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Roger J Kerr

About

Roger J Kerr is Executive Chairman of Barrington Treasury Services NZ Limited. He has written commentaries on the NZ dollar since 1981.

Member for

15 years 4 months

Latest articles

Roger J Kerr sees higher inflation and earlier interest rate rises than those currently forecast
24th Oct 17, 9:35am
2
Roger J Kerr sees higher inflation and earlier interest rate rises than those currently forecast
Roger J Kerr says an inflation rate over 2% looks likely next year
16th Oct 17, 8:45am
13
Roger J Kerr says an inflation rate over 2% looks likely next year
Roger J Kerr says local US dollar exporting companies have been actively positioning their hedge books ahead of the decision on a new government
16th Oct 17, 8:26am
Roger J Kerr says local US dollar exporting companies have been actively positioning their hedge books ahead of the decision on a new government
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar could go up or down depending on the composition of the future government
9th Oct 17, 9:38am
Roger J Kerr says the Kiwi dollar could go up or down depending on the composition of the future government
Roger J Kerr says higher interest rates could be expected if we get a Labour-Greens-led government
9th Oct 17, 9:22am
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Roger J Kerr says higher interest rates could be expected if we get a Labour-Greens-led government
Roger J Kerr says interest rate markets will be forced to adjust pricing upwards as the Federal Reserve remains on track for further rate rises
2nd Oct 17, 9:26am
2
Roger J Kerr says interest rate markets will be forced to adjust pricing upwards as the Federal Reserve remains on track for further rate rises
Roger J Kerr says the composition of the future NZ Government will dictate what happens to the Kiwi dollar
2nd Oct 17, 8:33am
4
Roger J Kerr says the composition of the future NZ Government will dictate what happens to the Kiwi dollar
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar has surged as a result of the Reserve Bank of Australia's missteps; higher exchange rate puts pressure on RBNZ
24th Jul 17, 11:32am
Roger J Kerr says the NZ dollar has surged as a result of the Reserve Bank of Australia's missteps; higher exchange rate puts pressure on RBNZ
Roger J Kerr questions how long squeezed margins can continue for our three mobile service providers; markets will be watching RBNZ inflation forecasts closely
24th Jul 17, 11:08am
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Roger J Kerr questions how long squeezed margins can continue for our three mobile service providers; markets will be watching RBNZ inflation forecasts closely
Roger J Kerr now sees several factors leaving the New Zealand dollar open to a sell-off in FX markets; one factor not being reflected in the market yet is the possibility of a hung Parliament after September 23
17th Jul 17, 11:42am
Roger J Kerr now sees several factors leaving the New Zealand dollar open to a sell-off in FX markets; one factor not being reflected in the market yet is the possibility of a hung Parliament after September 23
Roger J Kerr says a combination of the pay equity adjustment in the public sector and shortages of skilled workers across multiple industries 'must certainly lead to upward wage pressures'
17th Jul 17, 11:15am
9
Roger J Kerr says a combination of the pay equity adjustment in the public sector and shortages of skilled workers across multiple industries 'must certainly lead to upward wage pressures'
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed is correct on the economic outlook and believes the US dollar should recover
10th Jul 17, 11:04am
Roger J Kerr says the US Fed is correct on the economic outlook and believes the US dollar should recover
Roger J Kerr sees high food prices likely leaving CPI inflation above Reserve Bank forecast levels
10th Jul 17, 10:43am
2
Roger J Kerr sees high food prices likely leaving CPI inflation above Reserve Bank forecast levels
Roger J Kerr says the 'risk/reward equation' suggests profit-taking from speculators will send the New Zealand dollar lower over coming weeks and months
3rd Jul 17, 9:28am
1
Roger J Kerr says the 'risk/reward equation' suggests profit-taking from speculators will send the New Zealand dollar lower over coming weeks and months
Roger J Kerr examines whether increasing wages and inflation are simply delayed or, for some reason, won't happen at all
3rd Jul 17, 9:12am
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Roger J Kerr examines whether increasing wages and inflation are simply delayed or, for some reason, won't happen at all
Roger J Kerr says political opinion polls will be as important as economic indicators in setting the direction of the Kiwi dollar in coming months
26th Jun 17, 11:17am
Roger J Kerr says political opinion polls will be as important as economic indicators in setting the direction of the Kiwi dollar in coming months
Roger J Kerr says recent sharp drops in oil prices support the Reserve Bank's view that inflation will ease again; current high value of NZ dollar has monetary conditions too tight
26th Jun 17, 10:18am
2
Roger J Kerr says recent sharp drops in oil prices support the Reserve Bank's view that inflation will ease again; current high value of NZ dollar has monetary conditions too tight
Roger J Kerr says the only thing that will drive the NZ currency back below US70 now would be a resurging American dollar
19th Jun 17, 1:12pm
Roger J Kerr says the only thing that will drive the NZ currency back below US70 now would be a resurging American dollar
Roger J Kerr believes markets will be forced to change their current stance and move future pricing of interest rates to higher levels
19th Jun 17, 12:51pm
3
Roger J Kerr believes markets will be forced to change their current stance and move future pricing of interest rates to higher levels
Roger J Kerr says with all the good news for the NZ economy already out, it's questionable how much better things can get for the NZ dollar
12th Jun 17, 11:07am
Roger J Kerr says with all the good news for the NZ economy already out, it's questionable how much better things can get for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says a resurgence of new issues of corporate bonds is to be expected, with the current levels of supply not meeting strong investor demand
12th Jun 17, 10:46am
4
Roger J Kerr says a resurgence of new issues of corporate bonds is to be expected, with the current levels of supply not meeting strong investor demand
Roger J Kerr looks at the choices large bond fund managers are facing, wondering how these will impact our long term interest rates
6th Jun 17, 2:22pm
3
Roger J Kerr looks at the choices large bond fund managers are facing, wondering how these will impact our long term interest rates
If the NZD was a share price for our economy, it would be a firm 'buy' or 'hold' recommendation. But the question is, are all the gains now priced in, asks Roger J Kerr
6th Jun 17, 2:04pm
If the NZD was a share price for our economy, it would be a firm 'buy' or 'hold' recommendation. But the question is, are all the gains now priced in, asks Roger J Kerr
Roger J Kerr sees an opportunity now to lock in low borrowing rates ahead of a period when public policy actions are likely to take rates higher
29th May 17, 12:12pm
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Roger J Kerr sees an opportunity now to lock in low borrowing rates ahead of a period when public policy actions are likely to take rates higher
Roger J Kerr says the respective AU and NZ government budgets during May highlight the contrasts between the two economies, and currency markets are marking New Zealand as the clear winner
29th May 17, 11:26am
Roger J Kerr says the respective AU and NZ government budgets during May highlight the contrasts between the two economies, and currency markets are marking New Zealand as the clear winner