About
Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.
Roger J Kerr
Latest articles
Roger J Kerr says likely selling of the Australian currency in the next few days due to political uncertainty raises the question of whether our currency will also fall against the American dollar
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Roger J Kerr says likely selling of the Australian currency in the next few days due to political uncertainty raises the question of whether our currency will also fall against the American dollar
Roger J Kerr says the Brexit reactions have caused further over-valuation of the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says the Brexit reactions have caused further over-valuation of the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr looks at the implications of Britain's 'leave' vote for the interest rate outlook
Roger J Kerr says the 'risk-off' investor mode continues to drive yields lower
Roger J Kerr says the twin risks posed by the struggling dairy sector and the overheating housing market are not being given enough consideration
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Roger J Kerr says the twin risks posed by the struggling dairy sector and the overheating housing market are not being given enough consideration
Roger J Kerr says our central bank appears somewhat oblivious to the fact that its decisions have a direct impact on subsequent exchange rate movements
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Roger J Kerr says our central bank appears somewhat oblivious to the fact that its decisions have a direct impact on subsequent exchange rate movements
Roger J Kerr expects the interest rate markets and the NZD/USD forex market will adjust their pricing to build-in a much higher probability of an OCR reduction to 2% this week
Roger J Kerr expects the interest rate markets and the NZD/USD forex market will adjust their pricing to build-in a much higher probability of an OCR reduction to 2% this week
Roger J Kerr says the 'shocker' US jobs figure and subsequent rise in value of the NZ currency should make it an 'easy decision' for the Reserve Bank to reduce the Official Cash Rate this week
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Roger J Kerr says the 'shocker' US jobs figure and subsequent rise in value of the NZ currency should make it an 'easy decision' for the Reserve Bank to reduce the Official Cash Rate this week
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar is heading south for good reasons
Roger J Kerr says the dairy industry needs the Reserve Bank to look beyond introverted responses to getting their own house price forecasts wrong
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Roger J Kerr says the dairy industry needs the Reserve Bank to look beyond introverted responses to getting their own house price forecasts wrong
Roger J Kerr says global sentiment is returning in favour of the US dollar
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has a great opportunity to catch the markets out with a surprise interest rate cut next month
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank has a great opportunity to catch the markets out with a surprise interest rate cut next month
Roger J Kerr ponders where the catalysts will come from to start interest rates rising again
Roger J Kerr says all the Reserve Bank's statements in recent times have sent the Kiwi dollar higher rather than lower - as the RBNZ supposedly wants
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Roger J Kerr says all the Reserve Bank's statements in recent times have sent the Kiwi dollar higher rather than lower - as the RBNZ supposedly wants
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should not lower its inflation outlook as has been done across the Tasman because price rises are coming here
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ should not lower its inflation outlook as has been done across the Tasman because price rises are coming here
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler should take his cue from across the Tasman on the timing and finesse of interest rate movements
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Roger J Kerr says RBNZ Governor Graeme Wheeler should take his cue from across the Tasman on the timing and finesse of interest rate movements
Roger J Kerr says further interest rate cuts won't be necessary after next month if the Kiwi dollar drops to US65c
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Roger J Kerr says further interest rate cuts won't be necessary after next month if the Kiwi dollar drops to US65c
Roger J Kerr says inconsistency of the messaging and action is arguably adding to currency volatility and leaving the NZ dollar value much higher than would otherwise be the case
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Roger J Kerr says inconsistency of the messaging and action is arguably adding to currency volatility and leaving the NZ dollar value much higher than would otherwise be the case
Roger J Kerr says speculation on both the NZ and Australian currencies is back in vogue
Roger J Kerr says speculation on both the NZ and Australian currencies is back in vogue
Roger J Kerr says it's more important for the RBNZ to cut interest rates now and get the kiwi dollar down, rather than wait because of concern about the rising house market
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Roger J Kerr says it's more important for the RBNZ to cut interest rates now and get the kiwi dollar down, rather than wait because of concern about the rising house market
Roger J Kerr says at some point the FX markets will realise it is premature for the Australian currency to be strengthening
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Roger J Kerr says at some point the FX markets will realise it is premature for the Australian currency to be strengthening
Roger J Kerr says with the high Kiwi dollar out of whack with low dairy prices, the RBNZ will cut interest rates now and worry about housing bubbles later
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Roger J Kerr says with the high Kiwi dollar out of whack with low dairy prices, the RBNZ will cut interest rates now and worry about housing bubbles later
Roger J Kerr says the Japanese Yen currency market intervention may turn the American currency around
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Roger J Kerr says the Japanese Yen currency market intervention may turn the American currency around
Roger J Kerr wonders if the harsh lessons learned from the meltdown of the finance company sector have been forgotten already
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Roger J Kerr wonders if the harsh lessons learned from the meltdown of the finance company sector have been forgotten already
Roger J Kerr says the caution being expressed by the US Fed is two months out of date