GDP
Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
17th Jan 22, 8:31am
33
Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
10th Jan 22, 8:52am
25
In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
20th Dec 21, 8:40am
2
In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
16th Dec 21, 11:00am
25
Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
15th Dec 21, 9:01am
127
ANZ economists are the last major bank to tip that house prices will drop - now picking a 4% decline next year
David Hargreaves looks at the difficult juggling act the Government is attempting with Air New Zealand
14th Dec 21, 2:52pm
27
David Hargreaves looks at the difficult juggling act the Government is attempting with Air New Zealand
Air New Zealand has reworked the terms of its financial support package from the Govt, including reduction in the amount of borrowing by $500 mln, but a new issue of redeemable shares up to $1 bln
14th Dec 21, 9:57am
12
Air New Zealand has reworked the terms of its financial support package from the Govt, including reduction in the amount of borrowing by $500 mln, but a new issue of redeemable shares up to $1 bln
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
14
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
13th Dec 21, 8:25am
10
Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
Kiwibank's economists say their 2022 outlook is one of cautious optimism, strong inflation and rising wages
12th Dec 21, 6:00am
113
Kiwibank's economists say their 2022 outlook is one of cautious optimism, strong inflation and rising wages
David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
9th Dec 21, 10:03am
148
David Hargreaves highlights some of the issues he's looking out for in 2022 and ponders what's looking increasingly like a very unpleasant legacy of the global pandemic
The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
7th Dec 21, 9:30am
16
The old favourites - Covid, closed borders and hot houses - ruled the year again. But Covid got much more up close and personal, and there's a menacing 'new', but familiar-looking, kid in town. David Hargreaves shares his views on the year that was
Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
6th Dec 21, 8:12am
1
Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
Over a fifty year sweep of our economic history we track the share employees win of all economic activity. It is similar to the world's largest economy
4th Dec 21, 3:27pm
43
Over a fifty year sweep of our economic history we track the share employees win of all economic activity. It is similar to the world's largest economy
Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
1st Dec 21, 1:49pm
26
Economists at three of the four largest banks now see house prices dropping in 2022
The Government says its $37.5 mln package for Auckland will 'help revive economic, social and cultural activities in our largest city over summer, and ensure those in hardship also get relief'
1st Dec 21, 11:00am
47
The Government says its $37.5 mln package for Auckland will 'help revive economic, social and cultural activities in our largest city over summer, and ensure those in hardship also get relief'
ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall, while cost and inflation pressures remained 'extreme'
30th Nov 21, 1:07pm
1
ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall, while cost and inflation pressures remained 'extreme'
Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
29th Nov 21, 11:49am
15
Independent economics researcher Capital Economics warns of potential further supply chain problems and inflationary pressures
Economist Brian Easton examines the evolution of our Covid policy looking through a war lens
29th Nov 21, 9:04am
8
Economist Brian Easton examines the evolution of our Covid policy looking through a war lens
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
29th Nov 21, 8:21am
4
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
BNZ economists anticipate ongoing interest rate increases and constrained household spending; a recession is 'possible' but not their 'central scenario' barring an external shock
22nd Nov 21, 2:12pm
42
BNZ economists anticipate ongoing interest rate increases and constrained household spending; a recession is 'possible' but not their 'central scenario' barring an external shock
Refining NZ say work 'well advanced' to prepare the Marsden Point site to operate as an import-terminal and to plan for the safe shutdown and decommissioning of the refinery
22nd Nov 21, 9:18am
29
Refining NZ say work 'well advanced' to prepare the Marsden Point site to operate as an import-terminal and to plan for the safe shutdown and decommissioning of the refinery
Roger J Kerr examines who the likely buyers of New Zealand currency will be over coming months and says there are sufficient positive forces to suggest the Kiwi dollar will appreciate in coming years
22nd Nov 21, 8:12am
3
Roger J Kerr examines who the likely buyers of New Zealand currency will be over coming months and says there are sufficient positive forces to suggest the Kiwi dollar will appreciate in coming years
The RBNZ's own much-watched Survey of Expectations shows that inflation's expected to be around 3% in two years time; survey results may spark increased speculation of a 50 basis point lift to the Official Cash Rate next week
18th Nov 21, 3:24pm
23
The RBNZ's own much-watched Survey of Expectations shows that inflation's expected to be around 3% in two years time; survey results may spark increased speculation of a 50 basis point lift to the Official Cash Rate next week
Westpac's head of NZ strategy Imre Speizer says the current rush to fix mortgages is likely to continue into next year, which will keep pressure on swap rates
17th Nov 21, 12:35pm
8
Westpac's head of NZ strategy Imre Speizer says the current rush to fix mortgages is likely to continue into next year, which will keep pressure on swap rates