Bonds
Higher than expected US job openings data points to resilience in the US labour markets. UST yields rebound. The Eurozone narrowly avoids recession. Yields on Chinese 10-year bonds fell to the lowest level in more than 20 years
31st Jan 24, 7:55am
Higher than expected US job openings data points to resilience in the US labour markets. UST yields rebound. The Eurozone narrowly avoids recession. Yields on Chinese 10-year bonds fell to the lowest level in more than 20 years
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; migrants active house buyers, FHBs active mortgage borrowers, RBNZ holds the line, eyes on dairy prices, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
30th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; migrants active house buyers, FHBs active mortgage borrowers, RBNZ holds the line, eyes on dairy prices, swaps stable, NZD firm, & more
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
30th Jan 24, 7:52am
Markets in holding pattern but fully prices in April cut for ECB, dragging down European rates and EUR. Oil prices fall back after strong Asia open
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; less trade, more jobs, bigger intervention capacity, mortgage interest cost jumps, swaps firm, NZS holds, & more
29th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; less trade, more jobs, bigger intervention capacity, mortgage interest cost jumps, swaps firm, NZS holds, & more
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
29th Jan 24, 7:44am
US data confirm solid end to the year for consumer spending and inflation tracking near target. Tokyo CPI data comes in surprisingly soft. ECB speakers deliver mixed messages on prospects for near-term policy easing
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate cuts, more holiday interruptions, eyes on some large equity retreats, swaps little-changed, NZD stable, & more
26th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate cuts, more holiday interruptions, eyes on some large equity retreats, swaps little-changed, NZD stable, & more
GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
26th Jan 24, 8:34am
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GDP up an annualised 3.3% in Q4, PCE deflator at 1.5% and core PCE deflator at 2%. US Treasury market supported by the benign inflation backdrop, yields slightly lower. European rates and EUR lower. NZD flat just over 61 USc
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; both mortgage & TD rate changes, Crown accounts reveal slowdown, household savings up, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
25th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; both mortgage & TD rate changes, Crown accounts reveal slowdown, household savings up, swaps firm, NZD firm, & more
US equities rise to fresh record high. China surprises with 50bps cut to RRR; Bank of Canada drops tightening bias; Global PMI data support the market. NZ inflation moderates
25th Jan 24, 8:11am
US equities rise to fresh record high. China surprises with 50bps cut to RRR; Bank of Canada drops tightening bias; Global PMI data support the market. NZ inflation moderates
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; inflation falls but still high, real estate agent commissions at 4yr low, credit card use withers, swaps up, NZD forms, & more
24th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; inflation falls but still high, real estate agent commissions at 4yr low, credit card use withers, swaps up, NZD forms, & more
Stocks in Hong Kong surged amid reports that Chinese authorities are considering a range of measures to help stabilise equity markets after a significant period of weakness. The US dollar extended its 2024 gains
24th Jan 24, 7:50am
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Stocks in Hong Kong surged amid reports that Chinese authorities are considering a range of measures to help stabilise equity markets after a significant period of weakness. The US dollar extended its 2024 gains
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Service sector slips into contraction, DTIs coming, Fitch pares some ratings, farmer spending plans on hold, swaps unchanged, NZD falls, & more
23rd Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Service sector slips into contraction, DTIs coming, Fitch pares some ratings, farmer spending plans on hold, swaps unchanged, NZD falls, & more
US equities continue their record-breaking run, a contrast with the slump in Chinese equities. Global rates push lower, US 10-year rate down slightly. No change expected from the BoJ later today
23rd Jan 24, 7:48am
US equities continue their record-breaking run, a contrast with the slump in Chinese equities. Global rates push lower, US 10-year rate down slightly. No change expected from the BoJ later today
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Auckland house stock expands, yuan defended, nickel & lithium under pressure, swaps stable, NZD firms, & more
22nd Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; Auckland house stock expands, yuan defended, nickel & lithium under pressure, swaps stable, NZD firms, & more
The S&P500 reached a record high close underpinned by a strong performance by technology companies. US Fed speakers push back against near term rate cuts as the blackout period begins for the January FOMC
22nd Jan 24, 7:39am
The S&P500 reached a record high close underpinned by a strong performance by technology companies. US Fed speakers push back against near term rate cuts as the blackout period begins for the January FOMC
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate changes, ugly PMI, spotty tourism, surging immigration, IMF reports on Australia, swaps up, NZD down, & more
19th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more retail rate changes, ugly PMI, spotty tourism, surging immigration, IMF reports on Australia, swaps up, NZD down, & more
US 10-year rate up to a fresh high for the year of 4.15%, driven by US initial jobless claims showing a surprising fall to a 16-month low. Global forces push up NZ rates, with a weak first bond tender of the year not helping NZGBs
19th Jan 24, 7:48am
US 10-year rate up to a fresh high for the year of 4.15%, driven by US initial jobless claims showing a surprising fall to a 16-month low. Global forces push up NZ rates, with a weak first bond tender of the year not helping NZGBs
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; REINZ December data soft, Truckometer shows weakness, inflation components stay up, benefits little-changed, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
18th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; REINZ December data soft, Truckometer shows weakness, inflation components stay up, benefits little-changed, swaps up, NZD lower, & more
Global equites fell and bond yields moved higher as investors trimmed expectations for rate cuts by major central banks. US retail sales were higher than consensus estimates. 2-year treasury yields increased 15bps supporting the US dollar
18th Jan 24, 8:01am
Global equites fell and bond yields moved higher as investors trimmed expectations for rate cuts by major central banks. US retail sales were higher than consensus estimates. 2-year treasury yields increased 15bps supporting the US dollar
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; some credit card rates rise, a work visa rush, weak retail, dairy prices up, house prices down, swaps on hold, NZD soft, & more
17th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; some credit card rates rise, a work visa rush, weak retail, dairy prices up, house prices down, swaps on hold, NZD soft, & more
Lift in US Treasury yields during Asian session extended overnight; rates up 10-13bps across the curve for the day. Fed Governor Waller argues that, when the timing is right, the Fed Funds rate should be "lowered mechanically and carefully"
17th Jan 24, 7:47am
Lift in US Treasury yields during Asian session extended overnight; rates up 10-13bps across the curve for the day. Fed Governor Waller argues that, when the timing is right, the Fed Funds rate should be "lowered mechanically and carefully"
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; rate watch for cuts, QSBO picks up, job ads tumble, settlement balances rise as do the costs, swaps firm, NZD soft, & more
16th Jan 24, 3:59pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; rate watch for cuts, QSBO picks up, job ads tumble, settlement balances rise as do the costs, swaps firm, NZD soft, & more
S&P500 futures down slightly and US Treasury futures consistent with a lift in the 10-year rate. Euro area economic data continue to underwhelm but ECB commentary shows reluctance to cut rates; German rates push higher
16th Jan 24, 7:54am
S&P500 futures down slightly and US Treasury futures consistent with a lift in the 10-year rate. Euro area economic data continue to underwhelm but ECB commentary shows reluctance to cut rates; German rates push higher
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; both home loan and term deposit rates slip, grocery price pressure eases, markets price in -1% 2024 OCR cuts, swaps on hold, NZD soft, & more
15th Jan 24, 4:00pm
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A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; both home loan and term deposit rates slip, grocery price pressure eases, markets price in -1% 2024 OCR cuts, swaps on hold, NZD soft, & more
Softer than expected US producer prices support rally in global bonds. US 2-year treasury yields reached the lowest level since May. Weak inflation pressures and subdued demand for credit support the case for lower policy rates in China
15th Jan 24, 7:46am
Softer than expected US producer prices support rally in global bonds. US 2-year treasury yields reached the lowest level since May. Weak inflation pressures and subdued demand for credit support the case for lower policy rates in China