sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 6 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr sees a potential double-whammy interest rate risk with NZ Govt bond yields rising from 3.25% to over 4.75% over the next year
24th Aug 15, 9:17am
1
Roger J Kerr sees a potential double-whammy interest rate risk with NZ Govt bond yields rising from 3.25% to over 4.75% over the next year
Roger J Kerr sees further gains for the NZD especially if the US Fed delays its September rate hike. The Kiwi may have passed the bottom
24th Aug 15, 8:13am
15
Roger J Kerr sees further gains for the NZD especially if the US Fed delays its September rate hike. The Kiwi may have passed the bottom
Roger J Kerr sees no return to a 2.5% OCR, with the current low interest rates "as good as it gets for borrowers", and a fourth OCR cut probably not warranted
17th Aug 15, 1:54pm
7
Roger J Kerr sees no return to a 2.5% OCR, with the current low interest rates "as good as it gets for borrowers", and a fourth OCR cut probably not warranted
Roger J Kerr analyses the three main influences on the NZD/USD exchange rate and finds further weakness is the least likely probability
17th Aug 15, 11:55am
2
Roger J Kerr analyses the three main influences on the NZD/USD exchange rate and finds further weakness is the least likely probability
Roger J Kerr says markets pricing in all expected news, suggesting that they see no more significant downside from dairy
11th Aug 15, 8:57am
32
Roger J Kerr says markets pricing in all expected news, suggesting that they see no more significant downside from dairy
Roger J Kerr says key decisions from the RBNZ and US Fed next month will drive interest rate direction over the next 12 months
10th Aug 15, 5:31pm
10
Roger J Kerr says key decisions from the RBNZ and US Fed next month will drive interest rate direction over the next 12 months
Roger J Kerr says those that think inflation is dead are looking backwards, not forwards
4th Aug 15, 9:51am
1
Roger J Kerr says those that think inflation is dead are looking backwards, not forwards
Roger J Kerr says the fall in the NZD is giving a real boost to local exporters. However, lower volatility may see the NZD hold, even rise from here
3rd Aug 15, 8:55am
5
Roger J Kerr says the fall in the NZD is giving a real boost to local exporters. However, lower volatility may see the NZD hold, even rise from here
Roger J Kerr likes the latest RBNZ approach to the Auckland property 'boom' but does see some risks with this new policy direction
28th Jul 15, 8:15am
40
Roger J Kerr likes the latest RBNZ approach to the Auckland property 'boom' but does see some risks with this new policy direction
Roger J Kerr looks ahead for what may be in store for the Kiwi dollar, and the balance of local and global influences
27th Jul 15, 3:00pm
Roger J Kerr looks ahead for what may be in store for the Kiwi dollar, and the balance of local and global influences
Roger J Kerr sees a local economy well-placed to face stresses, sees inflation as a risk, and suggests how corporate borrowers can hedge interest rate risk
21st Jul 15, 8:48am
35
Roger J Kerr sees a local economy well-placed to face stresses, sees inflation as a risk, and suggests how corporate borrowers can hedge interest rate risk
Roger J Kerr says we must be approaching a level where fresh new speculative sellers of the currency should start to dwindle in number
20th Jul 15, 12:59pm
12
Roger J Kerr says we must be approaching a level where fresh new speculative sellers of the currency should start to dwindle in number
Lower is not better if it is volatile says Roger J Kerr. He is worried that currency markets have a habit of overshooting
13th Jul 15, 4:13pm
24
Lower is not better if it is volatile says Roger J Kerr. He is worried that currency markets have a habit of overshooting
Roger J Kerr says says neither Greece nor China are "any kind of threat" to the New Zealand economy and how it performs over the coming months
13th Jul 15, 2:01pm
10
Roger J Kerr says says neither Greece nor China are "any kind of threat" to the New Zealand economy and how it performs over the coming months
Roger J Kerr says he doubts recent economic developments will suddenly change the RBNZ’s official line of completely stable OCR interest rates over the next 12 months
11th May 15, 3:01pm
3
Roger J Kerr says he doubts recent economic developments will suddenly change the RBNZ’s official line of completely stable OCR interest rates over the next 12 months
Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' has moved away from its successful repertoire and many fans are already heading for the exit gates
11th May 15, 2:34pm
8
Roger J Kerr says our 'rock star' has moved away from its successful repertoire and many fans are already heading for the exit gates
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar now likely to test the bottom end of its trading range
4th May 15, 11:33am
1
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar now likely to test the bottom end of its trading range
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increasing three to 10 year interest rates is very real and immediately upon us
4th May 15, 11:23am
10
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increasing three to 10 year interest rates is very real and immediately upon us
Roger J Kerr says the reasons traders bought Kiwi dollars are evaporating; a parity party is now unlikely
28th Apr 15, 9:50pm
Roger J Kerr says the reasons traders bought Kiwi dollars are evaporating; a parity party is now unlikely
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler has three options now, but only one will bring the lowest 'collateral damage'
28th Apr 15, 3:25pm
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler has three options now, but only one will bring the lowest 'collateral damage'
Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
20th Apr 15, 2:44pm
9
Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
20th Apr 15, 10:44am
24
Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
13th Apr 15, 1:07pm
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
13th Apr 15, 9:28am
2
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
7th Apr 15, 8:28am
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says