GDP
The country's largest bank says the types of spending most sensitive to interest rates are experiencing the largest falls
19th Sep 24, 11:35am
The country's largest bank says the types of spending most sensitive to interest rates are experiencing the largest falls
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
19th Sep 24, 10:53am
124
New Zealand’s per capita recession has surpassed the Global Financial Crisis after contracting for seven consecutive quarters
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
16th Sep 24, 2:21pm
47
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts see zero GDP growth in the 12 months to the end of March 2025
Activity in New Zealand’s services sector 'inched its way higher' during August
16th Sep 24, 11:53am
4
Activity in New Zealand’s services sector 'inched its way higher' during August
Roger J Kerr says the historical correlation would suggest the Japanese Yen still has a lot further to appreciate towards 130.00 and even lower as the bond differential heads to 2.50% through higher Japanese yields and lower US yields
16th Sep 24, 8:26am
Roger J Kerr says the historical correlation would suggest the Japanese Yen still has a lot further to appreciate towards 130.00 and even lower as the bond differential heads to 2.50% through higher Japanese yields and lower US yields
David Hargreaves assesses the prospects for the forthcoming quarterly GDP figures, which are likely to be grim, but might hopefully point to better times ahead
15th Sep 24, 6:30am
146
David Hargreaves assesses the prospects for the forthcoming quarterly GDP figures, which are likely to be grim, but might hopefully point to better times ahead
Large numbers of students pushed the monthly net migration gain to more than 5,000 in July
11th Sep 24, 11:33am
55
Large numbers of students pushed the monthly net migration gain to more than 5,000 in July
Roger J Kerr says all the economic indicators and financial market direction in the US point to continuing lower interest rates and a depreciating US dollar value
9th Sep 24, 8:27am
1
Roger J Kerr says all the economic indicators and financial market direction in the US point to continuing lower interest rates and a depreciating US dollar value
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
8th Sep 24, 6:30am
47
David Hargreaves examines the apparently set path we are on to a series of interest rate reductions and wonders if there could yet be some potholes along the way
The leading alternative to GDP is languishing over a technical disagreement with grave potential consequences, Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing & Nicholas Hanley argue
5th Sep 24, 11:02am
7
The leading alternative to GDP is languishing over a technical disagreement with grave potential consequences, Eoin McLaughlin, Cristián Ducoing & Nicholas Hanley argue
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
3rd Sep 24, 1:15pm
43
Soaring levels of business confidence in the wake of interest rate cuts have got the economists wondering how quickly the country's economy might get rolling again
Roger J Kerr says if the US had up-to-date and accurate economic measures of rents and jobs in the US economy, the Fed would have cut interest rates many months earlier
2nd Sep 24, 8:27am
2
Roger J Kerr says if the US had up-to-date and accurate economic measures of rents and jobs in the US economy, the Fed would have cut interest rates many months earlier
[updated]
'Things are looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms', says ANZ; Finance Minister says the survey shows businesses 'are feeling a whole lot better about the future'
29th Aug 24, 1:36pm
78
'Things are looking up, albeit from a pretty dark place for many firms', says ANZ; Finance Minister says the survey shows businesses 'are feeling a whole lot better about the future'
Our national airline is not providing any profit guidance for the new financial year in which it expects the 'tougher economic backdrop' of the past year to continue
29th Aug 24, 9:50am
22
Our national airline is not providing any profit guidance for the new financial year in which it expects the 'tougher economic backdrop' of the past year to continue
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham is suggesting ways New Zealand could reclaim the former superstar status he bestowed upon us
28th Aug 24, 2:48pm
22
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham is suggesting ways New Zealand could reclaim the former superstar status he bestowed upon us
Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has further to fall as the Fed commence the interest rate cutting cycle
26th Aug 24, 8:42am
5
Roger J Kerr says the US dollar has further to fall as the Fed commence the interest rate cutting cycle
BNZ head of research Stephen Toplis says it will take till 2029 for per capita GDP to return to previous levels
19th Aug 24, 2:36pm
75
BNZ head of research Stephen Toplis says it will take till 2029 for per capita GDP to return to previous levels
While service sector activity recovered a little last month from the 'horrendous' June results, the Performance of Services Index is still below the levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis
19th Aug 24, 11:36am
5
While service sector activity recovered a little last month from the 'horrendous' June results, the Performance of Services Index is still below the levels seen during the Global Financial Crisis
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ claim of victory over inflation may be premature
David Hargreaves says it might be in everyone's best interests if the Reserve Bank finds a less blunt way of communicating its thoughts on the future levels of the Official Cash Rate
18th Aug 24, 6:30am
105
David Hargreaves says it might be in everyone's best interests if the Reserve Bank finds a less blunt way of communicating its thoughts on the future levels of the Official Cash Rate
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
14th Aug 24, 2:11pm
289
Reserve Bank starts long awaited interest rate cuts, and is forecasting further cuts before the end of the year. It also now sees annual inflation falling to just 2.3% by the end of this quarter
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
12th Aug 24, 2:20pm
33
HSBC economist Paul Bloxham suggests the RBNZ's May Official Cash Rate guidance 'was not a genuine reflection of the central bank's reaction function'
Roger J Kerr believes the likely outcome of this week's Official Cash Rate review is that Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr 'will keep the markets guessing for a while longer'
12th Aug 24, 8:33am
42
Roger J Kerr believes the likely outcome of this week's Official Cash Rate review is that Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr 'will keep the markets guessing for a while longer'
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
11th Aug 24, 6:30am
138
David Hargreaves previews the forthcoming OCR review in which all attention revolves around whether the Reserve Bank will stick to its own script - or acquiesce to the urgings of financial markets for cuts, not so much now, as YESTERDAY, please
[updated]
'We strongly believe the Reserve Bank should be easing monetary policy as soon as possible. Indeed, we are on record as having said that it should already have done so'
6th Aug 24, 10:05am
125
'We strongly believe the Reserve Bank should be easing monetary policy as soon as possible. Indeed, we are on record as having said that it should already have done so'
