sign up log in
Want to go ad-free? Find out how, here.

Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr says international FX markets have reduced their US dollar exposures as the post election 'Trump rally' unwinds
22nd May 17, 9:27am
Roger J Kerr says international FX markets have reduced their US dollar exposures as the post election 'Trump rally' unwinds
Roger J Kerr doesn't see any new collapse in oil prices and therefore wonders where the price falls the RBNZ is predicting over the next 12 months will come from
22nd May 17, 9:11am
43
Roger J Kerr doesn't see any new collapse in oil prices and therefore wonders where the price falls the RBNZ is predicting over the next 12 months will come from
Roger J Kerr doesn't expect the current divergence between the rising value of our commodity export prices and the value of the Kiwi dollar to continue for long
15th May 17, 1:33pm
Roger J Kerr doesn't expect the current divergence between the rising value of our commodity export prices and the value of the Kiwi dollar to continue for long
Roger J Kerr disagrees with the Reserve Bank's benign view of inflation and believes the recent jump up in tradable inflation is not a temporary one-off that will rapidly reverse
15th May 17, 12:50pm
5
Roger J Kerr disagrees with the Reserve Bank's benign view of inflation and believes the recent jump up in tradable inflation is not a temporary one-off that will rapidly reverse
Roger J Kerr says several factors are holding back the NZ dollar at the moment, but he does see it rising back over US70c eventually
8th May 17, 1:08pm
10
Roger J Kerr says several factors are holding back the NZ dollar at the moment, but he does see it rising back over US70c eventually
Roger J Kerr wants to know why the RBNZ gives so much credence to its survey of inflationary expectations
8th May 17, 11:44am
29
Roger J Kerr wants to know why the RBNZ gives so much credence to its survey of inflationary expectations
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increased global trade barriers was seen as more of a medium to longer term downside risk to the NZ dollar, however the impact has come about much sooner than expected with the US lumber and dairy tariffs
1st May 17, 12:44pm
Roger J Kerr says the risk of increased global trade barriers was seen as more of a medium to longer term downside risk to the NZ dollar, however the impact has come about much sooner than expected with the US lumber and dairy tariffs
Roger J Kerr believes that both tradable and non-tradable inflation will move higher still during the remainder of this year
1st May 17, 11:33am
10
Roger J Kerr believes that both tradable and non-tradable inflation will move higher still during the remainder of this year
Roger J Kerr says higher commodity prices and inflation are positive for the Kiwi dollar
24th Apr 17, 12:02pm
Roger J Kerr says higher commodity prices and inflation are positive for the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr thinks we need to be watching 'the three Cs'; says nobody believes interest rates are going to stay low now - the only question is how much they will rise by
24th Apr 17, 10:36am
16
Roger J Kerr thinks we need to be watching 'the three Cs'; says nobody believes interest rates are going to stay low now - the only question is how much they will rise by
Roger J Kerr expects the New Zealand dollar will remain comfortably above US70c in coming months
18th Apr 17, 9:44am
Roger J Kerr expects the New Zealand dollar will remain comfortably above US70c in coming months
Roger J Kerr doesn't see the 'geo-political risk' inspired reversal of interest rates continuing for long, but says the recent drop has provided an opportunity
18th Apr 17, 9:30am
1
Roger J Kerr doesn't see the 'geo-political risk' inspired reversal of interest rates continuing for long, but says the recent drop has provided an opportunity
Roger J Kerr says periods of escalated geo-political tensions generally translate into a stronger US dollar
10th Apr 17, 10:54am
Roger J Kerr says periods of escalated geo-political tensions generally translate into a stronger US dollar
Roger J Kerr says with price pressures building in the domestic economy, non-tradable inflation will not continue to decline as it has done over recent times and the RBNZ may have to bring forward the timing for interest rate rises
10th Apr 17, 9:42am
1
Roger J Kerr says with price pressures building in the domestic economy, non-tradable inflation will not continue to decline as it has done over recent times and the RBNZ may have to bring forward the timing for interest rate rises
Roger J Kerr says global currency markets will be heavily focused on the trade relationships between the US and China this week
3rd Apr 17, 9:50am
Roger J Kerr says global currency markets will be heavily focused on the trade relationships between the US and China this week
Roger J Kerr says residential property developers with land and consents in hand are now turning to the non-bank lending providers to source the finance they need to make the projects happen
3rd Apr 17, 9:11am
5
Roger J Kerr says residential property developers with land and consents in hand are now turning to the non-bank lending providers to source the finance they need to make the projects happen
Roger J Kerr sees the positives and negatives for the New Zealand currency as balanced
27th Mar 17, 9:21am
1
Roger J Kerr sees the positives and negatives for the New Zealand currency as balanced
Roger J Kerr says borrowers should be taking advantage of the recent pull-back in US long-term bond yields
27th Mar 17, 9:00am
Roger J Kerr says borrowers should be taking advantage of the recent pull-back in US long-term bond yields
Roger J Kerr says dairy prices remain the wildcard in the performance of the NZ currency against its US counterpart
20th Mar 17, 1:47pm
1
Roger J Kerr says dairy prices remain the wildcard in the performance of the NZ currency against its US counterpart
Roger J Kerr says the real conundrum facing the Reserve Bank this week when looking at inflation forecasts is deciding when we will see wage increases feeding into higher costs
20th Mar 17, 12:25pm
7
Roger J Kerr says the real conundrum facing the Reserve Bank this week when looking at inflation forecasts is deciding when we will see wage increases feeding into higher costs
Roger J Kerr believes the Kiwi dollar selling interest is all but exhausted for the meantime
13th Mar 17, 11:28am
Roger J Kerr believes the Kiwi dollar selling interest is all but exhausted for the meantime
Roger J Kerr says if the $NZ exchange rate stays at current lower levels inflation may lift a lot quicker than everyone expected
13th Mar 17, 10:59am
7
Roger J Kerr says if the $NZ exchange rate stays at current lower levels inflation may lift a lot quicker than everyone expected
Roger J Kerr says the rapidly closing interest rate differential between the US and NZ currencies is coming right back into the market’s focus and prompting Kiwi dollar selling
6th Mar 17, 1:01pm
Roger J Kerr says the rapidly closing interest rate differential between the US and NZ currencies is coming right back into the market’s focus and prompting Kiwi dollar selling
Roger J Kerr says interest rate fixing decisions just got harder
6th Mar 17, 11:49am
12
Roger J Kerr says interest rate fixing decisions just got harder
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand companies manage their currency risks more actively than companies elsewhere
27th Feb 17, 12:55pm
Roger J Kerr says New Zealand companies manage their currency risks more actively than companies elsewhere