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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

16 years 7 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr sees risks to the Reserve Bank's inflation forecasts
Roger J Kerr sees risks to the Reserve Bank's inflation forecasts
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets are looking further ahead than the Reserve Bank's interest rate cut
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets are looking further ahead than the Reserve Bank's interest rate cut
As the RBNZ deliberates over the Official Cash Rate, Roger J Kerr asks: Who actually needs lower interest rates?
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As the RBNZ deliberates over the Official Cash Rate, Roger J Kerr asks: Who actually needs lower interest rates?
Roger J Kerr says all the buying interest in the New Zealand dollar may have occurred ahead of this week's interest rate decision from the RBNZ
Roger J Kerr says all the buying interest in the New Zealand dollar may have occurred ahead of this week's interest rate decision from the RBNZ
Roger J Kerr says credit spreads are now a much more material component of the all-up interest rate paid by borrowers
Roger J Kerr says credit spreads are now a much more material component of the all-up interest rate paid by borrowers
Roger J Kerr says December's currency movements will be all about two key central bank interest rate decisions
Roger J Kerr says December's currency movements will be all about two key central bank interest rate decisions
Roger J Kerr says if early next month the NZD/USD exchange rate is around 0.6500 and whole milk powder prices near to US$2,200/MT then the RBNZ will be justified in holding off from any further OCR interest rate reductions
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Roger J Kerr says if early next month the NZD/USD exchange rate is around 0.6500 and whole milk powder prices near to US$2,200/MT then the RBNZ will be justified in holding off from any further OCR interest rate reductions
Roger J Kerr says that in most major industries that make up the NZ economy it is a story of expansion, confidence and hiring more staff
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Roger J Kerr says that in most major industries that make up the NZ economy it is a story of expansion, confidence and hiring more staff
Roger J Kerr says it was speculative betting that pushed the NZ dollar up against its trans-Tasman counterpart
Roger J Kerr says it was speculative betting that pushed the NZ dollar up against its trans-Tasman counterpart
Roger J Kerr scrutinises what the actual risks are to the economy - and the probability of them occurring
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Roger J Kerr scrutinises what the actual risks are to the economy - and the probability of them occurring
Roger J Kerr says the rising US currency on the back of stronger employment figures can be no major surprise
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Roger J Kerr says the rising US currency on the back of stronger employment figures can be no major surprise
Roger J Kerr outlines why the RBNZ Governor needs to 'watch and wait' a while longer
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Roger J Kerr outlines why the RBNZ Governor needs to 'watch and wait' a while longer
Roger J Kerr says the NZ economy and rugby nation are humming – so why would the currency depreciate?
Roger J Kerr says the NZ economy and rugby nation are humming – so why would the currency depreciate?
Roger J Kerr says a further cut to interest rates in December is not the lay-down misère many economists believe it to be
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Roger J Kerr says a further cut to interest rates in December is not the lay-down misère many economists believe it to be
Roger J Kerr says economic risks and fears have dissipated
Roger J Kerr says economic risks and fears have dissipated
Roger J Kerr says higher inflation and a stable NZD/USD rate around 0.6500 to 0.6800 may well result in the Reserve Bank ruling out of further interest rate cuts
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Roger J Kerr says higher inflation and a stable NZD/USD rate around 0.6500 to 0.6800 may well result in the Reserve Bank ruling out of further interest rate cuts
Roger J Kerr says 'the charts' provide clear blue sky for the NZ dollar to climb all the way up to 0.7000, but it does feel that the appreciation from 0.6250 to 0.6800 has been too far, too fast
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Roger J Kerr says 'the charts' provide clear blue sky for the NZ dollar to climb all the way up to 0.7000, but it does feel that the appreciation from 0.6250 to 0.6800 has been too far, too fast
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed just needs to confirm that weaker September jobs data was a one-off; sees January as start point for rate rises
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Roger J Kerr says the US Fed just needs to confirm that weaker September jobs data was a one-off; sees January as start point for rate rises
Roger J Kerr says the the doomsday merchants on the NZ economy have been exposed to be well wide of the mark with their views
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Roger J Kerr says the the doomsday merchants on the NZ economy have been exposed to be well wide of the mark with their views
Roger J Kerr says we have an emerging economic and market environment starkly different to what the economic protagonists expected
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Roger J Kerr says we have an emerging economic and market environment starkly different to what the economic protagonists expected
Roger J Kerr says credit spreads are under pressure and moving sharply higher again
Roger J Kerr says credit spreads are under pressure and moving sharply higher again
Roger J Kerr says the NZ currency is posting gains of its own accord as the market begins to re-rate it again
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ currency is posting gains of its own accord as the market begins to re-rate it again
Roger J Kerr says the question for the interest rate markets is whether price increases by NZ businesses in coming months are more or less than the RBNZ is expecting
Roger J Kerr says the question for the interest rate markets is whether price increases by NZ businesses in coming months are more or less than the RBNZ is expecting
Roger J Kerr says foreign exchange markets are recognising that previous negatives for the NZ dollar and economy have reversed
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Roger J Kerr says foreign exchange markets are recognising that previous negatives for the NZ dollar and economy have reversed
Roger J Kerr says the NZ economic outlook remains positive and we should look out for economic forecasters soon backtracking on predictions of a 'stalling' economy
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Roger J Kerr says the NZ economic outlook remains positive and we should look out for economic forecasters soon backtracking on predictions of a 'stalling' economy