Business Confidence

Roger J Kerr says the conventional wisdom that elevated political risk is negative for a particular currency has been challenged by recent events

Roger J Kerr says the conventional wisdom that elevated political risk is negative for a particular currency has been challenged by recent events

Roger J Kerr says the sharp drop in US employment takes precedence for the Fed and that is why there could be three or four interest rates cuts before the end of the year

Roger J Kerr says the sharp drop in US employment takes precedence for the Fed and that is why there could be three or four interest rates cuts before the end of the year

Roger J Kerr says the current Government has - thankfully - put out the welcome mat for offshore capital to invest here

Roger J Kerr says the current Government has - thankfully - put out the welcome mat for offshore capital to invest here

Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows business confidence generally was actually lower after the Reserve Bank's 'dovish' shift last week - but residential construction intentions were 'markedly higher'

Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows business confidence generally was actually lower after the Reserve Bank's 'dovish' shift last week - but residential construction intentions were 'markedly higher'

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ's actions last week suggest it is again looking backwards at weaker than forecast economic results rather than determining policy based on forecasts of future economic conditions

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ's actions last week suggest it is again looking backwards at weaker than forecast economic results rather than determining policy based on forecasts of future economic conditions

Roger J Kerr says the Fed will need to shift promptly from the current 'moderately restrictive' monetary policy to somewhere nearer a 'neutral' setting

Roger J Kerr says the Fed will need to shift promptly from the current 'moderately restrictive' monetary policy to somewhere nearer a 'neutral' setting

Roger J Kerr says the probability of a jumbo 0.50% US interest rate cut in September will increase if upcoming economic data prints on the softer side - which he expects it to do

Roger J Kerr says the probability of a jumbo 0.50% US interest rate cut in September will increase if upcoming economic data prints on the softer side - which he expects it to do

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and the markets have been fed fake news and misinformation on the state of the US economy as measured by employment trends

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and the markets have been fed fake news and misinformation on the state of the US economy as measured by employment trends

Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows a renewed slump in expected activity for both the construction and retail sectors: 'It appears residential builders are giving up on a recovery any time soon'

Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows a renewed slump in expected activity for both the construction and retail sectors: 'It appears residential builders are giving up on a recovery any time soon'

Roger J Kerr says a global trade scenario is emerging that could be of real benefit to New Zealand as an export-reliant economy

Roger J Kerr says a global trade scenario is emerging that could be of real benefit to New Zealand as an export-reliant economy

Roger J Kerr says if US inflation doesn't increase to levels feared by the Federal Reserve and financial market participants, due to Trump's import tariffs, their interest rates will be cut earlier and larger this year – devaluing the US dollar’s value

Roger J Kerr says if US inflation doesn't increase to levels feared by the Federal Reserve and financial market participants, due to Trump's import tariffs, their interest rates will be cut earlier and larger this year – devaluing the US dollar’s value

Roger J Kerr says it seems that if New Zealand house prices are not rising, the majority of the local economic commentators do not think the economy is performing - 'jaundiced and ill-informed attitudes that do not serve the public well'

Roger J Kerr says it seems that if New Zealand house prices are not rising, the majority of the local economic commentators do not think the economy is performing - 'jaundiced and ill-informed attitudes that do not serve the public well'

Roger J Kerr says the Australian equities market and the Australian dollar value would have to be considered strong candidates to meet the criteria of a relatively undervalued share market (vis-vis the US equities market) and undervalued currency level

Roger J Kerr says the Australian equities market and the Australian dollar value would have to be considered strong candidates to meet the criteria of a relatively undervalued share market (vis-vis the US equities market) and undervalued currency level

New Zealand firms still hopeful about an improvement in the economy despite demand remaining weak - latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion

New Zealand firms still hopeful about an improvement in the economy despite demand remaining weak - latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion

ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says the business environment continues to be difficult for many

ANZ chief economist Sharon Zollner says the business environment continues to be difficult for many