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A review of things you need to know before you go home on Monday; no retail rates changes, Sharesies shamed, ANZ wants RAM deal confidential, equities rise, swaps firm, NZD firm, bitcoin tops $50K, & more

A review of things you need to know before you go home on Monday; no retail rates changes, Sharesies shamed, ANZ wants RAM deal confidential, equities rise, swaps firm, NZD firm, bitcoin tops $50K, & more

Here are the key things you need to know before you leave work today.

MORTGAGE RATE CHANGES
None announced so far today.

TERM DEPOSIT RATE CHANGES
None here either.

COMPETING WELL BY IGNORING THE DETAILS
The Financial Markets Authority has issued a formal warning to Sharesies Limited and Sharesies Nominee Limited for failing to have sufficient anti-money laundering procedures, policies, and controls in place. This lack may have contributed to its turbocharged growth, an avoided cost load others couldn't get away with, even though no-one is suggesting Sharesies was actually used for money-laundering activities. They are now backfilling this capability. You do have to wonder if they would have got the start they did if they had had proper systems in place before bursting on the scene.

UPDATED: NEW CARBON PRICE UPPER LIMITS
The Government has announced new upper limits to the carbon price ETS. See here. The 2021 price is $50. The 2022 price has risen from $51/NZU to $70. For 2023 to goes to $78.40. In 2026 it goes to $110.15/NZU. (An NZU is one tone of CO2 equivalent.)

ROSS ASSET MANAGEMENT INVESTORS SETTLE CLASS ACTION CASE WITH ANZ
ANZ New Zealand says it has reached an agreed but 'confidential' settlement with a group of former Ross Asset Management (RAM) investors who brought a class action against the bank. RAM was tipped into liquidation in December 2012 after an investigation of its finances found only $10.24 mln in funds and not the $449.6 mln investors believed was being held. RAM was found to be a Ponzi scheme. ANZ was its bank. Legal action had sought more than $50 mln from ANZ, which now says the parties acknowledge they were all misled by RAM's David Ross. All matters relating to the settlement are confidential, and the parties will not be commenting further, ANZ says.

ANOTHER AUSSIE INSURER OUTPERFORMS BANKS
The NZ arm of health insurer NIB has reported New Zealand premium income rising +9.8% to NZ$278 mln. Their "underwriting result" (profit from insurance activities, excluding investment income of their reserves) was up +3.6%, mainly because they didn't get the usual kick-along from their travel insurance business. Price increases were a key to managing a rise. The Kiwi operations of this Aussie insurer are chaired by Tony Ryall. Returns on investment are substantial, which may be why they don't report them for New Zealand. For the whole Australian-based group, they reported a net profit after tax (NPAT) of AU$16a mln of which net investment income was AU$52 mln. Return on invested capital (ROIC) of 19.1% was similar to pre-pandemic levels - and much better than banks report.

MAKING GEM SING
Latitude Finance (operating in New Zealand as GEM, which they bought off GE Money) has reported a good H1 to June 30, 2021 with strong "volume momentum". This is a private equity-controlled business being pumped up for a float or trade sale 'soon'. Given that the overall finance company sector isn't growing that well these days, Latitude has jumped into BNPL. But they seem to managing handsome increases in New Zealand from personal loans and car loan, which they claim are up +46% year-on-year.

LIQUIDATOR WEIGHS CLAIMS AGAINST FE INVESTMENTS
The Auckland-based non-bank deposit taker FE Investments, which went under last year owing investors $55 mln, may face action from the liquidators.

BACK INTO SHRINKAGE
There were reports out today for August factory PMIs in Australia and Japan - and both are contracting at faster rates, both with their recent expansion now in their rear-view mirrors. In both cases, the delta variant of the pandemic is doing the damage.

PRESSURE STAYS INTENSE IN BOTH NZ & AUSTRALIA
There were another 818 new community cases in NSW today with another 698 not assigned to known clusters, so they are out of control. Their lockdown has been extended and they are now under curfew too. Victoria is reporting another 71 new cases today, so it is surging there too and their lockdown is extended, also with a curfew. Queensland is reporting just 2 new cases in a bright spot. ACT has 16 new cases. Overall in Australia, more than 30% of eligible Aussies are fully vaccinated, plus 21% have now had one shot so far. But vaccine hesitancy is a growing issue there. There were 3 new cases in New Zealand at the border, and 35 more in the community. 99 of our cases are in Auckland, eight in Wellington. So far, 23% of eligble Kiwis now have both shots, another 18% the initial shot.

GOLD FIRM
Compared to where we were when we opened this morning, the gold price is up slightly at US$1788 in early Asian trade and a firming of +US$7 from then.

EQUITIES GO RISK-ON
Asian markets have roared back in early trade today. Tokyo has started with a +1.7% list, Hong Kong with a +2.1% jump and Shanghai with a +1.2% rise to open the week. The ASX200 has started with a modest +0.4% rise in eraly Monday afternoon trade. The NZX50 is near the end of its Maonday session heading for a good +1.0% gain, impressive as it is on top of a weekly gain last week which the others can't claim. Z Energy (ZEL, #22) is caught up in a AU$2 bln takeover which helps. Mainfreight (MFT, #4), Precinct Properties (PCT, #20) and Meridien (MEL, #5) are bolstering the NZX50 today. Chorus, (CNU, #13) is struggling. On Wall Street, the S&P500 futures suggest a +0.3% rise at their opening tomorrow.

REARRANGEMENTS
Last week, the capitalisation of the NZX50 rose by +1.4% to $132.8 bln is a gain that wasn't matched in any major equity market elsewhere. For the year, this capitalisation is up +10.6% or +$12.7 bln. For the week, Spark (SPK, #2) overtook Auckland Airport (AIA, #3) and Fletcher Building (FBU) dropped one place down to 6th. We have updated the profiles for Fletcher Building (FBU), Spark (SPK), EBOS (EBO), Auckland International Airport (AIA), Skellerup (SKL) and Mercury (MCY) as their annual results were released.

SWAP & BONDS RATES QUIET
We don't have today's closing swap rates yet. They are probably holding, especially at the one year term. We will update this when the end-of-day data comes through. The 90 day bank bill rate is up +2 bps to 0.39% in a small bounce-back. The Australian Govt ten year benchmark rate is doup +3 bps from this morning at 1.10%. The China Govt ten year bond is slightly firmer at 2.88%. But the New Zealand Govt ten year is unchanged at 1.60% and now above the earlier RBNZ fix of 1.59% (-2 bps). The US Govt ten year is now at 1.28% and up +2 bps from where we opened this morning.

NZ DOLLAR TURNS UP
The Kiwi dollar is now at 68.5 USc, up +20 bps from today's open. Against the Aussie we are holding up at 95.7 AUc. Against the euro we are unchanged at 58.5 euro cents. The TWI-5 is now at 72.1 and a minro firming from both this time Friday, and where we opened this morning.


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BITCOIN ABOVE US$50,000 AGAIN
The bitcoin price is now at US$50,134 with a +3.0% rise from where we opened this morning. The last time we were abover US$50,000 was in May 2020. Volatility in the past 24 hours has been moderate at +/- 2.2%.

This soil moisture chart is animated here.

Keep ahead of upcoming events by following our Economic Calendar here ».

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29 Comments

With all that coming supply shortages, I think early Christmas shopping might be a good idea.

While stocks last.

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You talking about the Dow?

:)

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You're a card PDK. :-)

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beat inflation too

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Be quick!

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even though no-one is suggesting Sharesies was actually used for money-laundering activities

What a load of hypocrisy from the FMA. Blind Freddy knows NZ is rife with money laundering from the property bubble to the casino industry to professional services and to retail banking. And so now disruptor Sharesies gets tarred. Let me suggest this is just the old boys network clinging to their own interests.

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100%

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Cosy relationship between ASIC and Westpac exposed by Anthony Klan who was dumped by The Australian for actually doing investigative journalism but getting too close to the truth for comfort. The gouging of $8 bio from investors over 10 years is astounding but nothing is being done. In fact, it's much worse. ASIC and Westpac refuse to even answer questions about it.

https://www.theklaxon.com.au/home/asic-boss-silent-on-westpac-gouge

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Bunch of crims. Scotty and co up to their armpits in trying to destroy Aus Post banking ambitions so as to protect their banking mates. Dive into this...

https://www.theguardian.com/business/2021/may/26/senate-inquiry-calls-f…

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Oh yes. My impression of Scomo cannot be written here as it will not pass moderation. Still would love to know why his time at NZ Tourism has been covered up. I assume it was just passing lucrative advertising contracts to his mates and not following any fair tender process. He has a track record there. Barnaby Joyce, Angus Taylor are just a few of the rotten apples they have. It's endless.

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Anyone know what specifically sharesies are lacking in their policies? IIRC when I signed up they scanned my license and asked my source of income, the usual compliance theatre.

I assumed that the box ticking dance would have been enough to appease our esteemed beauracrats.

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Yes. I think my onboarding process was robust as well. What I suspect is that people are shifting cash out of banks to their Sharesies accounts.

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Is the cash segregated under client money rules and invested in TBills? Or is it re-deposited as co-mingled, unsecured funds at another bank?

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NZX-listed investments are held in the NZX Depository under the name New Zealand Depository Nominee Limited.

Money and fund investments are held in Sharesies Nominee Limited and the NZX Depository ‘on bare trust’.

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Thanks.

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A DL seems like a low bar for ID. Surely a passport or birth certificate would be required? Pretty sure from memory my Direct Broking account set up several years back required more than a DL.

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I think you will find the correct AML requirements are a lot more than just scanning a license (which any one can do) and answering a few questions. Try opening up an account at a new bank...

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bitcon hits 50 ...
a measure of how much shtf

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And Cardano on fire. Institutional FOMO ramping up.

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Doesn't seem to be meeting too much resistance at 50K yet.

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60K next ..6 figures by Xmas..

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That would be nice :)

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Control your ultra orthodox. Not that I'm saying it's out of the question.

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Ultra orthodox?

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Yes. Ultra orthodox as it applies to much of the crypto community. It has to do with religiosity. Perfect ex here would why is $100K an EOY target? Why is it not $92,349 or $128,4327? Like religion, $100K is easier to believe in. Like Ashley Church and his 7-year prophecy.

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So if someone says house prices will rise 25% next year they are Ultra Orthodox, or say a share target of $100 in 6 months. I think you are clutching at straws to find something negative in a positive.

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I think you are clutching at straws to find something negative in a positive.

Nope. I'm referring to how people frame things psychologically, which is tied to belief systems.

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I would have assumed 100k is just a wild guess based on unscientific reckons like pretty much any asset price predictions.

I'm not sure you can read much more into it than the fact that it's fun to guess the direction of the single most unpredictable asset class.

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Which is why it can't be a religion because it's FUN!

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