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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says a combination of global factors with the perception that the next RBNZ interest rate cut may be the last helps firm the view that we have finally seen the bottom of the cycle
31st Oct 16, 10:33am
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Roger J Kerr says a combination of global factors with the perception that the next RBNZ interest rate cut may be the last helps firm the view that we have finally seen the bottom of the cycle
Roger J Kerr says the Clinton emails saga has injected some uncertainty into the US election outcome and therefore the outlook for the Kiwi dollar
31st Oct 16, 10:18am
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Roger J Kerr says the Clinton emails saga has injected some uncertainty into the US election outcome and therefore the outlook for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank now has the market conditions it wanted in order to nudge the New Zealand dollar lower again
25th Oct 16, 1:20pm
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Roger J Kerr says the Reserve Bank now has the market conditions it wanted in order to nudge the New Zealand dollar lower again
Roger J Kerr says the outcome of the Reserve Bank's latest survey of inflationary expectations next week will be crucial in deciding the approach our central bank takes
25th Oct 16, 11:56am
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Roger J Kerr says the outcome of the Reserve Bank's latest survey of inflationary expectations next week will be crucial in deciding the approach our central bank takes
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar had been overdue a sizeable downward correction
17th Oct 16, 11:48am
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Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar had been overdue a sizeable downward correction
Roger J Kerr says corporate borrowers who face major debt refinancing over the next year will be looking at significantly higher pricing
17th Oct 16, 11:33am
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Roger J Kerr says corporate borrowers who face major debt refinancing over the next year will be looking at significantly higher pricing
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar may fall as low as US68c sooner than most people expect
10th Oct 16, 12:01pm
Roger J Kerr says the New Zealand dollar may fall as low as US68c sooner than most people expect
Roger J Kerr says after an expected RBNZ cut to the OCR in early November, borrowers may be looking into 2017 and contemplating higher long-term interest rates
10th Oct 16, 11:46am
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Roger J Kerr says after an expected RBNZ cut to the OCR in early November, borrowers may be looking into 2017 and contemplating higher long-term interest rates
Roger J Kerr says events outside of New Zealand are likely to be the catalyst for an expected fall in the value of the Kiwi dollar
3rd Oct 16, 2:53pm
Roger J Kerr says events outside of New Zealand are likely to be the catalyst for an expected fall in the value of the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply
3rd Oct 16, 2:34pm
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Roger J Kerr says a crunch point is rapidly approaching as the demand for credit starts to exceed the supply
Roger J Kerr says it's quite possible the Kiwi dollar will drop to below US70c in coming weeks
26th Sep 16, 12:57pm
Roger J Kerr says it's quite possible the Kiwi dollar will drop to below US70c in coming weeks
Roger J Kerr questions how the Reserve Bank can keep missing its inflation target with no apparent ramifications
26th Sep 16, 12:40pm
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Roger J Kerr questions how the Reserve Bank can keep missing its inflation target with no apparent ramifications
Roger J Kerr says conditions are now finally in place for a strengthening of the American currency and retreat of the Kiwi dollar
19th Sep 16, 1:29pm
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Roger J Kerr says conditions are now finally in place for a strengthening of the American currency and retreat of the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the case for long-term interest rates having finally bottomed is a growing one
19th Sep 16, 12:58pm
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Roger J Kerr says the case for long-term interest rates having finally bottomed is a growing one
Roger J Kerr says the implications of US interest rate increases and a stronger US dollar in international currency markets over coming months are numerous and generally negative for the Kiwi dollar
12th Sep 16, 2:36pm
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Roger J Kerr says the implications of US interest rate increases and a stronger US dollar in international currency markets over coming months are numerous and generally negative for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr bemoans the unwillingness of the Reserve Bank to catch out the markets with an unexpected rate cut
12th Sep 16, 1:57pm
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Roger J Kerr bemoans the unwillingness of the Reserve Bank to catch out the markets with an unexpected rate cut
Roger J Kerr says a fall of about 7% to 10% in the TWI exchange rate would be needed for the RBNZ's inflation forecasts to be accurate
5th Sep 16, 1:38pm
Roger J Kerr says a fall of about 7% to 10% in the TWI exchange rate would be needed for the RBNZ's inflation forecasts to be accurate
Roger J Kerr says failure of the Reserve Bank to act on September 22 could see the Kiwi dollar rise to US75c
5th Sep 16, 1:22pm
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Roger J Kerr says failure of the Reserve Bank to act on September 22 could see the Kiwi dollar rise to US75c
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar should now come under downward pressure from a resurgent American currency
29th Aug 16, 1:24pm
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Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar should now come under downward pressure from a resurgent American currency
Roger J Kerr sees little downside for the RBNZ to now surprise the markets with another 0.25% OCR cut at the next review date in September
29th Aug 16, 12:45pm
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Roger J Kerr sees little downside for the RBNZ to now surprise the markets with another 0.25% OCR cut at the next review date in September
Roger J Kerr is holding his view that the NZD will revert back to the 67/69 USc range despite recent history. He explains why a decline is still coming
22nd Aug 16, 4:19pm
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Roger J Kerr is holding his view that the NZD will revert back to the 67/69 USc range despite recent history. He explains why a decline is still coming
Roger J Kerr calls for a comprehensive study into the current components of CPI to disentangle 'technology advances' from 'price movements' to ensure it is still fit-for-purpose
22nd Aug 16, 12:36pm
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Roger J Kerr calls for a comprehensive study into the current components of CPI to disentangle 'technology advances' from 'price movements' to ensure it is still fit-for-purpose
Roger J Kerr says fear and greed are seeing some fixed interest investors taking higher liquidity and market risks to get a yield return they want in a two-tier interest rate market
15th Aug 16, 2:15pm
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Roger J Kerr says fear and greed are seeing some fixed interest investors taking higher liquidity and market risks to get a yield return they want in a two-tier interest rate market
Roger J Kerr says interest rate differentials still matter in currency markets. But the bout between the RBNZ and the markets is stalemated at 72 USc and will need a circuit-breaker
15th Aug 16, 12:17pm
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Roger J Kerr says interest rate differentials still matter in currency markets. But the bout between the RBNZ and the markets is stalemated at 72 USc and will need a circuit-breaker
Roger J Kerr sees reasons to believe the US dollar will start to force down the value of the New Zealand currency
8th Aug 16, 11:21am
Roger J Kerr sees reasons to believe the US dollar will start to force down the value of the New Zealand currency