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Roger J Kerr

Roger J Kerr says some cracks are starting to appear in the 'mighty US dollar' story
27th Jun 22, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says some cracks are starting to appear in the 'mighty US dollar' story
Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
20th Jun 22, 8:26am
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Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
13th Jun 22, 8:27am
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Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
6th Jun 22, 9:15am
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Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
30th May 22, 8:37am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
23rd May 22, 8:34am
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Roger J Kerr believes the recent bout of strength in the US dollar has now run its course
Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
16th May 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
9th May 22, 8:10am
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Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
Roger J Kerr assesses the issues causing the Kiwi dollar to be under pressure
2nd May 22, 7:02am
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Roger J Kerr assesses the issues causing the Kiwi dollar to be under pressure
Roger J Kerr reckons the bulk of our rapidly rising inflation can be attributed to policy positions of successive governments over the past 15 years, and the fall away of imported deflation has exposed a problem of our own making
25th Apr 22, 10:13am
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Roger J Kerr reckons the bulk of our rapidly rising inflation can be attributed to policy positions of successive governments over the past 15 years, and the fall away of imported deflation has exposed a problem of our own making
Roger J Kerr says that although the NZ dollar is at the bottom end of its trading range, it may get a boost of Q1-2022 CPI comes in above estimates. The RBNZ needs a higher dollar to mitigate this high inflation, he says
18th Apr 22, 8:04am
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Roger J Kerr says that although the NZ dollar is at the bottom end of its trading range, it may get a boost of Q1-2022 CPI comes in above estimates. The RBNZ needs a higher dollar to mitigate this high inflation, he says
Roger J Kerr says updated central bank messages have caused a 'boom-bust' environment for the NZ dollar
11th Apr 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says updated central bank messages have caused a 'boom-bust' environment for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says it appears that the speculative buying of the Kiwi dollar, that has dominated the local forex market recently, has run out of some steam
4th Apr 22, 8:42am
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Roger J Kerr says it appears that the speculative buying of the Kiwi dollar, that has dominated the local forex market recently, has run out of some steam
Roger J Kerr says the high level of short-sold Australian dollar speculative positions is now proving a benefit to that currency as the unwinding of them is forcing the Aussie dollar up
28th Mar 22, 8:13am
Roger J Kerr says the high level of short-sold Australian dollar speculative positions is now proving a benefit to that currency as the unwinding of them is forcing the Aussie dollar up
Roger J Kerr says two of the required four pre-conditions for the New Zealand dollar to appreciate over the next 12 months are already in place
21st Mar 22, 8:16am
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Roger J Kerr says two of the required four pre-conditions for the New Zealand dollar to appreciate over the next 12 months are already in place
Roger J Kerr says NZ exporters should not be complacent abut the financial risk of the Kiwi dollar appreciating against all currencies from current levels
14th Mar 22, 7:58am
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Roger J Kerr says NZ exporters should not be complacent abut the financial risk of the Kiwi dollar appreciating against all currencies from current levels
Roger J Kerr says further NZ dollar gains against the Euro appear likely if the Russian invasion continues and expands
7th Mar 22, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr says further NZ dollar gains against the Euro appear likely if the Russian invasion continues and expands
Roger J Kerr says so far, it appears the NZ dollar may have weathered 'Putin’s War', the Russian invasion of the Ukraine storm that hit financial and investment markets last week
28th Feb 22, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr says so far, it appears the NZ dollar may have weathered 'Putin’s War', the Russian invasion of the Ukraine storm that hit financial and investment markets last week
Roger J Kerr says it appears that the RBNZ will need to be more aggressive on their monetary tightening intentions than the markets are expecting in order to cause a more significant and permanent NZD appreciation
21st Feb 22, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says it appears that the RBNZ will need to be more aggressive on their monetary tightening intentions than the markets are expecting in order to cause a more significant and permanent NZD appreciation
Roger J Kerr says for the average, low-income household in New Zealand continuing rising costs 'is of much greater concern and impact than the mild Omicron strain'
14th Feb 22, 8:01am
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Roger J Kerr says for the average, low-income household in New Zealand continuing rising costs 'is of much greater concern and impact than the mild Omicron strain'
Roger J Kerr reckons the RBNZ's monetary tightening inflation objectives haven't worked out too well in their first four months, and they may need to bring out a bigger stick at their February review
7th Feb 22, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr reckons the RBNZ's monetary tightening inflation objectives haven't worked out too well in their first four months, and they may need to bring out a bigger stick at their February review
More aggressive tightening of monetary policy from the Fed, a change of policy from the RBA, and a more general loss of confidence locally has the NZD lagging badly
31st Jan 22, 8:15am
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More aggressive tightening of monetary policy from the Fed, a change of policy from the RBA, and a more general loss of confidence locally has the NZD lagging badly
Roger J Kerr explains why the NZD is falling against the AUD and why this might have some way to go yet, over coming weeks
24th Jan 22, 8:06am
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Roger J Kerr explains why the NZD is falling against the AUD and why this might have some way to go yet, over coming weeks
Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
17th Jan 22, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
10th Jan 22, 8:52am
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In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year