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David Chaston is the publisher of interest.co.nz and is commited to ensuring readers get the latest information on interest rates, and the forces that move them.
David Chaston
Latest articles
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; spring housing market lackluster, wages up, Tower soggy, EU-NZ FTA up-voted, another strong bond tender. swaps up, NZD on hold, & more
23rd Nov 23, 4:00pm
27
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; spring housing market lackluster, wages up, Tower soggy, EU-NZ FTA up-voted, another strong bond tender. swaps up, NZD on hold, & more
US data unimpressive; Canada says done with rate hikes; Australia flags rising inflation challenge; China confronts credit stress; ECB sees stress; UST 10yr 4.43%; gold down and oil sinks; NZ$1 = 60.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
23rd Nov 23, 7:19am
72
US data unimpressive; Canada says done with rate hikes; Australia flags rising inflation challenge; China confronts credit stress; ECB sees stress; UST 10yr 4.43%; gold down and oil sinks; NZ$1 = 60.7 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; one retail rate change, dairy price variances, card transactions lackluster, Air NZ upgraded, swaps stable, NZ on hold, & more
22nd Nov 23, 3:59pm
102
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; one retail rate change, dairy price variances, card transactions lackluster, Air NZ upgraded, swaps stable, NZ on hold, & more
Dairy prices hold in USD, fall in NZD; US real estate markets weak; Canada inflation retreats; China's birthrate dives; UST 10yr 4.43%; gold up and oil slips; NZ$1 = 60.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
22nd Nov 23, 7:25am
61
Dairy prices hold in USD, fall in NZD; US real estate markets weak; Canada inflation retreats; China's birthrate dives; UST 10yr 4.43%; gold up and oil slips; NZ$1 = 60.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; trade levels shrink, farmers buy fewer tractors, eyes on dairy auction, credit card use limp, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
21st Nov 23, 3:59pm
20
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; trade levels shrink, farmers buy fewer tractors, eyes on dairy auction, credit card use limp, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
Eyes on US retail activity; China leaves key lending rates unchanged; Taiwan export orders rise; Argentina's new mess; Turkey trapped; UST 10yr 4.42%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
21st Nov 23, 7:19am
71
Eyes on US retail activity; China leaves key lending rates unchanged; Taiwan export orders rise; Argentina's new mess; Turkey trapped; UST 10yr 4.42%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.2 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Kiwibank ups its 1yr home loan rate, warehouse construction pipeline swells; deflation in online retail, Tower quits rural; swaps up, NZD firm, & more
20th Nov 23, 4:00pm
69
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Kiwibank ups its 1yr home loan rate, warehouse construction pipeline swells; deflation in online retail, Tower quits rural; swaps up, NZD firm, & more
China FDI weaker; US housing starts stronger; US finds missing workers; Canada PPI falling; EU C/A surplus swells; Argentina votes; UST 10yr 4.44%; gold and oil stable; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
20th Nov 23, 7:19am
54
China FDI weaker; US housing starts stronger; US finds missing workers; Canada PPI falling; EU C/A surplus swells; Argentina votes; UST 10yr 4.44%; gold and oil stable; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
Looking at wholesale interest rates, there are signs that we may be at 'peak rate' about now. Savers should watch for signs that lower rate offers may be imminent. Borrowers may get some relief in early 2024
18th Nov 23, 9:46am
46
Looking at wholesale interest rates, there are signs that we may be at 'peak rate' about now. Savers should watch for signs that lower rate offers may be imminent. Borrowers may get some relief in early 2024
American housing starts rise; missing workers may be found; US & China struggle with FDI; Canada PPI lower; UST 10yr 4.43%; gold eases but oil recovers; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69
18th Nov 23, 8:01am
29
American housing starts rise; missing workers may be found; US & China struggle with FDI; Canada PPI lower; UST 10yr 4.43%; gold eases but oil recovers; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; a mortgage rate cut, worker share of GDP rises, producer costs rise faster than prices, swaps retreat, NZD lower, & more
17th Nov 23, 3:59pm
52
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; a mortgage rate cut, worker share of GDP rises, producer costs rise faster than prices, swaps retreat, NZD lower, & more
US second-tier data generally unimpressive; China's house prices fall; Australian jobless rate rises; freight rates rise; UST 10yr 4.44%; gold up but oil sharply lower; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
17th Nov 23, 7:20am
110
US second-tier data generally unimpressive; China's house prices fall; Australian jobless rate rises; freight rates rise; UST 10yr 4.44%; gold up but oil sharply lower; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; October real estate market muted, stampede for NZGBs, trust details emerge, population surges, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
16th Nov 23, 3:59pm
25
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; October real estate market muted, stampede for NZGBs, trust details emerge, population surges, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
Xi in US; tame US data as inflation impulse eases; US shutdown threat fades; weaker data from Japan, China and the EU; Aussie wages up less than inflation; UST 10yr 4.55%; gold and oil lower; NZ$1 = 60.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
16th Nov 23, 7:20am
58
Xi in US; tame US data as inflation impulse eases; US shutdown threat fades; weaker data from Japan, China and the EU; Aussie wages up less than inflation; UST 10yr 4.55%; gold and oil lower; NZ$1 = 60.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; global forces reset rates, local wallets close, migration touches new record, inflation expectations turn more realistic, swaps fall, NZD rises, & more
15th Nov 23, 4:00pm
30
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; global forces reset rates, local wallets close, migration touches new record, inflation expectations turn more realistic, swaps fall, NZD rises, & more
US CPI inflation eases more than expected; this draws outsized market reactions; China mulls more housing assistance; EU GDP lame; NAB sentiment falls; UST 10yr 4.47%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 59.9 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
15th Nov 23, 7:19am
72
US CPI inflation eases more than expected; this draws outsized market reactions; China mulls more housing assistance; EU GDP lame; NAB sentiment falls; UST 10yr 4.47%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 59.9 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; food price pressure eases, QV sees larger capital gains, car insurance premiums up sharply, swaps stabilise, NZD softish, & more
14th Nov 23, 3:58pm
46
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; food price pressure eases, QV sees larger capital gains, car insurance premiums up sharply, swaps stabilise, NZD softish, & more
US inflation expectations stable; SME pessimism lifts; US budget shutdown threat again; Japan data weak; India CPI slips; China new yuan loans soft; RBA sees bumpy road; UST 10yr 4.64%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 68.8
14th Nov 23, 7:19am
13
US inflation expectations stable; SME pessimism lifts; US budget shutdown threat again; Japan data weak; India CPI slips; China new yuan loans soft; RBA sees bumpy road; UST 10yr 4.64%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 68.8
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more dwellings hit Auckland housing market, PSI not expanding, grocery price pressure eases, ANZ profits, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
13th Nov 23, 3:59pm
41
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; more dwellings hit Auckland housing market, PSI not expanding, grocery price pressure eases, ANZ profits, swaps up, NZD stable, & more
Moody's dials back US credit rating; US sentiment sluggish; eyes on APEC summit; China discounting embeds deflation; DP World kneecapped in Australia; UST 10yr 4.65%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
13th Nov 23, 7:19am
57
Moody's dials back US credit rating; US sentiment sluggish; eyes on APEC summit; China discounting embeds deflation; DP World kneecapped in Australia; UST 10yr 4.65%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
US eyes on CPI and inflation expectations; APEC meeting between Biden and Xi confirmed; China car sales top out; India factories unexpectedly retreat; UST 10yr 4.62%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
11th Nov 23, 8:46am
57
US eyes on CPI and inflation expectations; APEC meeting between Biden and Xi confirmed; China car sales top out; India factories unexpectedly retreat; UST 10yr 4.62%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 58.9 USc; TWI-5 = 68.9
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, rental yields tick higher, PMI slumps, less ready-mixed concrete, swaps turn higher, NZD stable, & more
10th Nov 23, 3:59pm
40
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; no retail rate changes, rental yields tick higher, PMI slumps, less ready-mixed concrete, swaps turn higher, NZD stable, & more
US jobless claims rise; China slips into deflation; Ping An loses; Apple loses; air travel up; container freight rates up; UST 10yr 4.62%; gold up and oil stays low; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
10th Nov 23, 7:19am
26
US jobless claims rise; China slips into deflation; Ping An loses; Apple loses; air travel up; container freight rates up; UST 10yr 4.62%; gold up and oil stays low; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Crown accounts confirm deficits, fewer job ads, BNZ posts record profit, huge NZGB demand, swaps lower, NZ stable, & more
9th Nov 23, 3:59pm
44
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; Crown accounts confirm deficits, fewer job ads, BNZ posts record profit, huge NZGB demand, swaps lower, NZ stable, & more
US data lackluster; drought effects bite in beef markets; China plays with fire over restructuring plans; Aussie drought shift; global air cargo up; UST 10yr 4.53%; gold and oil down again; NZ$1 = 59.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69
9th Nov 23, 7:24am
51
US data lackluster; drought effects bite in beef markets; China plays with fire over restructuring plans; Aussie drought shift; global air cargo up; UST 10yr 4.53%; gold and oil down again; NZ$1 = 59.3 USc; TWI-5 = 69