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Business confidence ended 2016 on a high, NZIER says, with pricing indicators pointing to an increase in inflation
With technology generating products at unbeatably low costs, and the gains accruing to very few, oddly voters are attracted political slogans suspicious of regulation. The status quo is getting dangerous
Maciej Kisilowski shows how disruption came to politics through an illiberal coalition of the working class and social reactionaries, in some places more viable than the social progressives
The challenge is to try to keep short term political quick-fixes from doing predictable long term damage, and ensure that monetary and fiscal policies work together effectively
Minxin Pei shows that the 'core leader' of China faces some steadfast internal political resistance, the risk of a real-estate market crash, and the corrosion of capital flight
Fathom Consulting shows how the relentless rise in the median age in Japan is now weighing heavily on young women and men entering adulthood today
Westpac looks at how the NZ dollar will respond to new risk profiles for US interest rates and the US dollar, and how the greenback fares against other majors
12th Jan 17, 9:51am
by Guest
Westpac looks at how the NZ dollar will respond to new risk profiles for US interest rates and the US dollar, and how the greenback fares against other majors
Donald Trump's popularity in China has plummeted after statements on contentious issues. The abrupt change in the way the US projects its power may now involve "throwing a few elbows" by both leaders, says Jeffrey Wasserstom
Despite the speed of rising dairy prices in 2016, Rabobank sees more to come as supply is constrained in many countries. But affordability may also become an issue for consumers
Social investment is the new Prime Minister’s signature policy and represents an internationally unique way of thinking about, designing and implementing social policy, says NZIER
Steven Pinker on the Second Law of Thermodynamics. Matter doesn’t spontaneously arrange itself. What needs to be explained is order, not disorder
With corporate funding of research, “there’s no scientist who comes out of this unscathed." Is science's collaboration with industry a Faustian bargain?
With US President-elect Donald Trump’s help, the “Chinese Century” may arrive sooner than anyone expected. By openly engaging with Taiwan, pointlessly pillorying China, and dismantling the TPP, Trump is simultaneously provoking and empowering China
Adan Alter says attention needs not only to be focused on the pattern of data, but how much data you have as well
Zhang Jun shows it is not easy being a Chinese company, with surcharges and taxes hobbling profitability, encouraging avoidance, and incentivising moves offshore. Inefficient SOEs impose large extra costs too
The Queen City bucks the usual holiday season trend with a sharp rise in the number of properties listed, little rise in asking prices, and a higher inventory of unsold stock: realestate.co.nz
Keynes ruled for 40 years. Then, a counterrevolution took hold, reflecting sharp criticism of his fiscal activism. After another 40 years, Keynes’ key idea is back, and Japan, for one, desperately needs to take it on board
29th Dec 16, 2:24pm
by Guest
Keynes ruled for 40 years. Then, a counterrevolution took hold, reflecting sharp criticism of his fiscal activism. After another 40 years, Keynes’ key idea is back, and Japan, for one, desperately needs to take it on board
Fathom Consulting shows how emotion has played its part by giving pre-Christmas returns a measureable bounce. But in the time of robo- and algorithmic trading, will that still apply?
28th Dec 16, 8:56am
by Guest
Fathom Consulting shows how emotion has played its part by giving pre-Christmas returns a measureable bounce. But in the time of robo- and algorithmic trading, will that still apply?
The latest Roy Morgan political poll shows National Party support down in December as PM Key resigns and Labour score easy by-election victory in Mt. Roskill
Kerry McDonald says exporters are losing 10-40% of the value from their exports because of an over-valued currency. He suggests shifting from using banks to convert US$ to NZ$ to using fintech and blockchain instead
New protections of land and intellectual-property rights in China are welcomed says Shang-Jin Wei. But the real work to protect these rights has a long way to go
Pollster Roy Morgan says new Prime Minister Bill English must find a solution to New Zealand’s growing ‘Housing Crisis’ – the largest problem facing New Zealanders in late 2016
Roger Partridge assesses the legacy of John Key as Prime Minister and finds an impressive record given the constraints of MMP
Fathom Consulting reminds us that each economic cycle has its own drivers, and those drivers are all about the public policy settings we choose
Paul Glass argues New Zealand should target a desired rate of population so we can plan for the necessary infrastructure and housing required rather than trying to play catch up