Days to the General Election: 24
See Party Policies here. Party Lists here.

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Monday; many rate cuts, house listings surge, interchange fees to fall, mortgage restructuring requests tail off, swaps flatten, NZD unchanged, & more

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Monday; many rate cuts, house listings surge, interchange fees to fall, mortgage restructuring requests tail off, swaps flatten, NZD unchanged, & more
ID 22702269 © Daniaphoto | Dreamstime.com

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
Kookmin Bank cut its fixed rates today.

TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
Kiwibank has reduced interest rate offers for almost all its savings accounts and all terms for its TD offers. The net result of these cuts positions Kiwibank similar to its main rivals. ANZ cut is bonus saver rate too.

LISTING SURGE
New residential property listings in Auckland were up +40% in July compared to July last year. There were strong rises on this basis in many other regions (although not all) but none quite as pronounced as for Auckland. Wellington was up +20% and Christchurch was unchanged. Hamilton rose +20% and Tauranga a bit less than +10%.

RETAIL NZ PLEASED WITH LOWER INTERCHANGE RATES
Retail NZ says reductions to Visa and Mastercard interchange rates this month mean merchants should generally be paying no more than about 0.6% for in store contactless debit and 1.4% for credit transactions. This comes with four of the big five banks having resumed charging small business customers for contactless debit transactions after providing relief at the onset of the Covid-19 crisis in March. It also comes with rival Paymark set to increase Eftpos fees in September. Retail NZ last year put weighted average merchant service fees at 1.1% for contactless debit and 1.5% for contactless credit. These compared to Australian figures of 0.6% and 1.4%, respectively.

Meanwhile Westpac says it will move most SME customers to a new “blended” merchant service fee in September, providing separated pricing depending on the transaction type. Merchants on this pricing structure will be charged a new maximum rate of 0.60% on contactless debit transactions, and contactless credit transactions will cost less than standard credit transactions, Westpac says. (You can see more on retail payments here).

SEAWALL UPGRADE
Our Auckland readers who need to go anywhere near Quay Street will know the area is best avoided and has been a construction mess for more than a year now. But what you may not know is that this work has had a new seawall reinforcing project added that will keep the area a traffic nightmare for longer yet, at least through the rest of 2020. This video is an interesting review of the engineering nature and scale of this aspect of the project. (The 'beautification' and anti-car changes are something else, designed to keep the disabled and non-bike riders away from easy access to the harbour foreshore and ferries.)

TAILING OFF
In the week to July 24 there were only 391 requests of banks to restructure or defer mortgage loan payments. That was down from 28,000 in the week of April 10, 2020. (There were another 270 requests to restructure to 'interest-only' in that July 24 week.) The same data however shows that the 10,500 borrowers who are currently on mortgage payment deferrals have a relatively low mortgage balance owing of $203,500 and that suggests it is low income borrowers who are under the most housing stress. And that in turn suggests the end of wage support programs in September could have a sharp impact on this trend.

HONEYPOT
If you thought the new management broom at Fonterra has tightened the purse strings, you may have to re-think that. The AFR is reporting that Fonterra's spend on consulting is so large that it is a headline reason EY has reported a sharp rise in revenues. Specifically: "EY's five key consulting "focus accounts" – Defence, Services Australia, Fonterra, NBN Co and Rio Tinto – generated about $130 million in sales, or about one-fifth of its AU$655 million in consulting sales."

A DOWN-TREND BUILDS
In Australia, housing values racked up a third consecutive month of declines in July, with CoreLogic’s home value index dropping -0.6% in July from June. On a year-ago basis they are still +7% higher but that will start to whittle away faster from here on. The past three months follow nine consecutive months of gains, which itself followed 18 months of declines in the prior 21 months. More here.

CHINA USES ITS OVERSEAS 'TROOPS'
China's pressure on its overseas students has resulted in the University of NSW hiding an article critical of China’s human rights record after a backlash from Chinese students. But after a negative backlash, the University reposted it as "opinion'.

'UNREALISTIC ASSUMPTIONS'
Australian regulator ASIC is increasingly concerned about how companies recognise revenue, and the impairment of non-financial assets. They say: "Directors and auditors need to focus on impairment of non-financial assets in financial reports to ensure the market is properly informed about asset values and expected future performance implied by those values. We continue to find instances where companies have made unrealistic and unsupportable assumptions about future cash flows." Our FMA has been looking at similar issues.

EQUITY UPDATES
The S&P500 ended last week in New York with a very late surge. And the futures index suggests prices will rise at the opening tomorrow. However, today the NZX50 Capital Index is heading for a -0.3% fall led by weakness from Scales, Pushpay, and the banks. The ASX200 is heading for an unchanged result. Shanghai has just opened and showing a strong +1.2% start. Tokyo is even stronger in its opening session, up +1.9%. but Hong Kong is -0.8% lower so far.

SWAP RATES UPDATE
The flattening of interest rate curves is still underway. Swap rates were probably much flatter today with more reductions coming at the long end. We don't have final wholesale swap rates movement details yet, but we will update this later in the day if they show a significant different movement. The 90-day bank bill rate is unchanged at 0.30%. The Aussie Govt 10yr is up +3 bps at 0.86%. The China Govt 10yr is firmer at +2 bps at 2.99%. But the NZ Govt 10yr yield is down another -3 bps to 0.74% and the lowest since late May. The UST 10yr has held near a record low, but marginally above at 0.54%.

NZ DOLLAR HOLDS
The Kiwi dollar has run softer today, now at 66.3 USc and bedding in the weekend rise of the greenback. And against the Aussie we are little-changed at 92.9 AUc. Against the euro we are also unchanged at 56.3 euro cents. And that means the TWI-5 is little-changed at 69.6.

BITCOIN STAYS FIRM
The price of bitcoin is back at its Friday level, now at US$11,186.. The bitcoin price is charted in the currency set below.

This soil moisture chart is animated here.

The easiest place to stay up with event risk today is by following our Economic Calendar here ».

Daily exchange rates

Select chart tabs »

The 'US$' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'AU$' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'TWI' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The '¥en' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The '¥uan' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The '€uro' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'GBP' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
Daily benchmark rate
Source: RBNZ
The 'Bitcoin' chart will be drawn here.
Loading...
End of day UTC
Source: CoinDesk

We welcome your comments below. If you are not already registered, please register to comment.

Remember we welcome robust, respectful and insightful debate. We don't welcome abusive or defamatory comments and will de-register those repeatedly making such comments. Our current comment policy is here.

48 Comments

"The 'beautification' and anti-car changes are something else, designed to keep the disabled and non-bike riders away from easy access to the harbour foreshore and ferries" - Nice try David. We need a busy 4 lane road separating the harbour from the city or otherwise there is no access for disabled people?

Yeah that line is ridiculous. Using the waterfront as a thoroughfare for cars to take a shortcut instead of the SH16 Port exit makes no sense at all. And claiming it it designed to keep people away from the area is desperate at best.

Yep, much better just reporting the facts I think, David.

Was in central chch a short while ago and was intrigued by the cars on the road in many streets. There was no where for them to park or stop or do anything but drive through. So why were they even there, the areas that were closed to traffic appeared to be thriving.
What's the cost if shifting those trees to and fro, how many families could you house buy simply planting new ones and wait a few years?

As someone who was 'temporarily disabled' a couple of years ago with a broken leg, it was a nightmare getting through Auckland's car dominated streets.
Having said that, bloody e-ecooters were an awful hazard too!

I used the waterfront to go from North to East because... well, that's how you used to do it. The Grafton connection is stupid, there's two intersections stupidly close to one another and it can take seven or eight minutes to go 100m. There is a tonne of foot traffic thanks to the student village and university either side and no over-bridge. It's a mess, quite frankly. I don't blame people for still using Fanshawe St like they did for decades before the SH16 connection was tarted up.

Fonterra had teamed up with Coca Cola in Asia to deliver RTD nutrition based drinks to market. Seems like a revolving door of people in commercial roles in the region.

Yeah and when the council does anti car projects, by default it includes anti electric car as well.

Electric cars are the right answer to the wrong question.

The right question would be: how do we get more child labourers in conflict zones into mining coltan for batteries?

Hush, if we talk about that we will have to start talking about Soya beans and rainforest devastation and inhibiting their soya latte, which will throw Wellington onto terminal WTF and take 50c off the cost of coffee killing the coffee outlets...

Coltan? Do you mean cobalt?

Just out of interest are you as concerned about the resource use of batteries as used in every laptop and cellphone or is it only when used in cars?

I mean coltan.
I'm not concerned about resources used, nor how they are extracted, nor how they are used. I only aim to point out the futile and hypocritical arguments made by those who consider themselves enlightened thinkers when it comes to 'sustainability' and 'environmentally friendly' solutions for better societal outcomes. Someone said it on here earlier: it's weapons grade propaganda and ideology.

I DONT THANK SO - " better societal outcomes" are a long way off where the extraction of resources are concerned - now get off my property

Yes, and when someone can point out the huge cost of smelting and refining all the other goodies that go into the engines, gearboxes etc in ICE cars and the fuel that power them, it might be fair. But I'm yet to see a total emissions study that wasn't totally flawed or pretended that ICEs were made of gumdrops by kittens in a hugtory on lollipop lane, while batteries are made by Satan in.... Gore.

Not a bad day then

All in all a stunning day, no major indications pointing towards disaster.

Gold hit all time high price in AUD today. I guess the same for NZD. Might not be such a milestone going forward.

Over 2000 USD on some of the derivative exchanges at one point. Don't forget if you adjust for inflation, the ATH is still in the 1980s!

And then we have the actual physical price.
Gold delivery month for the COMEX... Can they deliver or are the shelves empty?

Don't forget if you adjust for inflation, the ATH is still in the 1980s!

Don't know how much I read into the inflation-adjusted gold price assuming it's adjusted to the CPI. Probably a better measure would be the price adjusted to total stock to value relative to money supply.

lol - where's guwop?

Getting out of the USD as fast as possible.

Anyone here investing to US shares / etfs / funds ? Would be interested in seeing what people are picking up.

TLT, IVV, GDX.

I've got a bit of the US top 500, USF through sharesies.

Don't plan to buy more anytime soon given the current state of the States.

I'm long geothermal and fresh water - volcanic plateau - West coast rainforest

Earning?

Is that what they call it?

10
up

Mystical prophet Ashley Church takes on the persecution of landlords (like that of the Jewish diaspora) and reiterates that house prices won't crash (as revealed in the scriptures or from a higher power one would assume). Together with Duncan Garner, a great display of 'speaking in tongues.'

https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/money/2020/08/government-slammed-as-most-...

If only we had Simon Bridges instead as PM the world would be our lobster.

Three years to do something about that..... it was called Kiwi Build. What did it fix?
Jacinda wants to do Kiwi build, FAIL, and then wants to slap the people that actually deliver what she can not deliver.
Sorry about presenting that fact.

Yeah Kezza and Nick (Dick) Smith before that. The thing is Dick had Nine Years to solve the problem and still Failed. He did get a tremendous amount of people into Motels though, which was a Costly Expensive Fail. And there still their today......

If the TOP tax policy gets in there will be a "reversion to mean". Will the rent enslaved youth actually vote there own interests.....History shows they dont, which is why the policy protects the interest of those that do.

Yeah funny a lot of them vote Green and haven't realised that the Greens are useless yet but want to fit in with their mates.

They can probably ascertain the truth about rainforest depletion, though.

Which puts them a long way ahead of those who have to lie down with those who demand palm-kernel, stolen phosphate, the removal of democracy.....

Still havent figured out that the Greens would be the last Party that could organize doing anything about it.
Totally agree with the distuction but no party that has the ability to do something about it.
The Greens may have some good ideas but let's face it, one or two of their crazy ideas do more harm than good and turn everyone away.

even if they only pay lip service to the environment it will still be a lot more than any of the other "growth is good" pretenders

That's the thing. The Greens, in all truth, are still pretty moderate with regard to the environment.
It's quite shocking seeing how many redneck, right wing trolls abuse the Greens on Greens posts on Facebook. Angry men! Sad and pathetic.

The thing with the Greens is they start trying to think and be part of the political spectrum. In doing that they shoot themselves in the foot with some crazy ideas that most pwoople can see are just crackpot ar best.
For all means talk green but on tax and other subjects, just stay quite.

What are their crazy ideas?

I can see environmentalism swinging towards the right and protecting the status quo - when the US military is actively studying environmental changes for advantage it's only a matter of time

They would get a hell of a lot more done as a lobby group.

TOP won't get in, they had their one big chance last election and blew it, and now they have a bunch of bookish personality-less nerds at the helm. wasted vote along with NC and NZPP, ALCP, ONE party and Vision. This election is going to be interesting only to see if NZ first goes under, or greens. 50/50 on NZ first surviving, but Greens are likely to make it.

NZ First are the classic usurper - cuckoo - etc - totally devoid of original ideas and just coat tail in on the backs of those they think they can influence or stand over - at least Shaw is standing up in his own indefatigable way

Wholeheartedly agree.

I’ll add though that those “economists” at TOP are like doctors of the 19th century - the patients that visited them were statistically more likely to die than if they hadn’t.

Ashley should run for the National Party.

So much that is laughable in that article, not least the bit about overseas kiwis doing virtual open homes. Sure some might be, but how many? Got any stats?
Nope! But throw it out there anyway, to spruik the market up a bit more.
Shameless.

Days to the General Election: 24
See Party Policies here. Party Lists here.