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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says it is likely our currency will slide back to about US65 cents over coming weeks
7th Mar 16, 11:41am
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Roger J Kerr says it is likely our currency will slide back to about US65 cents over coming weeks
Roger J Kerr counters the arguments for lower interest rates and says the hurdle for a further OCR reduction is higher than most commentators are currently suggesting
7th Mar 16, 11:23am
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Roger J Kerr counters the arguments for lower interest rates and says the hurdle for a further OCR reduction is higher than most commentators are currently suggesting
Roger J Kerr says positive and negative sentiments are equally balanced for the Kiwi currency
29th Feb 16, 2:06pm
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Roger J Kerr says positive and negative sentiments are equally balanced for the Kiwi currency
Roger J Kerr sees the stronger economic growth indicators leading to 'pressure points' and increased prices
29th Feb 16, 1:46pm
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Roger J Kerr sees the stronger economic growth indicators leading to 'pressure points' and increased prices
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ's survey of inflation expectations is not a reliable indicator of future inflation
22nd Feb 16, 3:33pm
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ's survey of inflation expectations is not a reliable indicator of future inflation
Roger J Kerr says with the exit of financial players from commodity markets, pricing is likely to return to the fundamentals of physical supply and demand
22nd Feb 16, 3:05pm
Roger J Kerr says with the exit of financial players from commodity markets, pricing is likely to return to the fundamentals of physical supply and demand
Roger J Kerr says we have finally seen early signs of a supply response in three markets that have a direct impact on the value and directions of the NZ dollar
15th Feb 16, 1:00pm
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Roger J Kerr says we have finally seen early signs of a supply response in three markets that have a direct impact on the value and directions of the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr believes the benign labour cost environment that businesses have been enjoying may be coming to an end
15th Feb 16, 12:46pm
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Roger J Kerr believes the benign labour cost environment that businesses have been enjoying may be coming to an end
Roger J Kerr says the next important local piece in 'the Kiwi dollar jig-saw' will be the CPI inflation in mid-April
9th Feb 16, 9:50am
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Roger J Kerr says the next important local piece in 'the Kiwi dollar jig-saw' will be the CPI inflation in mid-April
Roger J Kerr has no problem with the RBNZ reminding everyone that the markets’ interpretation of monetary policy intentions or settings is sometimes off beam and not helpful to what the RBNZ is trying to do
9th Feb 16, 9:08am
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Roger J Kerr has no problem with the RBNZ reminding everyone that the markets’ interpretation of monetary policy intentions or settings is sometimes off beam and not helpful to what the RBNZ is trying to do
Roger J Kerr sees the Kiwi dollar again resilient to a barrage of negative news
1st Feb 16, 8:47am
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Roger J Kerr sees the Kiwi dollar again resilient to a barrage of negative news
Roger J Kerr says high and rising inflation favour borrowers over savers and that is not what the economy needs
1st Feb 16, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says high and rising inflation favour borrowers over savers and that is not what the economy needs
Roger J Kerr says calls for the RBNZ to immediately cut the OCR further based on the very low actual inflation rate for 2015 will have to be rebutted
25th Jan 16, 1:09pm
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Roger J Kerr says calls for the RBNZ to immediately cut the OCR further based on the very low actual inflation rate for 2015 will have to be rebutted
Roger J Kerr says our currency has 'weathered the storm' well
25th Jan 16, 12:48pm
Roger J Kerr says our currency has 'weathered the storm' well
Roger J Kerr sees our currency remaining 'broadly' in the mid-US 65 cents range this year
18th Jan 16, 11:50am
Roger J Kerr sees our currency remaining 'broadly' in the mid-US 65 cents range this year
Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ holding the Official Cash Rate at 2.5% this year and says global oil prices will recover eventually, while inflation - possibly stronger than the RBNZ forecasts - will emerge in NZ
18th Jan 16, 11:20am
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Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ holding the Official Cash Rate at 2.5% this year and says global oil prices will recover eventually, while inflation - possibly stronger than the RBNZ forecasts - will emerge in NZ
Roger J Kerr sees much less chance of market interest rate decreases over coming years and says if borrowers are not already highly fixed, they need to act to get into that position
22nd Dec 15, 9:34am
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Roger J Kerr sees much less chance of market interest rate decreases over coming years and says if borrowers are not already highly fixed, they need to act to get into that position
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ might have been better advised to not cut the OCR and preserve some bullets for when they might be really needed in the New Year
22nd Dec 15, 5:02am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ might have been better advised to not cut the OCR and preserve some bullets for when they might be really needed in the New Year
Roger J Kerr sees risks to the Reserve Bank's inflation forecasts
14th Dec 15, 1:06pm
Roger J Kerr sees risks to the Reserve Bank's inflation forecasts
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets are looking further ahead than the Reserve Bank's interest rate cut
14th Dec 15, 12:46pm
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets are looking further ahead than the Reserve Bank's interest rate cut
As the RBNZ deliberates over the Official Cash Rate, Roger J Kerr asks: Who actually needs lower interest rates?
7th Dec 15, 9:31am
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As the RBNZ deliberates over the Official Cash Rate, Roger J Kerr asks: Who actually needs lower interest rates?
Roger J Kerr says all the buying interest in the New Zealand dollar may have occurred ahead of this week's interest rate decision from the RBNZ
7th Dec 15, 9:07am
Roger J Kerr says all the buying interest in the New Zealand dollar may have occurred ahead of this week's interest rate decision from the RBNZ
Roger J Kerr says credit spreads are now a much more material component of the all-up interest rate paid by borrowers
30th Nov 15, 10:07am
Roger J Kerr says credit spreads are now a much more material component of the all-up interest rate paid by borrowers
Roger J Kerr says December's currency movements will be all about two key central bank interest rate decisions
30th Nov 15, 9:39am
Roger J Kerr says December's currency movements will be all about two key central bank interest rate decisions
Roger J Kerr says if early next month the NZD/USD exchange rate is around 0.6500 and whole milk powder prices near to US$2,200/MT then the RBNZ will be justified in holding off from any further OCR interest rate reductions
23rd Nov 15, 12:07pm
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Roger J Kerr says if early next month the NZD/USD exchange rate is around 0.6500 and whole milk powder prices near to US$2,200/MT then the RBNZ will be justified in holding off from any further OCR interest rate reductions