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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
7th Apr 15, 7:49am
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
31st Mar 15, 6:32am
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Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
30th Mar 15, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
23rd Mar 15, 9:04am
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
23rd Mar 15, 8:07am
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Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
16th Mar 15, 4:36pm
2
Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
16th Mar 15, 2:37pm
2
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
10th Mar 15, 8:55am
1
Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
9th Mar 15, 2:36pm
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Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
2nd Mar 15, 3:05pm
1
Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
2nd Mar 15, 10:15am
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
24th Feb 15, 9:45am
2
Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
23rd Feb 15, 12:35pm
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
16th Feb 15, 3:36pm
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Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
16th Feb 15, 2:17pm
1
Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
Roger J Kerr thinks the lower AUD and much more upside in Australian equities relative to other markets will boost the Aussie currency in 2015
10th Feb 15, 8:58am
Roger J Kerr thinks the lower AUD and much more upside in Australian equities relative to other markets will boost the Aussie currency in 2015
There's no certainty the 4 key prices for the NZ economy will just trend lower, Roger J Kerr argues
10th Feb 15, 7:00am
There's no certainty the 4 key prices for the NZ economy will just trend lower, Roger J Kerr argues
Roger J Kerr wonders how Graeme Wheeler can call the NZD 'unjustifiably high' when it is now back to the levels they were targeting
2nd Feb 15, 1:57pm
Roger J Kerr wonders how Graeme Wheeler can call the NZD 'unjustifiably high' when it is now back to the levels they were targeting
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD soon will get a boost from stronger data, and the recent falls may stoke tradeable inflation fears. Time for exporters to hedge he says
2nd Feb 15, 12:01pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD soon will get a boost from stronger data, and the recent falls may stoke tradeable inflation fears. Time for exporters to hedge he says
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZ dollar could start rising again on Thursday as markets discover the RBNZ is not about to become complacent on inflation
27th Jan 15, 2:46pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the NZ dollar could start rising again on Thursday as markets discover the RBNZ is not about to become complacent on inflation
Roger J Kerr does not expect a dovish stance from the RBNZ on Thursday and does not expect him to follow the Canadians
27th Jan 15, 2:24pm
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Roger J Kerr does not expect a dovish stance from the RBNZ on Thursday and does not expect him to follow the Canadians
Roger J Kerr thinks currency markets have already priced in the lower values for the euro ahead of the ECB announcement
19th Jan 15, 11:35am
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Roger J Kerr thinks currency markets have already priced in the lower values for the euro ahead of the ECB announcement
Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy
19th Jan 15, 11:30am
1
Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy
Kiwi dollar continuing to outperform all other currencies against a stronger greenback
12th Jan 15, 2:30pm
Kiwi dollar continuing to outperform all other currencies against a stronger greenback
Inflation doves need to look beyond low historical numbers, says Roger J Kerr
12th Jan 15, 12:51pm
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Inflation doves need to look beyond low historical numbers, says Roger J Kerr