RBNZ
Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
26th Jan 24, 10:01am
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Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr on the war on inflation including how much the RBNZ can influence non-tradeable inflation, and whether its mandate may need changing
Reserve Bank finally convinces politicians to support debt-to-income restrictions for home loan borrowers after years of lobbying
25th Jan 24, 4:12pm
50
Reserve Bank finally convinces politicians to support debt-to-income restrictions for home loan borrowers after years of lobbying
[updated]
Inflation was cooler in the December quarter than any other in the past three years but still too hot for the Reserve Bank’s to consider cutting the Official Cash Rate
24th Jan 24, 2:46pm
45
Inflation was cooler in the December quarter than any other in the past three years but still too hot for the Reserve Bank’s to consider cutting the Official Cash Rate
CPI inflation falls to a two year low of 4.7% as food prices decline, albeit domestic inflation tops RBNZ expectations
24th Jan 24, 10:56am
161
CPI inflation falls to a two year low of 4.7% as food prices decline, albeit domestic inflation tops RBNZ expectations
David Hargreaves wonders whether the belated introduction of debt-to-income ratio controls will be a case of better-late-than-never, or whether they've already missed the proverbial bus
24th Jan 24, 9:59am
43
David Hargreaves wonders whether the belated introduction of debt-to-income ratio controls will be a case of better-late-than-never, or whether they've already missed the proverbial bus
[updated]
RBNZ wants to loosen loan-to-value ratio restrictions and introduce debt-to-income restrictions on banks' home lending
23rd Jan 24, 10:19am
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RBNZ wants to loosen loan-to-value ratio restrictions and introduce debt-to-income restrictions on banks' home lending
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
22nd Jan 24, 3:05pm
4
With new figures this week likely to show our inflation rate falling meaningfully, economists are nevertheless concerned about the potential for for further inflationary disruptions
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
22nd Jan 24, 7:55am
2
Roger J Kerr says weaker than expected inflation and jobs data in Australia has forced away any lingering expectations of further Reserve Bank of Australia (“RBA”) interest rate hikes
Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
21st Jan 24, 6:00am
76
Economic data in the coming week is likely to show inflation is slowing. But the key thing will be whether the Reserve Bank is satisfied that the inflation beast really has been properly tamed - or whether we still have things to worry about
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
18th Jan 24, 4:08pm
31
ANZ economists don't believe the RBNZ will give warning of when it is going to cut the Official Cash Rate and that it will be a case of 'deny-deny-deny-cut' to avoid premature easing in financial conditions
[updated]
Stats NZ says food prices fell in December for the fourth consecutive month, taking the annual rate of food price inflation down to 4.8% compared with the peak level of 12.5% seen earlier in 2023; airfares skyrocket; rents keep pushing up
18th Jan 24, 11:01am
21
Stats NZ says food prices fell in December for the fourth consecutive month, taking the annual rate of food price inflation down to 4.8% compared with the peak level of 12.5% seen earlier in 2023; airfares skyrocket; rents keep pushing up
Latest Reserve Bank figures indicate that New Zealand's home owner-occupiers appear to be betting that interest rates will start coming down again sooner rather than later
17th Jan 24, 11:05am
12
Latest Reserve Bank figures indicate that New Zealand's home owner-occupiers appear to be betting that interest rates will start coming down again sooner rather than later
The BNZ/SEEK Employment Report shows that the number of applications per job advertisement has now hit unprecedented levels
16th Jan 24, 11:03am
18
The BNZ/SEEK Employment Report shows that the number of applications per job advertisement has now hit unprecedented levels
The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
16th Jan 24, 9:54am
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The Reserve Bank's chief economist will be speaking on economic developments a month before the first scheduled OCR announcement for the year in a move clearly aimed at guiding the markets after December's shock GDP fall
ASB economists assess the key risks in the year ahead - there's plenty
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
15th Jan 24, 7:46am
10
Roger J Kerr says there is a strong argument that the New Zealand interest rate market is pricing in far too many cuts, far too early, from the current 5.50% OCR rate
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
8th Jan 24, 8:51am
1
Even though markets seem sure the US Fed Funds rate will need to fall as US inflation does - and that will make the USD weaker - Roger J Kerr warns managers to be aware of the risks to that weaker US dollar expectation
New Reserve Bank data adds extended transparency to deposits held by banks, bolstering the monitoring by the central bank ahead of the introduction of a deposit guarantee
29th Dec 23, 11:00am
44
New Reserve Bank data adds extended transparency to deposits held by banks, bolstering the monitoring by the central bank ahead of the introduction of a deposit guarantee
Harbour Asset Management's Hamish Pepper and Chris Di Leva look ahead into 2024 keeping their distance from the usual focus on tail risk, but with an eye on opportunity and a sober assessment of actual risks
28th Dec 23, 12:00pm
37
Harbour Asset Management's Hamish Pepper and Chris Di Leva look ahead into 2024 keeping their distance from the usual focus on tail risk, but with an eye on opportunity and a sober assessment of actual risks
Harbour Asset Management's Hamish Pepper explains why Harbour has adjusted its view as a fund manager after the RBNZ MPS and how it has reflected that in its positioning
24th Dec 23, 10:04am
10
Harbour Asset Management's Hamish Pepper explains why Harbour has adjusted its view as a fund manager after the RBNZ MPS and how it has reflected that in its positioning
Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr says the last five yards of the inflation battle are going to be tough
20th Dec 23, 10:44am
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Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr says the last five yards of the inflation battle are going to be tough
Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
20th Dec 23, 9:51am
21
Economists from ASB say momentum in the economy is grinding to a halt, meaning the Reserve Bank can cut the OCR sooner than they thought
Live-streamed video from the December 2023 appearance by RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr at the Finance & Expenditure Select Committee
20th Dec 23, 7:55am
4
Live-streamed video from the December 2023 appearance by RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr at the Finance & Expenditure Select Committee
ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
18th Dec 23, 2:28pm
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ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says it now looks more likely the Official Cash Rate will be cut in the second half of next year - rather than in 2025
Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession
18th Dec 23, 8:23am
5
Roger J Kerr says it has just taken an extraordinary length of time for the Fed and the markets to conclude that interest rates did not need to go any higher and would need to come down in 2024 to avoid a recession