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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 9 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar had been overdue a sizeable downward correction
17th Oct 16, 11:48am
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Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar had been overdue a sizeable downward correction
Roger J Kerr says corporate borrowers who face major debt refinancing over the next year will be looking at significantly higher pricing
17th Oct 16, 11:33am
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Roger J Kerr says corporate borrowers who face major debt refinancing over the next year will be looking at significantly higher pricing
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar may fall as low as US68c sooner than most people expect
10th Oct 16, 12:01pm
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar may fall as low as US68c sooner than most people expect
Roger J Kerr says after an expected RBNZ cut to the OCR in early November, borrowers may be looking into 2017 and contemplating higher long-term interest rates
10th Oct 16, 11:46am
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Roger J Kerr says after an expected RBNZ cut to the OCR in early November, borrowers may be looking into 2017 and contemplating higher long-term interest rates
Roger J Kerr says events outside of New Zealand are likely to be the catalyst for an expected fall in the value of the Kiwi dollar
3rd Oct 16, 2:53pm
Roger J Kerr says events outside of New Zealand are likely to be the catalyst for an expected fall in the value of the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply
3rd Oct 16, 2:34pm
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Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply
Roger J Kerr says it's quite possible the Kiwi dollar will drop to below US70c in coming weeks
26th Sep 16, 12:57pm
Roger J Kerr says it's quite possible the Kiwi dollar will drop to below US70c in coming weeks
Roger J Kerr questions how the Reserve Bank can keep missing its inflation target with no apparent ramifications
26th Sep 16, 12:40pm
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Roger J Kerr questions how the Reserve Bank can keep missing its inflation target with no apparent ramifications
Roger J Kerr says conditions are now finally in place for a strengthening of the American currency and retreat of the Kiwi dollar
19th Sep 16, 1:29pm
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Roger J Kerr says conditions are now finally in place for a strengthening of the American currency and retreat of the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the case for long-term interest rates having finally bottomed is a growing one
19th Sep 16, 12:58pm
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Roger J Kerr says the case for long-term interest rates having finally bottomed is a growing one
Roger J Kerr says the implications of US interest rate increases and a stronger US dollar in international currency markets over coming months are numerous and generally negative for the Kiwi dollar
12th Sep 16, 2:36pm
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Roger J Kerr says the implications of US interest rate increases and a stronger US dollar in international currency markets over coming months are numerous and generally negative for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr bemoans the unwillingness of the Reserve Bank to catch out the markets with an unexpected rate cut
12th Sep 16, 1:57pm
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Roger J Kerr bemoans the unwillingness of the Reserve Bank to catch out the markets with an unexpected rate cut
Roger J Kerr says a fall of about 7% to 10% in the TWI exchange rate would be needed for the RBNZ's inflation forecasts to be accurate
5th Sep 16, 1:38pm
Roger J Kerr says a fall of about 7% to 10% in the TWI exchange rate would be needed for the RBNZ's inflation forecasts to be accurate
Roger J Kerr says failure of the Reserve Bank to act on September 22 could see the Kiwi dollar rise to US75c
5th Sep 16, 1:22pm
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Roger J Kerr says failure of the Reserve Bank to act on September 22 could see the Kiwi dollar rise to US75c
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar should now come under downward pressure from a resurgent American currency
29th Aug 16, 1:24pm
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Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar should now come under downward pressure from a resurgent American currency
Roger J Kerr sees little downside for the RBNZ to now surprise the markets with another 0.25% OCR cut at the next review date in September
29th Aug 16, 12:45pm
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Roger J Kerr sees little downside for the RBNZ to now surprise the markets with another 0.25% OCR cut at the next review date in September
Roger J Kerr is holding his view that the NZD will revert back to the 67/69 USc range despite recent history. He explains why a decline is still coming
22nd Aug 16, 4:19pm
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Roger J Kerr is holding his view that the NZD will revert back to the 67/69 USc range despite recent history. He explains why a decline is still coming
Roger J Kerr calls for a comprehensive study into the current components of CPI to disentangle 'technology advances' from 'price movements' to ensure it is still fit-for-purpose
22nd Aug 16, 12:36pm
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Roger J Kerr calls for a comprehensive study into the current components of CPI to disentangle 'technology advances' from 'price movements' to ensure it is still fit-for-purpose
Roger J Kerr says fear and greed are seeing some fixed interest investors taking higher liquidity and market risks to get a yield return they want in a two-tier interest rate market
15th Aug 16, 2:15pm
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Roger J Kerr says fear and greed are seeing some fixed interest investors taking higher liquidity and market risks to get a yield return they want in a two-tier interest rate market
Roger J Kerr says interest rate differentials still matter in currency markets. But the bout between the RBNZ and the markets is stalemated at 72 USc and will need a circuit-breaker
15th Aug 16, 12:17pm
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Roger J Kerr says interest rate differentials still matter in currency markets. But the bout between the RBNZ and the markets is stalemated at 72 USc and will need a circuit-breaker
Roger J Kerr sees reasons to believe the US dollar will start to force down the value of the New Zealand currency
8th Aug 16, 11:21am
Roger J Kerr sees reasons to believe the US dollar will start to force down the value of the New Zealand currency
Roger J Kerr says having been forced to do a u-turn last month with their monetary policy stance, the RBNZ will be very conscious to deliver to market expectations this week
8th Aug 16, 11:04am
Roger J Kerr says having been forced to do a u-turn last month with their monetary policy stance, the RBNZ will be very conscious to deliver to market expectations this week
Roger J Kerr says while the US dollar is weaker for now, giving the Kiwi currency a boost, this situation will reverse
1st Aug 16, 12:42pm
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Roger J Kerr says while the US dollar is weaker for now, giving the Kiwi currency a boost, this situation will reverse
Roger J Kerr argues that the RBNZ should bite the bullet and cut interest rates by half a percentage point next week to a new low of 1.75%
1st Aug 16, 11:50am
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Roger J Kerr argues that the RBNZ should bite the bullet and cut interest rates by half a percentage point next week to a new low of 1.75%
Roger J Kerr wonders if it will again be a case of 'up by the stairs and down by the elevator shaft' for the New Zealand currency
25th Jul 16, 1:16pm
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Roger J Kerr wonders if it will again be a case of 'up by the stairs and down by the elevator shaft' for the New Zealand currency