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GDP

ANZ economists say firms are increasingly pessimistic about the outlook for activity and profitability; cost and inflation pressures remain high; profit expectations have sagged to low levels similar to those seen after the GFC
30th Jun 22, 1:27pm
14
ANZ economists say firms are increasingly pessimistic about the outlook for activity and profitability; cost and inflation pressures remain high; profit expectations have sagged to low levels similar to those seen after the GFC
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
30th Jun 22, 12:04pm
81
RBNZ chief economist Paul Conway says there are reasons to think that some of the core market fundamentals that determine sustainable house prices may also be changing
ASB economists predict that consumer spending growth 'will weaken to anaemic levels later this year'
27th Jun 22, 2:34pm
61
ASB economists predict that consumer spending growth 'will weaken to anaemic levels later this year'
Economist Brian Easton crunches the recent March quarter GDP data
27th Jun 22, 8:46am
13
Economist Brian Easton crunches the recent March quarter GDP data
Roger J Kerr says some cracks are starting to appear in the 'mighty US dollar' story
27th Jun 22, 8:31am
5
Roger J Kerr says some cracks are starting to appear in the 'mighty US dollar' story
David Hargreaves thinks surveys might be a more useful indicator of trends ahead than we might sometimes give them credit for - but fears we may 'survey ourselves to death' as a potential recession approaches
25th Jun 22, 9:15am
5
David Hargreaves thinks surveys might be a more useful indicator of trends ahead than we might sometimes give them credit for - but fears we may 'survey ourselves to death' as a potential recession approaches
As the world faces the prospect of recession, David Hargreaves sifts through the events of the past two years in an attempt to put things in perspective
21st Jun 22, 1:33pm
83
As the world faces the prospect of recession, David Hargreaves sifts through the events of the past two years in an attempt to put things in perspective
Westpac McDermott Miller Confidence survey at lowest level ever as pessimism bites in NZ
21st Jun 22, 9:00am
66
Westpac McDermott Miller Confidence survey at lowest level ever as pessimism bites in NZ
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see the Reserve Bank making another two double-jumps in the OCR at the next two reviews; not ruling out 75 point hike in July
20th Jun 22, 12:13pm
60
ANZ economists have changed their call and now see the Reserve Bank making another two double-jumps in the OCR at the next two reviews; not ruling out 75 point hike in July
Economist Brian Easton says the outlook does not look that promising
20th Jun 22, 8:53am
11
Economist Brian Easton says the outlook does not look that promising
Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
20th Jun 22, 8:26am
10
Roger J Kerr says the Fed appear to be unbelievably slow in reading the lead indicators for the US economy
[updated]
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
16th Jun 22, 10:54am
203
The economy shrank in the three months to March, contrary to the expectations of the Reserve Bank, which had forecast 0.7% growth
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
14th Jun 22, 2:12pm
70
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is now picking house price falls in New Zealand, Australia, Canada, Sweden, the UK and Norway; flat prices in US
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show GDP growth in future years of only about 2%, while inflation's expected to now be more persistent
13th Jun 22, 2:33pm
8
NZIER's latest consensus forecasts show GDP growth in future years of only about 2%, while inflation's expected to now be more persistent
This week's release of March quarter GDP figures is likely to reflect the impact of the surge of Omicron - but the immediate prospects are for a future slowdown in any case
13th Jun 22, 10:16am
15
This week's release of March quarter GDP figures is likely to reflect the impact of the surge of Omicron - but the immediate prospects are for a future slowdown in any case
Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
13th Jun 22, 8:27am
13
Roger J Kerr says the expected 'V' shaped recovery in the NZD/USD rate to 0.6800 has had a set-back with this latest US inflation result
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
12th Jun 22, 6:00am
151
David Hargreaves sums up the first (nearly) six months of the year and outlines the big issues, hopes and worries for the rest of 2022
Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
6th Jun 22, 9:15am
27
Roger J Kerr sees the NZ dollar sustaining its upward momentum. He also wants to see the RBNZ's remit extended to encourage proactivity in tackling the non-tradable inflation drivers
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
3rd Jun 22, 8:30am
134
David Hargreaves looks at curious developments in the way the paths of potential interest rate rises are crossing the paths of potential inflation - and causing very real mortgage pain
ANZ's Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga on government fiscal policy, inflation and 'the climate new normal'
1st Jun 22, 1:52pm
4
ANZ's Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga on government fiscal policy, inflation and 'the climate new normal'
[updated]
The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
31st May 22, 1:24pm
57
The downbeat results from the ANZ Business Outlook survey suggest that the RBNZ may have to rethink its OCR hiking plan, according to BNZ economists
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
31st May 22, 11:20am
172
Independent global economic researcher Capital Economics is forecasting a 75-point reduction in the OCR in the second half of 2023 as house prices hit the bottom of the RBNZ's 'sustainable' range
In its final report on an inquiry into New Zealand long term immigration settings, the Productivity Commission recommends abolishing the category of 'permanent resident'
31st May 22, 12:01am
77
In its final report on an inquiry into New Zealand long term immigration settings, the Productivity Commission recommends abolishing the category of 'permanent resident'
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
30th May 22, 8:37am
12
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ is demanding respect and credibility - but it needs to earn it
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor
27th May 22, 10:52am
10
Stephen Roach contrasts the current US Federal Reserve chair's anti-inflation stance with that of his hawkish 1980s predecessor