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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr likes the latest RBNZ approach to the Auckland property 'boom' but does see some risks with this new policy direction
28th Jul 15, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr likes the latest RBNZ approach to the Auckland property 'boom' but does see some risks with this new policy direction
Roger J Kerr looks ahead for what may be in store for the Kiwi dollar, and the balance of local and global influences
27th Jul 15, 3:00pm
Roger J Kerr looks ahead for what may be in store for the Kiwi dollar, and the balance of local and global influences
Roger J Kerr sees a local economy well-placed to face stresses, sees inflation as a risk, and suggests how corporate borrowers can hedge interest rate risk
21st Jul 15, 8:48am
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Roger J Kerr sees a local economy well-placed to face stresses, sees inflation as a risk, and suggests how corporate borrowers can hedge interest rate risk
Roger J Kerr says we must be approaching a level where fresh new speculative sellers of the currency should start to dwindle in number
20th Jul 15, 12:59pm
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Roger J Kerr says we must be approaching a level where fresh new speculative sellers of the currency should start to dwindle in number
Lower is not better if it is volatile says Roger J Kerr. He is worried that currency markets have a habit of overshooting
13th Jul 15, 4:13pm
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Lower is not better if it is volatile says Roger J Kerr. He is worried that currency markets have a habit of overshooting
Roger J Kerr says says neither Greece nor China are "any kind of threat" to the New Zealand economy and how it performs over the coming months
13th Jul 15, 2:01pm
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Roger J Kerr says says neither Greece nor China are "any kind of threat" to the New Zealand economy and how it performs over the coming months
Roger J Kerr says he doubts recent economic developments will suddenly change the RBNZ’s official line of completely stable OCR interest rates over the next 12 months
11th May 15, 3:01pm
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Roger J Kerr says he doubts recent economic developments will suddenly change the RBNZ’s official line of completely stable OCR interest rates over the next 12 months
Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' has moved away from its successful repertoire and many fans are already heading for the exit gates
11th May 15, 2:34pm
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Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' has moved away from its successful repertoire and many fans are already heading for the exit gates
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar now likely to test the bottom end of its trading range
4th May 15, 11:33am
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Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar now likely to test the bottom end of its trading range
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increasing three to 10 year interest rates is very real and immediately upon us
4th May 15, 11:23am
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Roger J Kerr says the risk of increasing three to 10 year interest rates is very real and immediately upon us
Roger J Kerr says the reasons traders bought Kiwi dollars are evaporating; a parity party is now unlikely
28th Apr 15, 9:50pm
Roger J Kerr says the reasons traders bought Kiwi dollars are evaporating; a parity party is now unlikely
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler has three options now, but only one will bring the lowest 'collateral damage'
28th Apr 15, 3:25pm
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler has three options now, but only one will bring the lowest 'collateral damage'
Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
20th Apr 15, 2:44pm
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Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
20th Apr 15, 10:44am
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Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
13th Apr 15, 1:07pm
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
13th Apr 15, 9:28am
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Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
7th Apr 15, 8:28am
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
7th Apr 15, 7:49am
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
31st Mar 15, 6:32am
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Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
30th Mar 15, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
23rd Mar 15, 9:04am
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
23rd Mar 15, 8:07am
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Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
16th Mar 15, 4:36pm
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Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
16th Mar 15, 2:37pm
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
10th Mar 15, 8:55am
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Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr