Currencies
US Fed held rates steady and indicated the risk of higher inflation and unemployment had risen. More signs of a de-escalation in the trade war. China announced range of measures of economic support
8th May 25, 7:52am
US Fed held rates steady and indicated the risk of higher inflation and unemployment had risen. More signs of a de-escalation in the trade war. China announced range of measures of economic support
US equities are lower, US Treasury yields are lower, and the USD is broadly weaker, with the market remaining fixated on tariffs and the impact for the US economy. Strong GDT dairy auction and oil prices rebound 3%
7th May 25, 7:49am
US equities are lower, US Treasury yields are lower, and the USD is broadly weaker, with the market remaining fixated on tariffs and the impact for the US economy. Strong GDT dairy auction and oil prices rebound 3%
Hélène Rey urges European officials to act quickly to capture some of the "exorbitant privilege" long enjoyed by the US dollar
6th May 25, 12:11pm
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Hélène Rey urges European officials to act quickly to capture some of the "exorbitant privilege" long enjoyed by the US dollar
Taiwan dollar surges again, driven by speculation on trade deals. US-Japan trade negotiations not looking good for Japan so far. Stronger than expected ISM survey assuages fear of US economic recession
6th May 25, 7:40am
Taiwan dollar surges again, driven by speculation on trade deals. US-Japan trade negotiations not looking good for Japan so far. Stronger than expected ISM survey assuages fear of US economic recession
Roger J Kerr says populist politicians promising the earth to get elected, invariably get found out when they discover it is impossible to deliver on the bribes offered up to the voters
5th May 25, 8:46am
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Roger J Kerr says populist politicians promising the earth to get elected, invariably get found out when they discover it is impossible to deliver on the bribes offered up to the voters
US equities higher after strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Meta; ISM PMI didn’t fall as much as expected, even if there are clear signs of cracks opening in the US economy. Chatter that the US is trying to initiate trade talks with China
2nd May 25, 7:43am
US equities higher after strong earnings reports from Microsoft and Meta; ISM PMI didn’t fall as much as expected, even if there are clear signs of cracks opening in the US economy. Chatter that the US is trying to initiate trade talks with China
US economy contracts in Q1 amid a pre-tariff implementation surge in imports. Absolute moves in financial markets relatively small despite the economic data deluge
1st May 25, 7:47am
US economy contracts in Q1 amid a pre-tariff implementation surge in imports. Absolute moves in financial markets relatively small despite the economic data deluge
US economic data awful - exploding trade deficit adds to Q1 GDP downside risk; weaker consumer confidence and drop in job openings. Some backdown on auto tariffs but China won't "kneel down" on trade war
30th Apr 25, 7:43am
US economic data awful - exploding trade deficit adds to Q1 GDP downside risk; weaker consumer confidence and drop in job openings. Some backdown on auto tariffs but China won't "kneel down" on trade war
Latest figures show RBNZ now has over $26.7 billion worth of cash for intervening if necessary in foreign exchange markets
29th Apr 25, 9:33am
Latest figures show RBNZ now has over $26.7 billion worth of cash for intervening if necessary in foreign exchange markets
China's foreign ministry confirms China and the US are NOT engaged in trade talks. Another poor Fed regional survey; plenty of media commentary on reduced China-US trade and prospect of empty US shelves ahead
29th Apr 25, 7:37am
China's foreign ministry confirms China and the US are NOT engaged in trade talks. Another poor Fed regional survey; plenty of media commentary on reduced China-US trade and prospect of empty US shelves ahead
Roger J Kerr says on any measurement you care to choose, the first 100 days of the second Donald Trump Presidency has been an unmitigated disaster
28th Apr 25, 9:12am
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Roger J Kerr says on any measurement you care to choose, the first 100 days of the second Donald Trump Presidency has been an unmitigated disaster
Positive risk sentiment continued despite conflicting news on tariff developments. The S&P advanced 0.7% extending its weekly gain to almost 5%. US treasury yields declined with limited economic data to provide direction
28th Apr 25, 7:29am
Positive risk sentiment continued despite conflicting news on tariff developments. The S&P advanced 0.7% extending its weekly gain to almost 5%. US treasury yields declined with limited economic data to provide direction
Maurice Obstfeld warns that fragmenting capital markets are putting the greenback's global primacy at risk
27th Apr 25, 10:00am
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Maurice Obstfeld warns that fragmenting capital markets are putting the greenback's global primacy at risk
Claim then denials on US tariff policy shifts. Softer European and US PMI data; US beige book shows early economic impact of tariffs. Equities rise, then fade. USD broadly stronger
24th Apr 25, 7:59am
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Claim then denials on US tariff policy shifts. Softer European and US PMI data; US beige book shows early economic impact of tariffs. Equities rise, then fade. USD broadly stronger
More positive mood music around trade and tariffs, with "significant progress" on a US-India trade deal and Bessent expecting de-escalating US-China trade tension. IMF slashes growth forecasts on the trade war
23rd Apr 25, 7:44am
More positive mood music around trade and tariffs, with "significant progress" on a US-India trade deal and Bessent expecting de-escalating US-China trade tension. IMF slashes growth forecasts on the trade war