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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
9th Mar 15, 2:36pm
15
Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
2nd Mar 15, 3:05pm
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Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
2nd Mar 15, 10:15am
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
24th Feb 15, 9:45am
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Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
23rd Feb 15, 12:35pm
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
16th Feb 15, 3:36pm
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Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
16th Feb 15, 2:17pm
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Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
Roger J Kerr thinks the lower AUD and much more upside in Australian equities relative to other markets will boost the Aussie currency in 2015
10th Feb 15, 8:58am
Roger J Kerr thinks the lower AUD and much more upside in Australian equities relative to other markets will boost the Aussie currency in 2015
There's no certainty the 4 key prices for the NZ economy will just trend lower, Roger J Kerr argues
10th Feb 15, 7:00am
There's no certainty the 4 key prices for the NZ economy will just trend lower, Roger J Kerr argues
Roger J Kerr wonders how Graeme Wheeler can call the NZD 'unjustifiably high' when it is now back to the levels they were targeting
2nd Feb 15, 1:57pm
Roger J Kerr wonders how Graeme Wheeler can call the NZD 'unjustifiably high' when it is now back to the levels they were targeting
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD soon will get a boost from stronger data, and the recent falls may stoke tradeable inflation fears. Time for exporters to hedge he says
2nd Feb 15, 12:01pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD soon will get a boost from stronger data, and the recent falls may stoke tradeable inflation fears. Time for exporters to hedge he says
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZ dollar could start rising again on Thursday as markets discover the RBNZ is not about to become complacent on inflation
27th Jan 15, 2:46pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the NZ dollar could start rising again on Thursday as markets discover the RBNZ is not about to become complacent on inflation
Roger J Kerr does not expect a dovish stance from the RBNZ on Thursday and does not expect him to follow the Canadians
27th Jan 15, 2:24pm
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Roger J Kerr does not expect a dovish stance from the RBNZ on Thursday and does not expect him to follow the Canadians
Roger J Kerr thinks currency markets have already priced in the lower values for the euro ahead of the ECB announcement
19th Jan 15, 11:35am
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Roger J Kerr thinks currency markets have already priced in the lower values for the euro ahead of the ECB announcement
Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy
19th Jan 15, 11:30am
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Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy
Kiwi dollar continuing to outperform all other currencies against a stronger greenback
12th Jan 15, 2:30pm
Kiwi dollar continuing to outperform all other currencies against a stronger greenback
Inflation doves need to look beyond low historical numbers, says Roger J Kerr
12th Jan 15, 12:51pm
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Inflation doves need to look beyond low historical numbers, says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr offers his forecasts for currency movements in 2015, sees global risk sentiment turning negative, US raising rates in Q3, WMP prices recovering
15th Dec 14, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr offers his forecasts for currency movements in 2015, sees global risk sentiment turning negative, US raising rates in Q3, WMP prices recovering
Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ holding rates and other policy settings at current levels for for good reasons; sees hikes coming when the US Fed moves
8th Dec 14, 2:00pm
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Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ holding rates and other policy settings at current levels for for good reasons; sees hikes coming when the US Fed moves
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling below current ranges and RBNZ following the US Fed in raising interest rates, thereby avoiding holding the NZD higher based on rate rises
8th Dec 14, 12:06pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling below current ranges and RBNZ following the US Fed in raising interest rates, thereby avoiding holding the NZD higher based on rate rises
Roger J Kerr says healthy job market and stronger economy will boost residential property sales
11th Nov 14, 5:00am
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Roger J Kerr says healthy job market and stronger economy will boost residential property sales
Roger J Kerr says he likelihood of a deterioration in our economic fundamentals over the next 12 months 'appear remote', so more falls by the NZD seem unlikley
10th Nov 14, 1:53pm
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Roger J Kerr says he likelihood of a deterioration in our economic fundamentals over the next 12 months 'appear remote', so more falls by the NZD seem unlikley
Roger J Kerr points out recent surveys show that NZ businesses intend to raise prices, and that as capacity constraints grow those rises are likely
3rd Nov 14, 2:52pm
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Roger J Kerr points out recent surveys show that NZ businesses intend to raise prices, and that as capacity constraints grow those rises are likely
Roger J Kerr says the kiwi dollar and NZ will still be a reasonably attractive destination for global funds as our interest rates remain 4% above the alternatives
3rd Nov 14, 2:25pm
Roger J Kerr says the kiwi dollar and NZ will still be a reasonably attractive destination for global funds as our interest rates remain 4% above the alternatives
Roger J Kerr points out there is a good opportunity for corporates to issue significant new fixed income bonds, but he also sees the inhibitions
28th Oct 14, 3:00pm
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Roger J Kerr points out there is a good opportunity for corporates to issue significant new fixed income bonds, but he also sees the inhibitions