currency risk
Global rates push higher on hawkish central bank talk and better European PMIs. NZD continues to languish, ahead of RBNZ MPS today. A 25bps hike today is the better bet; mortgage rates already up in the order of 175bps
24th Nov 21, 7:52am
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Global rates push higher on hawkish central bank talk and better European PMIs. NZD continues to languish, ahead of RBNZ MPS today. A 25bps hike today is the better bet; mortgage rates already up in the order of 175bps
A trio of strong US data and strong UK labour market data. USD and GBP notably stronger on the back of that; Only muted reaction in rates market; UST yields barely higher
17th Nov 21, 7:57am
A trio of strong US data and strong UK labour market data. USD and GBP notably stronger on the back of that; Only muted reaction in rates market; UST yields barely higher
Risk appetite deteriorates without any obvious trigger. US equities down from record highs, global bonds rally
10th Nov 21, 7:57am
Risk appetite deteriorates without any obvious trigger. US equities down from record highs, global bonds rally
RBA shows reluctance to embrace the inflation thematic and continues its dovish line, driving lower rates across the curve and dragging the AUD down
3rd Nov 21, 7:59am
RBA shows reluctance to embrace the inflation thematic and continues its dovish line, driving lower rates across the curve and dragging the AUD down
US and European break-even inflation rates push higher. US consumer confidence unexpectedly rises while consumer inflation expectations hit 13-year high
27th Oct 21, 7:55am
US and European break-even inflation rates push higher. US consumer confidence unexpectedly rises while consumer inflation expectations hit 13-year high
Risk appetite higher but market peels back bets on Fed hikes, seeing steeper Treasuries curve; US-10 year hits fresh 4-month high
20th Oct 21, 7:45am
Risk appetite higher but market peels back bets on Fed hikes, seeing steeper Treasuries curve; US-10 year hits fresh 4-month high
Fed officials seem to confirm a November tapering announcement is coming, with markets raising Fed rate hike expectations. Commodity currencies outperform
13th Oct 21, 7:48am
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Fed officials seem to confirm a November tapering announcement is coming, with markets raising Fed rate hike expectations. Commodity currencies outperform
Global equities rebound. Surging commodity prices push up break-even inflation yields; US 10-year rate back above 1.5%. OIS market prices in 86% chance of a 25bps RBNZ hike today
6th Oct 21, 7:51am
Global equities rebound. Surging commodity prices push up break-even inflation yields; US 10-year rate back above 1.5%. OIS market prices in 86% chance of a 25bps RBNZ hike today
Whiffs of stagflation see equity markets tumble and global rates continue to push higher as energy prices rise and global growth potholes deepen
29th Sep 21, 7:50am
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Whiffs of stagflation see equity markets tumble and global rates continue to push higher as energy prices rise and global growth potholes deepen
Equity markets settle after yesterday's chunky selloff. Still awaiting news on Evergrande restructuring. NZ rates lower and NZD on soft side post-RBNZ speech
22nd Sep 21, 7:44am
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Equity markets settle after yesterday's chunky selloff. Still awaiting news on Evergrande restructuring. NZ rates lower and NZD on soft side post-RBNZ speech
US CPI slightly lower than expected. Equity markets down again, safe havens outperform in the FX market. RBA pushes back against rate hike pricing
15th Sep 21, 7:44am
US CPI slightly lower than expected. Equity markets down again, safe havens outperform in the FX market. RBA pushes back against rate hike pricing
Mild risk off sees lower equity markets and stronger USD overnight. Global rates push higher in a week with increased supply. RBA does a dovish taper
8th Sep 21, 7:52am
Mild risk off sees lower equity markets and stronger USD overnight. Global rates push higher in a week with increased supply. RBA does a dovish taper
Plethora of global data releases show weaker activity and higher inflation. Global rates push higher on higher euro area inflation and nerves ahead of ECB next week
1st Sep 21, 7:52am
Plethora of global data releases show weaker activity and higher inflation. Global rates push higher on higher euro area inflation and nerves ahead of ECB next week
Risk appetite continues to increase driving up US equities, commodity prices and commodity currencies. RBNZ reinforces its policy message of higher rates, de-linked to the current COVID outbreak
25th Aug 21, 7:43am
Risk appetite continues to increase driving up US equities, commodity prices and commodity currencies. RBNZ reinforces its policy message of higher rates, de-linked to the current COVID outbreak
NZD and rates plunge as market reassesses near term monetary policy outlook. Weaker US retail sales send US equities lower, USD higher. NZD finds support at 0.69
18th Aug 21, 8:10am
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NZD and rates plunge as market reassesses near term monetary policy outlook. Weaker US retail sales send US equities lower, USD higher. NZD finds support at 0.69
Little news, but risk sentiment improves overnight. US and European equity indices at fresh record highs, commodity currencies rebound - NZD back with 0.70 handle. US 10-year rate continues to grind higher
11th Aug 21, 7:44am
Little news, but risk sentiment improves overnight. US and European equity indices at fresh record highs, commodity currencies rebound - NZD back with 0.70 handle. US 10-year rate continues to grind higher
Roger J Kerr assesses where the NZD stands at a time of great trade and political turbulence, and reckons the sudden re-emergence of inflation risk is a real concern
1st Jun 20, 9:42am
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Roger J Kerr assesses where the NZD stands at a time of great trade and political turbulence, and reckons the sudden re-emergence of inflation risk is a real concern
Simon Swallow explores the pros and pitfalls of transferring U.K. pension funds into KiwiSaver and comes to the conclusion it's a high risk proposition.
13th Sep 12, 3:19pm
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Simon Swallow explores the pros and pitfalls of transferring U.K. pension funds into KiwiSaver and comes to the conclusion it's a high risk proposition.
In part three of a series on investing 101, Sheryl Sutherland explores the range of risk and offers a how to guide for beginners.
21st May 12, 12:07pm
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In part three of a series on investing 101, Sheryl Sutherland explores the range of risk and offers a how to guide for beginners.