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Jason Wong

About

Jason Wong is BNZ’s currency strategist, producing analysis that informs the NZD view. He is also a part of National Australia Bank’s (NAB) Global FX Strategy team, which covers currency markets more broadly, with a focus on the G10 currencies.

Member for

8 years 7 months

Latest articles

NZD holding its ground
NZD trades this morning at 0.6870, a similar level as at this time yesterday; AUD came under pressure yesterday; EUR’s downtrend this month has continued; biggest loser for the day has been a weaker CAD
7th Dec 17, 7:43am
by Jason Wong
NZD trades this morning at 0.6870, a similar level as at this time yesterday; AUD came under pressure yesterday; EUR’s downtrend this month has continued; biggest loser for the day has been a weaker CAD
UST yields slip
Markets expect US Fed hike, but long rates slip causing a yield curve flattening. NZ rates rise and steepen. Eyes on AU GDP and US jobs data
6th Dec 17, 8:20am
by Jason Wong
Markets expect US Fed hike, but long rates slip causing a yield curve flattening. NZ rates rise and steepen. Eyes on AU GDP and US jobs data
NZD up on all crosses
NZD met some resistance just over the 0.69 mark and has slipped in overnight trading to around 0.6875; higher than expected Australian retail sales gave the AUD a boost yesterday; USD has made some ground against EUR, GBP and JPY
6th Dec 17, 8:09am
by Jason Wong
NZD met some resistance just over the 0.69 mark and has slipped in overnight trading to around 0.6875; higher than expected Australian retail sales gave the AUD a boost yesterday; USD has made some ground against EUR, GBP and JPY
Global rates higher
UST 10yr yield opened higher and traded a tight range since, up 3 bps to 2.39%; European rates are also higher; in the local rates market, downward pressure remained evident for money market rates
5th Dec 17, 8:13am
by Jason Wong
UST 10yr yield opened higher and traded a tight range since, up 3 bps to 2.39%; European rates are also higher; in the local rates market, downward pressure remained evident for money market rates
USD recovers losses, NZD lower
NZD trading at 0.6840 USD, close to its session lows; today's direction to be determined by Acting Governor Spencer's speech; GBP has had a volatile session
5th Dec 17, 8:07am
by Jason Wong
NZD trading at 0.6840 USD, close to its session lows; today's direction to be determined by Acting Governor Spencer's speech; GBP has had a volatile session
Volatile Friday night
NZD made up some lost ground, ending the week around 0.6890 USD; USD was weaker, with the TWI major index down 0.6%; global rates were lower, UST 10yr dived 10 bps to 2.32%; local rates had a slight downward bias
4th Dec 17, 8:18am
by Jason Wong
NZD made up some lost ground, ending the week around 0.6890 USD; USD was weaker, with the TWI major index down 0.6%; global rates were lower, UST 10yr dived 10 bps to 2.32%; local rates had a slight downward bias
Waiting for the Govt to wind up its spending machine
NZ-US 10-year bond spread down to 34 bps, the lowest since 1993. UST 10yr up to 2.42% but volatility lowest since 1979
1st Dec 17, 8:58am
by Jason Wong
NZ-US 10-year bond spread down to 34 bps, the lowest since 1993. UST 10yr up to 2.42% but volatility lowest since 1979
NZD falls on weak business confidence
NZD is about 0.7% weaker than it was this time yesterday, trading at 0.6840 USD; EUR and GBP have outperformed; month-end flows seem to be dominating USD moves
1st Dec 17, 8:06am
by Jason Wong
NZD is about 0.7% weaker than it was this time yesterday, trading at 0.6840 USD; EUR and GBP have outperformed; month-end flows seem to be dominating USD moves
GBP and global rates up
GBP is up 0.8% to 1.3445 USD on promising Brexit talks; in the bond markets, yields are up across the board; NZD is around where it closed the local session at 0.6890 USD; local swap rates down 2-3bps
30th Nov 17, 7:52am
by Jason Wong
GBP is up 0.8% to 1.3445 USD on promising Brexit talks; in the bond markets, yields are up across the board; NZD is around where it closed the local session at 0.6890 USD; local swap rates down 2-3bps
USD recovers a little, UST yields slightly lower
NZD holds the top performing spot for the second day in a row, trading at 0.6925 USD; USD TWI majors index is up 0.3%; UST 2-year rate is flat, while the 10yr rate is down 1bp to 2.32%; local yields were 1 bp lower across the curve
29th Nov 17, 8:15am
by Jason Wong
NZD holds the top performing spot for the second day in a row, trading at 0.6925 USD; USD TWI majors index is up 0.3%; UST 2-year rate is flat, while the 10yr rate is down 1bp to 2.32%; local yields were 1 bp lower across the curve
US flattens, NZ steepens
US yields flatten further but NZ rates perk up at the long end. Powell faces confirmation hearings with pressure to wind back GFC reforms
28th Nov 17, 8:45am
by Jason Wong
US yields flatten further but NZ rates perk up at the long end. Powell faces confirmation hearings with pressure to wind back GFC reforms
NZD outperforms
NZD up 0.5%, trading at 0.6910 USD after reaching a high of 0.6926 this morning; the gain is broadly based, except against the JPY, which was the other outperformer
28th Nov 17, 8:05am
by Jason Wong
NZD up 0.5%, trading at 0.6910 USD after reaching a high of 0.6926 this morning; the gain is broadly based, except against the JPY, which was the other outperformer
USD continued to drift lower, UST rates up
EUR was the best performer, rising 0.7% to 1.1935 USD; stronger euro spilled over into other European currencies, including GBP; NZD remained tightly range-bound and the ended the week around 0.6880 USD; US Treasury rates rose by 2bps across the curve
27th Nov 17, 8:01am
by Jason Wong
EUR was the best performer, rising 0.7% to 1.1935 USD; stronger euro spilled over into other European currencies, including GBP; NZD remained tightly range-bound and the ended the week around 0.6880 USD; US Treasury rates rose by 2bps across the curve
USD weaker, UST and local yields slightly lower
USD has sustained the fall seen post the slightly dovish FOMC minutes yesterday; weaker USD saw the NZD push higher, peaking at 0.6905; EUR also pushed up to the 1.1850 USD mark; local yield curve saw some slight downward pressure on rates
24th Nov 17, 8:07am
by Jason Wong
USD has sustained the fall seen post the slightly dovish FOMC minutes yesterday; weaker USD saw the NZD push higher, peaking at 0.6905; EUR also pushed up to the 1.1850 USD mark; local yield curve saw some slight downward pressure on rates
USD and UST yields lower
USD has struggled and is the biggest loser; US equities are flat around record highs while UST yields are down slightly; NZD up to 0.6860 USD and has managed to hold its ground on all the key major crosses; NZ bond market continues to be well supported
23rd Nov 17, 7:44am
by Jason Wong
USD has struggled and is the biggest loser; US equities are flat around record highs while UST yields are down slightly; NZD up to 0.6860 USD and has managed to hold its ground on all the key major crosses; NZ bond market continues to be well supported
Local risk-free rates below OCR
US yields flatten. NZ 90 day bank bill rate hits record low. Domestic liquidity conditions very 'easy'. Lower rates loom as loan demand softens
20th Nov 17, 8:03am
by Jason Wong
US yields flatten. NZ 90 day bank bill rate hits record low. Domestic liquidity conditions very 'easy'. Lower rates loom as loan demand softens
NZD underperforms
Commodity currencies, including the NZD, underperformed on Friday; NZD was down against all key crosses, making fresh lows against the EUR and GBP; JPY was the best performing major
20th Nov 17, 7:52am
by Jason Wong
Commodity currencies, including the NZD, underperformed on Friday; NZD was down against all key crosses, making fresh lows against the EUR and GBP; JPY was the best performing major
Bear market risk averted
NZD sits at 0.6860 USD after testing support at 0.6820-0.6840; equities rebound after five consecutive daily falls; UST rates 2-3 bps higher across the curve; local swap rates lower at the long end
17th Nov 17, 7:56am
by Jason Wong
NZD sits at 0.6860 USD after testing support at 0.6820-0.6840; equities rebound after five consecutive daily falls; UST rates 2-3 bps higher across the curve; local swap rates lower at the long end
Risk-off tone remains evident
NZD remains steady at around 0.6875 USD after rising to 0.6920 last evening on the back of USD weakness; UST 10yr yields fell to 2.32% before CPI data helped it get back to 2.34%; lower global rates placed downward pressure on the local swap curve
16th Nov 17, 7:42am
by Jason Wong
NZD remains steady at around 0.6875 USD after rising to 0.6920 last evening on the back of USD weakness; UST 10yr yields fell to 2.32% before CPI data helped it get back to 2.34%; lower global rates placed downward pressure on the local swap curve
USTs in bear steepening
US rates follow EU rates higher, with UST10yr back at 2.40%. NZ bond markets settles. Eyes on US CPI.
13th Nov 17, 7:55am
by Jason Wong
US rates follow EU rates higher, with UST10yr back at 2.40%. NZ bond markets settles. Eyes on US CPI.
Local markets active after RBNZ MPS
Long end yields rise sharply after MPS adds to surprise DMO delay earlier. More rises not expected. Focus shifts to Aussie MPS
10th Nov 17, 8:17am
by Jason Wong
Long end yields rise sharply after MPS adds to surprise DMO delay earlier. More rises not expected. Focus shifts to Aussie MPS
Risk appetite lower
NZD lifted from its pre-MPS level of 0.6925 to 0.6970 during the RBNZ press conference and has held up well since then; RBNZ significantly revised upwards its CPI inflation track; USD is slightly weaker on tax bill negotiations
10th Nov 17, 8:00am
by Jason Wong
NZD lifted from its pre-MPS level of 0.6925 to 0.6970 during the RBNZ press conference and has held up well since then; RBNZ significantly revised upwards its CPI inflation track; USD is slightly weaker on tax bill negotiations
Currencies remain tightly range-bound, rates barely budged
NZD continues to hover in the low 0.69s; Republicans debate their tax bill; RBNZ’s MPS at 9am this morning could well stir the market; GBP is on the soft side; 10-year Treasuries have traded in a 2bps range; local swap rates flat to slightly down
9th Nov 17, 7:27am
by Jason Wong
NZD continues to hover in the low 0.69s; Republicans debate their tax bill; RBNZ’s MPS at 9am this morning could well stir the market; GBP is on the soft side; 10-year Treasuries have traded in a 2bps range; local swap rates flat to slightly down
Commodity currencies struggle
NZD found support after unchanged Policy Targets Agreement. UST curve flattens. Local yields snap back after DMO 'shock'. Higher local inflationary pressure developing
8th Nov 17, 7:55am
by Jason Wong
NZD found support after unchanged Policy Targets Agreement. UST curve flattens. Local yields snap back after DMO 'shock'. Higher local inflationary pressure developing
Oil prices surge, currencies hold, interest rates slip
Crude at two-year high after Saudi purge. Short squeeze sees bund yields slip. DMO delay 'shocks' traders, causes NZD to fall. Reaction causes bond yields to fall
7th Nov 17, 8:16am
by Jason Wong
1
Crude at two-year high after Saudi purge. Short squeeze sees bund yields slip. DMO delay 'shocks' traders, causes NZD to fall. Reaction causes bond yields to fall
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