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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 2 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar now likely to test the bottom end of its trading range
4th May 15, 11:33am
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Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar now likely to test the bottom end of its trading range
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increasing three to 10 year interest rates is very real and immediately upon us
4th May 15, 11:23am
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Roger J Kerr says the risk of increasing three to 10 year interest rates is very real and immediately upon us
Roger J Kerr says the reasons traders bought Kiwi dollars are evaporating; a parity party is now unlikely
28th Apr 15, 9:50pm
Roger J Kerr says the reasons traders bought Kiwi dollars are evaporating; a parity party is now unlikely
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler has three options now, but only one will bring the lowest 'collateral damage'
28th Apr 15, 3:25pm
Roger J Kerr says Governor Wheeler has three options now, but only one will bring the lowest 'collateral damage'
Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
20th Apr 15, 2:44pm
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Roger J Kerr says in 12 to 18 months lower rural incomes will start feeding through to the 'bubble sub-economies' of Auckland and Christchurch
Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
20th Apr 15, 10:44am
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Roger J Kerr argues the only monetary policy option left for the RBNZ is to force the NZ dollar's value down by intervening in the currency markets
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
13th Apr 15, 1:07pm
Roger J Kerr says low interest rates won't last forever and when they reverse the impact could be 'swift and severe'
Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
13th Apr 15, 9:28am
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Roger J Kerr says it is not acceptable to be caught with the consequences of a high NZD when there are hedging strategies and tools easily available
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
7th Apr 15, 8:28am
Cheaper money will be here for a long time says Roger J Kerr. That means investment hurdle rates can be lower. Now is the time to take advantage he says
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
7th Apr 15, 7:49am
Roger J Kerr says markets don't expect NZD-AUD parity is sustainable because income differentials can't support it and the AUD is due for a 'long overdue' correction higher
Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
31st Mar 15, 6:32am
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Inflation is not dead, it is heading for 5% says Roger J Kerr who has 'a thousand words' to support that in two short images
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
30th Mar 15, 12:26pm
Roger J Kerr assesses how the strong greenback and its upcoming positives will impact the NZD and finds much of the USD strength already priced in, and the RBNZ looking ahead
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
23rd Mar 15, 9:04am
Roger J Kerr says local importers should be topping-up hedging levels with current NZD/USD rates near the top end of the range
Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
23rd Mar 15, 8:07am
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Roger J Kerr sees US rate rises just 3 or 4 months away. He is also very sceptical on 'inflation expectation' surveys, even the RBNZ's one
Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
16th Mar 15, 4:36pm
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Roger J Kerr says the risk of medium to long term rates increasing is dependent upon US bond market movements, not the RBNZ or the NZ economy or our inflation
Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
16th Mar 15, 2:37pm
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZD-USD rate holding between 72 and 76 USc and sees the reasons in the US and Australia as much as local influences
Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
10th Mar 15, 8:55am
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Don't allow deflation doomsayers to dissuade you from prudent risk management of interest costs, says Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
9th Mar 15, 2:36pm
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Roger J Kerr points out the strong relationship we have with rainfall and why the current dry sets the tone for the currency
Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
2nd Mar 15, 3:05pm
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Roger J Kerr asks how sustainable the current totally “flat” NZ interest rate yield curve is
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
2nd Mar 15, 10:15am
Roger J Kerr sees a number of balancing factors both positive and negative for the NZ dollar; meaning the currency is likely to stay in its current range
Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
24th Feb 15, 9:45am
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Roger J Kerr says you should 'sell the Kiwi against the AUD' when you see media reports predicting parity
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
23rd Feb 15, 12:35pm
Roger J Kerr points out that there is likely a big jump coming in longer tenor swap rates and that creates opportunities for wholesale borrowers
Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
16th Feb 15, 3:36pm
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Adopting a 'heat map' approach, Roger J Kerr assesses whether the 'heat' is coming on for interest rate trends to reverse
Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
16th Feb 15, 2:17pm
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Roger J Kerr says rising dairy prices and the exit of speculators are among issues helping the value of the NZ currency - but there are still risks ahead
Roger J Kerr thinks the lower AUD and much more upside in Australian equities relative to other markets will boost the Aussie currency in 2015
10th Feb 15, 8:58am
Roger J Kerr thinks the lower AUD and much more upside in Australian equities relative to other markets will boost the Aussie currency in 2015