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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 2 months

Latest articles

There's no certainty the 4 key prices for the NZ economy will just trend lower, Roger J Kerr argues
10th Feb 15, 7:00am
There's no certainty the 4 key prices for the NZ economy will just trend lower, Roger J Kerr argues
Roger J Kerr wonders how Graeme Wheeler can call the NZD 'unjustifiably high' when it is now back to the levels they were targeting
2nd Feb 15, 1:57pm
Roger J Kerr wonders how Graeme Wheeler can call the NZD 'unjustifiably high' when it is now back to the levels they were targeting
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD soon will get a boost from stronger data, and the recent falls may stoke tradeable inflation fears. Time for exporters to hedge he says
2nd Feb 15, 12:01pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the NZD soon will get a boost from stronger data, and the recent falls may stoke tradeable inflation fears. Time for exporters to hedge he says
Roger J Kerr thinks the NZ dollar could start rising again on Thursday as markets discover the RBNZ is not about to become complacent on inflation
27th Jan 15, 2:46pm
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Roger J Kerr thinks the NZ dollar could start rising again on Thursday as markets discover the RBNZ is not about to become complacent on inflation
Roger J Kerr does not expect a dovish stance from the RBNZ on Thursday and does not expect him to follow the Canadians
27th Jan 15, 2:24pm
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Roger J Kerr does not expect a dovish stance from the RBNZ on Thursday and does not expect him to follow the Canadians
Roger J Kerr thinks currency markets have already priced in the lower values for the euro ahead of the ECB announcement
19th Jan 15, 11:35am
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Roger J Kerr thinks currency markets have already priced in the lower values for the euro ahead of the ECB announcement
Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy
19th Jan 15, 11:30am
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Roger J Kerr does not see the current fall in benchmark bond yields and the rush to safety resulting in lower New Zealand interest rates nor a slowing local economy
Kiwi dollar continuing to outperform all other currencies against a stronger greenback
12th Jan 15, 2:30pm
Kiwi dollar continuing to outperform all other currencies against a stronger greenback
Inflation doves need to look beyond low historical numbers, says Roger J Kerr
12th Jan 15, 12:51pm
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Inflation doves need to look beyond low historical numbers, says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr offers his forecasts for currency movements in 2015, sees global risk sentiment turning negative, US raising rates in Q3, WMP prices recovering
15th Dec 14, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr offers his forecasts for currency movements in 2015, sees global risk sentiment turning negative, US raising rates in Q3, WMP prices recovering
Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ holding rates and other policy settings at current levels for for good reasons; sees hikes coming when the US Fed moves
8th Dec 14, 2:00pm
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Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ holding rates and other policy settings at current levels for for good reasons; sees hikes coming when the US Fed moves
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling below current ranges and RBNZ following the US Fed in raising interest rates, thereby avoiding holding the NZD higher based on rate rises
8th Dec 14, 12:06pm
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD falling below current ranges and RBNZ following the US Fed in raising interest rates, thereby avoiding holding the NZD higher based on rate rises
Roger J Kerr says healthy job market and stronger economy will boost residential property sales
11th Nov 14, 5:00am
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Roger J Kerr says healthy job market and stronger economy will boost residential property sales
Roger J Kerr says he likelihood of a deterioration in our economic fundamentals over the next 12 months 'appear remote', so more falls by the NZD seem unlikley
10th Nov 14, 1:53pm
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Roger J Kerr says he likelihood of a deterioration in our economic fundamentals over the next 12 months 'appear remote', so more falls by the NZD seem unlikley
Roger J Kerr points out recent surveys show that NZ businesses intend to raise prices, and that as capacity constraints grow those rises are likely
3rd Nov 14, 2:52pm
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Roger J Kerr points out recent surveys show that NZ businesses intend to raise prices, and that as capacity constraints grow those rises are likely
Roger J Kerr says the kiwi dollar and NZ will still be a reasonably attractive destination for global funds as our interest rates remain 4% above the alternatives
3rd Nov 14, 2:25pm
Roger J Kerr says the kiwi dollar and NZ will still be a reasonably attractive destination for global funds as our interest rates remain 4% above the alternatives
Roger J Kerr points out there is a good opportunity for corporates to issue significant new fixed income bonds, but he also sees the inhibitions
28th Oct 14, 3:00pm
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Roger J Kerr points out there is a good opportunity for corporates to issue significant new fixed income bonds, but he also sees the inhibitions
Roger J Kerr says that despite an expected dovish RBNZ Statement this week, 3% economic growth when inflation is 1% means real wealth is being created and that will support the NZD
28th Oct 14, 12:27pm
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Roger J Kerr says that despite an expected dovish RBNZ Statement this week, 3% economic growth when inflation is 1% means real wealth is being created and that will support the NZD
Roger J Kerr reviews a bond market on edge, spooked by many things including some non-economic ones. But it is economic fundamentals that show the real direction
20th Oct 14, 3:00pm
Roger J Kerr reviews a bond market on edge, spooked by many things including some non-economic ones. But it is economic fundamentals that show the real direction
Roger J Kerr expects the NZD to stay below 80 USc and hold its own against the euro. He also warns of inflation complacency
20th Oct 14, 12:59pm
Roger J Kerr expects the NZD to stay below 80 USc and hold its own against the euro. He also warns of inflation complacency
Roger J Kerr wonders whether the yields for US Treasury bonds are defying logic, and points to the non-economic drivers that may be behind the falls
13th Oct 14, 11:14am
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Roger J Kerr wonders whether the yields for US Treasury bonds are defying logic, and points to the non-economic drivers that may be behind the falls
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Roger J Kerr explains why the Kiwi dollar has consolidated and stabilised, and does not appear to be prone to further aggressive selling
13th Oct 14, 11:02am
Roger J Kerr explains why the Kiwi dollar has consolidated and stabilised, and does not appear to be prone to further aggressive selling
Roger J Kerr reminds us that nearly all our inflation comes from the supply side of the economy, so the impact of lower dairy incomes may not be as pronounced as some fear
6th Oct 14, 12:16pm
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Roger J Kerr reminds us that nearly all our inflation comes from the supply side of the economy, so the impact of lower dairy incomes may not be as pronounced as some fear
Roger J Kerr doubts the 65 USc view of John Key will be reached, suggesting most manufacturers and exporters have moved on from seeking a 'cheap dollar' strategy
6th Oct 14, 11:55am
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Roger J Kerr doubts the 65 USc view of John Key will be reached, suggesting most manufacturers and exporters have moved on from seeking a 'cheap dollar' strategy
Roger J Kerr says fuel and freight set to rise in cost soon, other imports to follow; RBNZ taking calculated risk price hikes can be contained within policy limits
30th Sep 14, 8:47am
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Roger J Kerr says fuel and freight set to rise in cost soon, other imports to follow; RBNZ taking calculated risk price hikes can be contained within policy limits