The Opening Bell: Where currencies start on Friday, October 13, 2017

By Dan Bell

The NZDUSD opens at 0.7144 (mid-rate) this morning.

The Kiwi is the strongest performer of the majors overnight as there was a delayed reaction to yesterday morning’s FOMC Meeting Minutes. After trading very marginally higher yesterday the NZD rallied strongly overnight in the US session to a new week high of 0.7146. This week’s NZDUSD range has been a narrow 92 points or 1.3% and the least volatile week in 4 months.

European Central Bank (ECB) President Mario Draghi spoke overnight saying the ECB's negative-rate policy has been a success. ECB sees some progress on wages but not enough and the ECB will be looking very intensely at labour market and wages.

European Union’s Head of Service and Chief negotiator for the 27 EU countries Michel Barnier woke the GBP from its slumber suggesting the EU may offer the UK a 2 year transition to stay in the EU market with the offer tied to UK meeting its exit obligations to the EU. The GBP/USD traded a 1.26% or 169 point range overnight as a result with the NZDGBP finishing 0.5% higher.

In the week ending October 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 243,000, a decrease of 15,000 from the previous week's revised level. The previous week's level was revised down by 2,000 from 260,000 to 258,000. The 4-week moving average was 257,500. A Labor Department official said Hurricane Harvey and Irma along with Maria affected claims for Texas, Florida, South Carolina, Puerto Rico.

U.S. Producer Prices rose in September as the price of gasoline recorded its biggest increase in more than two years amid production disruptions at oil refineries in Texas caused by Hurricane Harvey. The Labor Department said its PPI for final demand increased 0.4% last month after rising 0.2% in August. In the 12 months through September, the PPI jumped 2.6 percent. That was the biggest gain since February 2012. Core PPI was also 0.4% from 0.1% in September and better than the 0.2% expected.

US Crude Oil Inventories were -2.7 million ahead of -1.9 million expected and -6.0 million the previous week.

Global equity markets remain mixed: Dow -0.08%, S&P 500 -0.05%, FTSE +0.30%, DAX +0.09%, CAC -0.03%, Nikkei +0.35, Shanghai -0.06%.

Gold prices have rallied 0.6% or $8 currently trading at $1,294 an ounce. WTI Crude Oil prices have slid 1.1% lower overnight currently trading at $50.69 a barrel.

Current indicative rates:

NZDUSD    0.7144      1.0%
NZDEUR    0.6029      1.0%
NZDGBP    0.5381      0.5%
NZDJPY      80.11       0.7%
NZDAUD    0.9119      0.3%
NZDCAD    0.8902      0.7%
GBPNZD    1.8577     -0.5%

Upcoming Data releases (NZST):

  • 10:30am - NZD - Business NZ Manufacturing Index

To subscribe to our free daily Currency Rate Sheet and News email, enter your email address here.

Email:  

Dan Bell is the senior currency strategist at HiFX in Auckland. You can contact him here »

Daily exchange rates

Select chart tabs »
The 'US$' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'AU$' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'TWI' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The '¥en' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The '¥uan' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The '€uro' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'GBP' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ

We welcome your help to improve our coverage of this issue. Any examples or experiences to relate? Any links to other news, data or research to shed more light on this? Any insight or views on what might happen next or what should happen next? Any errors to correct?

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment or click on the "Register" link below a comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current Comment policy is here.