AU$
The RBA cut rates by 25bp to 3.85% as expected and moved to a more dovish stance. The market priced additional easing and NZD/AUD gained. A weak government bond auction contributed to a surge in long end JGB yields
21st May 25, 7:55am
The RBA cut rates by 25bp to 3.85% as expected and moved to a more dovish stance. The market priced additional easing and NZD/AUD gained. A weak government bond auction contributed to a surge in long end JGB yields
Initial weak risk sentiment linked to the US credit rating downgrade reverses. US 30-year yields reached 5.04%, the highest level since late 2023, before retracing. US dollar broadly weaker
20th May 25, 7:46am
Initial weak risk sentiment linked to the US credit rating downgrade reverses. US 30-year yields reached 5.04%, the highest level since late 2023, before retracing. US dollar broadly weaker
Roger J Kerr says wild volatility from tariffs has left central banks in a total quandary on how to manage monetary policy
19th May 25, 8:42am
Roger J Kerr says wild volatility from tariffs has left central banks in a total quandary on how to manage monetary policy
US consumer sentiment falls to historical lows, inflation expectations shoot higher. Trump's tax bill fails early in the process, a rare event. Moody's downgrades US credit rating. NZ inflation expectations rise; domestic rates market underperforms
19th May 25, 7:24am
US consumer sentiment falls to historical lows, inflation expectations shoot higher. Trump's tax bill fails early in the process, a rare event. Moody's downgrades US credit rating. NZ inflation expectations rise; domestic rates market underperforms
In a heavy US data release day, activity and pricing indicators were weak, driving down US rates and supported US equities. The NZD and AUD underperform again
16th May 25, 7:53am
In a heavy US data release day, activity and pricing indicators were weak, driving down US rates and supported US equities. The NZD and AUD underperform again
US Treasury yields push higher as focus turns to the US fiscal outlook. US equities 'consolidate'. Despite talk, currency markets little-changed
15th May 25, 7:37am
US Treasury yields push higher as focus turns to the US fiscal outlook. US equities 'consolidate'. Despite talk, currency markets little-changed
US CPI report softer than expected, but rates market largely ignores it, with a focus on tariffs lifting future inflation; US Treasury yields push higher, with 10-year rate hitting 4.5%
14th May 25, 7:49am
US CPI report softer than expected, but rates market largely ignores it, with a focus on tariffs lifting future inflation; US Treasury yields push higher, with 10-year rate hitting 4.5%
Significant de-escalation of the US-China trade war a better outcome than expected. Equity markets have soared. Global rates are much higher, USD rises strongly
13th May 25, 7:40am
Significant de-escalation of the US-China trade war a better outcome than expected. Equity markets have soared. Global rates are much higher, USD rises strongly
Roger J Kerr outlines why the US dollar is still at risk to a further leg downwards from current levels
12th May 25, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr outlines why the US dollar is still at risk to a further leg downwards from current levels
US asset markets look ahead to trade talks between the US and China. US claims ‘substantial progress’ in the negotiations. Chinese exports were surprisingly strong in April. Currency markets subdued overall
12th May 25, 7:24am
US asset markets look ahead to trade talks between the US and China. US claims ‘substantial progress’ in the negotiations. Chinese exports were surprisingly strong in April. Currency markets subdued overall
Risk sentiment is higher on trade war de-escalation with a US and UK trade “framework”. US equities are up over 1% and Treasury yields are up 10-13bps. Hopes for trade deals have supported the USD across the board
9th May 25, 7:45am
Risk sentiment is higher on trade war de-escalation with a US and UK trade “framework”. US equities are up over 1% and Treasury yields are up 10-13bps. Hopes for trade deals have supported the USD across the board
US Fed held rates steady and indicated the risk of higher inflation and unemployment had risen. More signs of a de-escalation in the trade war. China announced range of measures of economic support
8th May 25, 7:52am
US Fed held rates steady and indicated the risk of higher inflation and unemployment had risen. More signs of a de-escalation in the trade war. China announced range of measures of economic support
US equities are lower, US Treasury yields are lower, and the USD is broadly weaker, with the market remaining fixated on tariffs and the impact for the US economy. Strong GDT dairy auction and oil prices rebound 3%
7th May 25, 7:49am
US equities are lower, US Treasury yields are lower, and the USD is broadly weaker, with the market remaining fixated on tariffs and the impact for the US economy. Strong GDT dairy auction and oil prices rebound 3%
Taiwan dollar surges again, driven by speculation on trade deals. US-Japan trade negotiations not looking good for Japan so far. Stronger than expected ISM survey assuages fear of US economic recession
6th May 25, 7:40am
Taiwan dollar surges again, driven by speculation on trade deals. US-Japan trade negotiations not looking good for Japan so far. Stronger than expected ISM survey assuages fear of US economic recession
Roger J Kerr says populist politicians promising the earth to get elected, invariably get found out when they discover it is impossible to deliver on the bribes offered up to the voters
5th May 25, 8:46am
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Roger J Kerr says populist politicians promising the earth to get elected, invariably get found out when they discover it is impossible to deliver on the bribes offered up to the voters