Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply

Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply

Roger J Kerr says it's quite possible the Kiwi dollar will drop to below US70c in coming weeks

Roger J Kerr says it's quite possible the Kiwi dollar will drop to below US70c in coming weeks

Roger J Kerr questions how the Reserve Bank can keep missing its inflation target with no apparent ramifications

Roger J Kerr questions how the Reserve Bank can keep missing its inflation target with no apparent ramifications

Roger J Kerr says conditions are now finally in place for a strengthening of the American currency and retreat of the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says conditions are now finally in place for a strengthening of the American currency and retreat of the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says the case for long-term interest rates having finally bottomed is a growing one

Roger J Kerr says the case for long-term interest rates having finally bottomed is a growing one

Roger J Kerr says the implications of US interest rate increases and a stronger US dollar in international currency markets over coming months are numerous and generally negative for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr says the implications of US interest rate increases and a stronger US dollar in international currency markets over coming months are numerous and generally negative for the Kiwi dollar

Roger J Kerr bemoans the unwillingness of the Reserve Bank to catch out the markets with an unexpected rate cut

Roger J Kerr bemoans the unwillingness of the Reserve Bank to catch out the markets with an unexpected rate cut

Roger J Kerr says a fall of about 7% to 10% in the TWI exchange rate would be needed for the RBNZ's inflation forecasts to be accurate

Roger J Kerr says a fall of about 7% to 10% in the TWI exchange rate would be needed for the RBNZ's inflation forecasts to be accurate

Roger J Kerr says failure of the Reserve Bank to act on September 22 could see the Kiwi dollar rise to US75c

Roger J Kerr says failure of the Reserve Bank to act on September 22 could see the Kiwi dollar rise to US75c

Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar should now come under downward pressure from a resurgent American currency

Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar should now come under downward pressure from a resurgent American currency

Roger J Kerr sees little downside for the RBNZ to now surprise the markets with another 0.25% OCR cut at the next review date in September

Roger J Kerr sees little downside for the RBNZ to now surprise the markets with another 0.25% OCR cut at the next review date in September

Roger J Kerr is holding his view that the NZD will revert back to the 67/69 USc range despite recent history. He explains why a decline is still coming

Roger J Kerr is holding his view that the NZD will revert back to the 67/69 USc range despite recent history. He explains why a decline is still coming

Roger J Kerr calls for a comprehensive study into the current components of CPI to disentangle 'technology advances' from 'price movements' to ensure it is still fit-for-purpose

Roger J Kerr calls for a comprehensive study into the current components of CPI to disentangle 'technology advances' from 'price movements' to ensure it is still fit-for-purpose

Roger J Kerr says fear and greed are seeing some fixed interest investors taking higher liquidity and market risks to get a yield return they want in a two-tier interest rate market

Roger J Kerr says fear and greed are seeing some fixed interest investors taking higher liquidity and market risks to get a yield return they want in a two-tier interest rate market

Roger J Kerr says interest rate differentials still matter in currency markets. But the bout between the RBNZ and the markets is stalemated at 72 USc and will need a circuit-breaker

Roger J Kerr says interest rate differentials still matter in currency markets. But the bout between the RBNZ and the markets is stalemated at 72 USc and will need a circuit-breaker

Roger J Kerr sees reasons to believe the US dollar will start to force down the value of the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr sees reasons to believe the US dollar will start to force down the value of the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr says having been forced to do a u-turn last month with their monetary policy stance, the RBNZ will be very conscious to deliver to market expectations this week

Roger J Kerr says having been forced to do a u-turn last month with their monetary policy stance, the RBNZ will be very conscious to deliver to market expectations this week

Roger J Kerr says while the US dollar is weaker for now, giving the Kiwi currency a boost, this situation will reverse

Roger J Kerr says while the US dollar is weaker for now, giving the Kiwi currency a boost, this situation will reverse

Roger J Kerr argues that the RBNZ should bite the bullet and cut interest rates by half a percentage point next week to a new low of 1.75%

Roger J Kerr argues that the RBNZ should bite the bullet and cut interest rates by half a percentage point next week to a new low of 1.75%

Roger J Kerr wonders if it will again be a case of 'up by the stairs and down by the elevator shaft' for the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr wonders if it will again be a case of 'up by the stairs and down by the elevator shaft' for the New Zealand currency

Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ's monetary policy u-turn as fully justified

Roger J Kerr sees the RBNZ's monetary policy u-turn as fully justified

Roger J Kerr says a still-lower Kiwi dollar in coming weeks is likely, particularly if the RBNZ revises its inflation forecasts down again

Roger J Kerr says a still-lower Kiwi dollar in coming weeks is likely, particularly if the RBNZ revises its inflation forecasts down again

Roger J Kerr hopes this week's RBNZ economic assessment doesn't end up going all around the houses

Roger J Kerr hopes this week's RBNZ economic assessment doesn't end up going all around the houses

Roger J Kerr says if upcoming dairy auctions and inflation data are stronger than expected the 'greater likelihood' is that the RBNZ will not cut interest rates next month

Roger J Kerr says if upcoming dairy auctions and inflation data are stronger than expected the 'greater likelihood' is that the RBNZ will not cut interest rates next month

Roger J Kerr says the balance of risks and importance between monetary policy and financial stability has been tilted in favour of the latter 'with the poor exporter paying the price'

Roger J Kerr says the balance of risks and importance between monetary policy and financial stability has been tilted in favour of the latter 'with the poor exporter paying the price'