10yr at 4.76%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 55.6 USc; TWI = 66.6

Expectations are being built for big home loan rate cuts leading up to the February OCR review and beyond. But there is more going on in the world than weak NZ housing sales. What are the chances that mortgage rates will follow the OCR down?

Expectations are being built for big home loan rate cuts leading up to the February OCR review and beyond. But there is more going on in the world than weak NZ housing sales. What are the chances that mortgage rates will follow the OCR down?

US jobs market stronger than expected; US consumers fear impending inflation; financial markets fear rate cut delays; insurers fear climate impacts; China fears bond pressures; UST 10yr at 4.76%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 55.6 USc; TWI = 66.6 (really)

US jobs market stronger than expected; US consumers fear impending inflation; financial markets fear rate cut delays; insurers fear climate impacts; China fears bond pressures; UST 10yr at 4.76%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 55.6 USc; TWI = 66.6 (really)

China still battling deflation, moves to defend the yuan; Japanese wages rise; India growth slows; Aussie retail rises; freight rates twist; UST 10yr at 4.69%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 56 USc; TWI = 66.9

China still battling deflation, moves to defend the yuan; Japanese wages rise; India growth slows; Aussie retail rises; freight rates twist; UST 10yr at 4.69%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 56 USc; TWI = 66.9