About
Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.
Roger J Kerr
Latest articles
Roger J Kerr says it is hard to say the NZ dollar should be declining as the economy stays strong, while questions are being asked whether the new US administration can deliver on election promises
Roger J Kerr says it is hard to say the NZ dollar should be declining as the economy stays strong, while questions are being asked whether the new US administration can deliver on election promises
Roger J Kerr looks at the three key things that will determine how far and how fast interest rates increase this year, including the revelation of the real inflation picture
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Roger J Kerr looks at the three key things that will determine how far and how fast interest rates increase this year, including the revelation of the real inflation picture
Roger J Kerr recounts where the NZ dollar has been in a topsy turvy year and looks ahead
Roger J Kerr recounts where the NZ dollar has been in a topsy turvy year and looks ahead
Roger J Kerr thinks the interest rate horse has already bolted
Roger J Kerr gets the crystal ball out for a forward view of the Kiwi currency
Roger J Kerr analyses the events likely to have an impact on the Kiwi currency
Roger J Kerr analyses the events likely to have an impact on the Kiwi currency
Roger J Kerr asks if the Trump sell-off in bonds will continue
Roger J Kerr asks if the Trump sell-off in bonds will continue
Roger J Kerr says the halt of the Kiwi dollar's decline at US70c would appear only temporary
Roger J Kerr sees RBNZ looking at rate rises around this time next year
Roger J Kerr says how far the NZ dollar drops below US70c will depend on any further US dollar gains and whether the RBNZ believe recent falls in the Kiwi dollar value will be enough for them to meet their inflation target next year
Roger J Kerr says how far the NZ dollar drops below US70c will depend on any further US dollar gains and whether the RBNZ believe recent falls in the Kiwi dollar value will be enough for them to meet their inflation target next year
Roger J Kerr sees interest rates potentially increasing a lot more than they already have
Roger J Kerr saw a possible hint of RBNZ intervention in the sharp fall of our currency late last week
Roger J Kerr saw a possible hint of RBNZ intervention in the sharp fall of our currency late last week
Roger J Kerr argues that Trumponomics has already spelt the end of the artificially low interest rate environment borrowers have enjoyed over the last four years
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Roger J Kerr argues that Trumponomics has already spelt the end of the artificially low interest rate environment borrowers have enjoyed over the last four years
Roger J Kerr says the outcome of the Presidential election may well determine how aggressive RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler is with his OCR statements this week
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Roger J Kerr says the outcome of the Presidential election may well determine how aggressive RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler is with his OCR statements this week
Roger J Kerr outlines the scenarios, probabilities and likely impact in a big week for economic news and ramifications
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Roger J Kerr outlines the scenarios, probabilities and likely impact in a big week for economic news and ramifications
Roger J Kerr says a combination of global factors with the perception that the next RBNZ interest rate cut may be the last helps firm the view that we have finally seen the bottom of the cycle
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Roger J Kerr says a combination of global factors with the perception that the next RBNZ interest rate cut may be the last helps firm the view that we have finally seen the bottom of the cycle
Roger J Kerr says the Clinton emails saga has injected some uncertainty into the US election outcome and therefore the outlook for the Kiwi dollar
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Roger J Kerr says the Clinton emails saga has injected some uncertainty into the US election outcome and therefore the outlook for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank now has the market conditions it wanted in order to nudge the New Zealand dollar lower again
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank now has the market conditions it wanted in order to nudge the New Zealand dollar lower again
Roger J Kerr says the outcome of the Reserve Bank's latest survey of inflationary expectations next week will be crucial in deciding the approach our central bank takes
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Roger J Kerr says the outcome of the Reserve Bank's latest survey of inflationary expectations next week will be crucial in deciding the approach our central bank takes
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar had been overdue a sizeable downward correction
Roger J Kerr says corporate borrowers who face major debt refinancing over the next year will be looking at significantly higher pricing
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Roger J Kerr says corporate borrowers who face major debt refinancing over the next year will be looking at significantly higher pricing
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar may fall as low as US68c sooner than most people expect
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar may fall as low as US68c sooner than most people expect
Roger J Kerr says after an expected RBNZ cut to the OCR in early November, borrowers may be looking into 2017 and contemplating higher long-term interest rates
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Roger J Kerr says after an expected RBNZ cut to the OCR in early November, borrowers may be looking into 2017 and contemplating higher long-term interest rates
Roger J Kerr says events outside of New Zealand are likely to be the catalyst for an expected fall in the value of the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says events outside of New Zealand are likely to be the catalyst for an expected fall in the value of the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply
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Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply