GDP

Retail sales growth dives in December, up just +0.9% year-on-year

16 Jan 19, 11:43am

Surprising analysts, December retail sales end 2018 on a very weak note, even after removing the impact of falling petrol prices
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New bank capital rules to slow expected OCR hikes a little - Westpac economists

16 Jan 19, 9:23am

Jenée Tibshraeny

11 comments

Westpac economists challenge their ANZ counterparts, downplaying the effect higher proposed bank capital requirements will have on interest rates
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ANZ economists forecast OCR drop to 1.00% by 2020

20 Dec 18, 3:45pm

Jenée Tibshraeny

45 comments

Slower than expected GDP growth, major bank capital changes, and a gloomy global outlook prompt ANZ economists to jump off the fence and forecast 3 OCR cuts by 2020
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Quarterly economic growth the weakest in 5 years

20 Dec 18, 11:11am

Jenée Tibshraeny

62 comments

Economic growth slows more than expected; GDP growth falls to 0.3% in the September quarter, while annual growth falls to 3.0%
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Minimum wage to go up to $17.70 an hour on April 1

19 Dec 18, 12:03pm

Jenée Tibshraeny

79 comments

Govt announces min. wage increase of $1.20 an hour to take effect on April 1; Indicates further $1.20 and $1.10 hikes in 2020 and 2021; Bridges says National would increase the min. wage by 50c a year
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Some 'Christmas cheer' in December business confidence survey

18 Dec 18, 4:58pm

Jenée Tibshraeny

2 comments

Business confidence picks up to highest level since April according to ANZ survey; Tight credit conditions seen to be the loosest they've been in more than two years
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Calculating the risks

18 Dec 18, 12:15pm

Christian Hawkesby

14 comments

Harbour Asset Management pinpoints 10 key risks to look out for in the New Year
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New RBNZ bank capital proposals a victory for the NZ owned banks

17 Dec 18, 5:14pm

Gareth Vaughan

34 comments

Gareth Vaughan details how the RBNZ's proposals for NZ banks to hold more capital are a victory for the smaller NZ owned banks over their much bigger Aussie owned rivals
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ANZ says RBNZ capital proposals mean it would require $6b to $8b of new capital

17 Dec 18, 9:37am

Gareth Vaughan

29 comments

The ANZ Banking Group says ANZ NZ would need up to NZ$8 bln of new capital to meet RBNZ's new bank capital proposals
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This week's guest Top 10

14 Dec 18, 10:12am

Jarrod Kerr

7 comments

Jarrod Kerr with the Top 10 things to think about into 2019 from trade wars to yield curve inversion, wage growth, property, Italy and more
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RBNZ to study climate change impact on NZ house prices

13 Dec 18, 11:13am

David Hargreaves

31 comments

The Reserve Bank has released its climate change strategy, which will include studying the extent to which climate change is factored into the country's current house prices
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What to look out for from Robertson on Thursday

12 Dec 18, 7:52am

Jenée Tibshraeny

5 comments

Capacity constraints, prudence and wellbeing set to feature in the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update and Budget Policy Statement on Thursday
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BNZ economists cut GDP forecast

10 Dec 18, 2:42pm

David Hargreaves

5 comments

Falling manufacturing sales prompt BNZ to lower expectations of next week's GDP figures, while economists say economic growth figures could fall short of the Reserve Bank's expectations
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The RBNZ will let the economy run hotter for longer & keep lending rates lower for longer

7 Dec 18, 11:17am

Jarrod Kerr

49 comments

Hood the hawks: The outlook is strong but uncertain. The RBNZ has released the doves, Kiwibank's Jarrod Kerr & Jeremy Couchman say in their latest economic outlook
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This week's guest Top 10

30 Nov 18, 10:00am

Ryan Greenaway-...

20 comments

Ryan Greenaway-McGrevy on the Top Ten resolved and unresolved issues on the Tax Working Group’s proposed capital gains tax
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Unemployment plummets to 3.9%

7 Nov 18, 11:12am

David Hargreaves

110 comments

Stats NZ says unemployment rate now lowest since June 2008; Employment rate at 68.3% is highest since the series began 30 years ago; wage growth remains subdued
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Sharp decline in construction intentions

31 Oct 18, 1:14pm

David Hargreaves

32 comments

ANZ's latest Business Outlook Survey shows shows sharp drop in intentions to construct in both residential and commercial sectors; ANZ Chief Economist says next official interest rate move is more likely to be a cut than a hike
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Treasury has issues with advice quality and staff over-work

17 Oct 18, 3:30pm

David Hargreaves

5 comments

Treasury head Gabriel Maklouf says providing the new Government with advice on complex issues 'had an impact on the quality of what we could deliver' and also had an impact on the wellbeing of Treasury staff
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Inflation surges

16 Oct 18, 10:59am

David Hargreaves

44 comments

Stats NZ says prices rose 0.9% in the September quarter, giving an annual inflation rate of 1.9%; economists expected just a 0.7% quarterly rise
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Pumping it up

15 Oct 18, 11:44am

David Hargreaves

23 comments

We face the apparently contradictory situation in which inflation is strongly rising and yet the Reserve Bank will keep the possibility of interest rate cuts on the table
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