About
David Chaston is the publisher of interest.co.nz and is commited to ensuring readers get the latest information on interest rates, and the forces that move them.
David Chaston
Latest articles
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more rate offer jumps for NoticeSaver accounts, PMI expanding faster, yet another Du Val warning, Q4 business data mixed, swaps fall, NZ soft, & more
10th Mar 23, 3:59pm
71
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more rate offer jumps for NoticeSaver accounts, PMI expanding faster, yet another Du Val warning, Q4 business data mixed, swaps fall, NZ soft, & more
Eyes on US non-farm payrolls as jobless claims and layoffs rise; China inflation very low as demand stays weak; Japan machine tool orders weak; UST 10yr 3.93%; gold and oil turn firmer; NZ$1 = 61.3 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
10th Mar 23, 7:19am
87
Eyes on US non-farm payrolls as jobless claims and layoffs rise; China inflation very low as demand stays weak; Japan machine tool orders weak; UST 10yr 3.93%; gold and oil turn firmer; NZ$1 = 61.3 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; another bank offers a 6% TD, property values decline faster, Chinese inflation threatens to deflate, swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
9th Mar 23, 3:59pm
117
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; another bank offers a 6% TD, property values decline faster, Chinese inflation threatens to deflate, swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
US data strong, especially in their jobs market; Canada pauses rate hikes; Chinese banks face unexpected mortgage pressure; air travel recovers sharply; UST 10yr 3.99%; gold and oil weaker again; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
9th Mar 23, 7:31am
57
US data strong, especially in their jobs market; Canada pauses rate hikes; Chinese banks face unexpected mortgage pressure; air travel recovers sharply; UST 10yr 3.99%; gold and oil weaker again; NZ$1 = 61.2 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, dairy auction disappoints, job ads top out? storms mess with official data, swaps firm, NZD slips, & more
8th Mar 23, 3:59pm
67
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, dairy auction disappoints, job ads top out? storms mess with official data, swaps firm, NZD slips, & more
Dairy prices weaker; Powell more hawkish; US data weaker; Chinese exports fall sharply; ditto many others; RBA hawkish on rate settings; UST 10yr 3.96%; gold and oil weaker; NZ$1 = 61.3 USc; TWI-5 = 70.2
8th Mar 23, 7:24am
96
Dairy prices weaker; Powell more hawkish; US data weaker; Chinese exports fall sharply; ditto many others; RBA hawkish on rate settings; UST 10yr 3.96%; gold and oil weaker; NZ$1 = 61.3 USc; TWI-5 = 70.2
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; more small retail rate changes, inflation turbocharges the tax take, slide in auction activity, eyes on dairy prices, swaps firm, NZD soft, & more
7th Mar 23, 3:59pm
38
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; more small retail rate changes, inflation turbocharges the tax take, slide in auction activity, eyes on dairy prices, swaps firm, NZD soft, & more
US factory orders mixed; Canada PMI retreats; China's budget reveals priorities; EU retail sales low on cheaper fuel; Aussie inflation eases; RBA still expected to hike again; UST 10yr 3.98%; gold down and oil firm; NZ$1 = 61.9 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
7th Mar 23, 7:19am
66
US factory orders mixed; Canada PMI retreats; China's budget reveals priorities; EU retail sales low on cheaper fuel; Aussie inflation eases; RBA still expected to hike again; UST 10yr 3.98%; gold down and oil firm; NZ$1 = 61.9 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; minor retail rate tweaks, construction slows, Auckland storm claims to top $1 bln, commodity prices stop falling, swaps and NZD stable, & more
6th Mar 23, 3:59pm
54
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; minor retail rate tweaks, construction slows, Auckland storm claims to top $1 bln, commodity prices stop falling, swaps and NZD stable, & more
Global food prices ease; China targets 5% GDP growth; India's service sector expands faster; US services do too; Canada and Australia to review rates; UST 10yr 3.96%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 62.2 USc; TWI-5 = 70.5
6th Mar 23, 7:19am
81
Global food prices ease; China targets 5% GDP growth; India's service sector expands faster; US services do too; Canada and Australia to review rates; UST 10yr 3.96%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 62.2 USc; TWI-5 = 70.5
US, China and India report strong service sector expansions; Fed and ECB say higher rates needed; EU PPI falls; Aussie home lending weak; UST 10yr 3.97%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 62.1 USc; TWI-5 = 70.4
4th Mar 23, 8:37am
47
US, China and India report strong service sector expansions; Fed and ECB say higher rates needed; EU PPI falls; Aussie home lending weak; UST 10yr 3.97%; gold and oil up; NZ$1 = 62.1 USc; TWI-5 = 70.4
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; few minor retail rate changes, lifestyle block market sinks, prepare for a long retirement, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
3rd Mar 23, 3:59pm
107
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; few minor retail rate changes, lifestyle block market sinks, prepare for a long retirement, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
US labour markets still showing its strength; Hong Kong retail rebounds; EU inflation stays high; Aussie building consents slump; freight rates down again; UST 10yr 4.08%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 62.1 USc; TWI-5 = 70.6
3rd Mar 23, 7:26am
61
US labour markets still showing its strength; Hong Kong retail rebounds; EU inflation stays high; Aussie building consents slump; freight rates down again; UST 10yr 4.08%; gold down and oil up; NZ$1 = 62.1 USc; TWI-5 = 70.6
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; still no main bank rate moves, realtors in deep valley, terms of trade improve, bond yields rise, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
2nd Mar 23, 3:59pm
54
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; still no main bank rate moves, realtors in deep valley, terms of trade improve, bond yields rise, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
China's PMIs turn very positive; global factories back in expansion mode; US data contracting; price pressure still high in Germany, Australia; UST 10yr 3.99%; gold firm and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 62.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.8
2nd Mar 23, 7:22am
34
China's PMIs turn very positive; global factories back in expansion mode; US data contracting; price pressure still high in Germany, Australia; UST 10yr 3.99%; gold firm and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 62.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.8
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; the first floating rate increases appear, house values shrink, consents down, car sales weak, KiwiSaver returns negative, swaps hold, NZD firm, & more
1st Mar 23, 3:59pm
54
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; the first floating rate increases appear, house values shrink, consents down, car sales weak, KiwiSaver returns negative, swaps hold, NZD firm, & more
US data uninspiring; Canada Q4 GDP stalls; India Q4 GDP less than expected; Japan retail strong, factories weak; Aussie immigration surge noticed; UST 10yr 3.93%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.3
1st Mar 23, 7:19am
15
US data uninspiring; Canada Q4 GDP stalls; India Q4 GDP less than expected; Japan retail strong, factories weak; Aussie immigration surge noticed; UST 10yr 3.93%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; still no mortgage rate hikes from the big banks, business sentiment subdued, the forestry ETS problem, the home loan pain cliff, swaps high, NZD stable, & more
28th Feb 23, 3:59pm
66
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; still no mortgage rate hikes from the big banks, business sentiment subdued, the forestry ETS problem, the home loan pain cliff, swaps high, NZD stable, & more
US durable goods orders soft on aircraft dip; US pending home sales rise unexpectedly; Hong Kong exports slump; EU-UK update deal on NI; UST 10yr 3.92%; gold firm and oil little-changed; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70
28th Feb 23, 7:19am
75
US durable goods orders soft on aircraft dip; US pending home sales rise unexpectedly; Hong Kong exports slump; EU-UK update deal on NI; UST 10yr 3.92%; gold firm and oil little-changed; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TD rates start to move, retail sales volumes fall, corporates chase more bond funding, auctions slow, swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
27th Feb 23, 3:59pm
62
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; TD rates start to move, retail sales volumes fall, corporates chase more bond funding, auctions slow, swaps firm, NZD stable, & more
China changing central bank boss; Japan inflation rises; American inflation stays high; US sentiment improves; Buffett wants you to ignore his big investment losses; UST 10yr 3.95%; gold weak and oil little-changed; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.2
27th Feb 23, 7:19am
22
China changing central bank boss; Japan inflation rises; American inflation stays high; US sentiment improves; Buffett wants you to ignore his big investment losses; UST 10yr 3.95%; gold weak and oil little-changed; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.2
Days have passed since the last +50 bps RBNZ rate hike, but no banks have changed retail rates yet, for either home loans or term deposits. And this is despite Adrian Orr calling out the banks over low rates for savers
25th Feb 23, 9:04am
17
Days have passed since the last +50 bps RBNZ rate hike, but no banks have changed retail rates yet, for either home loans or term deposits. And this is despite Adrian Orr calling out the banks over low rates for savers
US inflation resists the Fed; US new home sales rise and sentiment improves; Japanese inflation rises; Singapore suffers; China dumps central bank boss; UST 10yr 3.95%; gold weak and oil firm; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
25th Feb 23, 8:40am
42
US inflation resists the Fed; US new home sales rise and sentiment improves; Japanese inflation rises; Singapore suffers; China dumps central bank boss; UST 10yr 3.95%; gold weak and oil firm; NZ$1 = 61.6 USc; TWI-5 = 70.1
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; some juicy call rates, a new recovery visa, lower milk payout price, mortgage commitment slump, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
24th Feb 23, 3:59pm
70
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; some juicy call rates, a new recovery visa, lower milk payout price, mortgage commitment slump, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
US data resilient; Taiwan data weak; mad-cow confirmed in Brazil; Aussie migration boom underway; global trade contracts; UST 10yr 3.91%; gold down and oil holds; NZ$1 = 62.1 USc; TWI-5 = 70.3
24th Feb 23, 7:21am
76
US data resilient; Taiwan data weak; mad-cow confirmed in Brazil; Aussie migration boom underway; global trade contracts; UST 10yr 3.91%; gold down and oil holds; NZ$1 = 62.1 USc; TWI-5 = 70.3