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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 2 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says foreign exchange markets are recognising that previous negatives for the NZ dollar and economy have reversed
28th Sep 15, 12:52pm
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Roger J Kerr says foreign exchange markets are recognising that previous negatives for the NZ dollar and economy have reversed
Roger J Kerr says the NZ economic outlook remains positive and we should look out for economic forecasters soon backtracking on predictions of a 'stalling' economy
21st Sep 15, 11:31am
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ economic outlook remains positive and we should look out for economic forecasters soon backtracking on predictions of a 'stalling' economy
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar is showing resilience and stamina
21st Sep 15, 11:14am
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Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar is showing resilience and stamina
Roger J Kerr says recoveries in Wholemilk Powder prices and the Aussie dollar are pivotal for the NZ currency
14th Sep 15, 1:57pm
Roger J Kerr says recoveries in Wholemilk Powder prices and the Aussie dollar are pivotal for the NZ currency
Roger J Kerr thinks another RBNZ rate cut next month is far from the 'given' event that many in the market believe and he questions if there will be any more cuts at all
14th Sep 15, 1:27pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks another RBNZ rate cut next month is far from the 'given' event that many in the market believe and he questions if there will be any more cuts at all
Roger J Kerr says China, commodity prices and the Australian dollar are all combining to push the NZ dollar lower
7th Sep 15, 11:07am
Roger J Kerr says China, commodity prices and the Australian dollar are all combining to push the NZ dollar lower
Roger J Kerr says the inflation outlook is no longer benign
7th Sep 15, 10:46am
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Roger J Kerr says the inflation outlook is no longer benign
Roger J Kerr is encouraged by the NZ dollar's resilience amidst market turmoil
31st Aug 15, 11:05am
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Roger J Kerr is encouraged by the NZ dollar's resilience amidst market turmoil
Roger J Kerr says corporate bond issuers are cashing-in on strong investor demand
31st Aug 15, 10:48am
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Roger J Kerr says corporate bond issuers are cashing-in on strong investor demand
Roger J Kerr sees a potential double-whammy interest rate risk with NZ Govt bond yields rising from 3.25% to over 4.75% over the next year
24th Aug 15, 9:17am
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Roger J Kerr sees a potential double-whammy interest rate risk with NZ Govt bond yields rising from 3.25% to over 4.75% over the next year
Roger J Kerr sees further gains for the NZD especially if the US Fed delays its September rate hike. The Kiwi may have passed the bottom
24th Aug 15, 8:13am
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Roger J Kerr sees further gains for the NZD especially if the US Fed delays its September rate hike. The Kiwi may have passed the bottom
Roger J Kerr sees no return to a 2.5% OCR, with the current low interest rates "as good as it gets for borrowers", and a fourth OCR cut probably not warranted
17th Aug 15, 1:54pm
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Roger J Kerr sees no return to a 2.5% OCR, with the current low interest rates "as good as it gets for borrowers", and a fourth OCR cut probably not warranted
Roger J Kerr analyses the three main influences on the NZD/USD exchange rate and finds further weakness is the least likely probability
17th Aug 15, 11:55am
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Roger J Kerr analyses the three main influences on the NZD/USD exchange rate and finds further weakness is the least likely probability
Roger J Kerr says markets pricing in all expected news, suggesting that they see no more significant downside from dairy
11th Aug 15, 8:57am
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Roger J Kerr says markets pricing in all expected news, suggesting that they see no more significant downside from dairy
Roger J Kerr says key decisions from the RBNZ and US Fed next month will drive interest rate direction over the next 12 months
10th Aug 15, 5:31pm
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Roger J Kerr says key decisions from the RBNZ and US Fed next month will drive interest rate direction over the next 12 months
Roger J Kerr says those that think inflation is dead are looking backwards, not forwards
4th Aug 15, 9:51am
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Roger J Kerr says those that think inflation is dead are looking backwards, not forwards
Roger J Kerr says the fall in the NZD is giving a real boost to local exporters. However, lower volatility may see the NZD hold, even rise from here
3rd Aug 15, 8:55am
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Roger J Kerr says the fall in the NZD is giving a real boost to local exporters. However, lower volatility may see the NZD hold, even rise from here
Roger J Kerr likes the latest RBNZ approach to the Auckland property 'boom' but does see some risks with this new policy direction
28th Jul 15, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr likes the latest RBNZ approach to the Auckland property 'boom' but does see some risks with this new policy direction
Roger J Kerr looks ahead for what may be in store for the Kiwi dollar, and the balance of local and global influences
27th Jul 15, 3:00pm
Roger J Kerr looks ahead for what may be in store for the Kiwi dollar, and the balance of local and global influences
Roger J Kerr sees a local economy well-placed to face stresses, sees inflation as a risk, and suggests how corporate borrowers can hedge interest rate risk
21st Jul 15, 8:48am
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Roger J Kerr sees a local economy well-placed to face stresses, sees inflation as a risk, and suggests how corporate borrowers can hedge interest rate risk
Roger J Kerr says we must be approaching a level where fresh new speculative sellers of the currency should start to dwindle in number
20th Jul 15, 12:59pm
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Roger J Kerr says we must be approaching a level where fresh new speculative sellers of the currency should start to dwindle in number
Lower is not better if it is volatile says Roger J Kerr. He is worried that currency markets have a habit of overshooting
13th Jul 15, 4:13pm
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Lower is not better if it is volatile says Roger J Kerr. He is worried that currency markets have a habit of overshooting
Roger J Kerr says says neither Greece nor China are "any kind of threat" to the New Zealand economy and how it performs over the coming months
13th Jul 15, 2:01pm
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Roger J Kerr says says neither Greece nor China are "any kind of threat" to the New Zealand economy and how it performs over the coming months
Roger J Kerr says he doubts recent economic developments will suddenly change the RBNZ’s official line of completely stable OCR interest rates over the next 12 months
11th May 15, 3:01pm
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Roger J Kerr says he doubts recent economic developments will suddenly change the RBNZ’s official line of completely stable OCR interest rates over the next 12 months
Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' has moved away from its successful repertoire and many fans are already heading for the exit gates
11th May 15, 2:34pm
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Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' has moved away from its successful repertoire and many fans are already heading for the exit gates