Business Confidence

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

NZIER says QSBO shows economic recovery starting to take shape with effects of lower interest rates flowing into broader economy. BNZ's Toplis sees 'clear signs' inflationary pressures are rising

Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out

Roger J Kerr is watching US jobs deteriorate rapidly – and the FX markets are slow to work it out

Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions

Roger J Kerr sees more confidence around getting a resurging NZ economy in 2026. But overhanging that will be US jobs data that will set the tone for Fed interest rate decisions

Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties

Roger J Kerr looks ahead seeing the US cutting interest rates when most other countries are either increasing or holding. US dollar depreciation appears likely given mediocre US economic performance and Trump policy uncertainties

Roger J Kerr says September quarter GDP numbers this week should confirm once and for all the performance of our economy in 2025 has been misunderstood, misread and misreported by the majority of economic forecasters

Roger J Kerr says September quarter GDP numbers this week should confirm once and for all the performance of our economy in 2025 has been misunderstood, misread and misreported by the majority of economic forecasters

Roger J Kerr says the likely Fed appointment is clearly another negative factor for the US dollar value as global investors/fund managers lose confidence in the independence of the Federal Reserve

Roger J Kerr says the likely Fed appointment is clearly another negative factor for the US dollar value as global investors/fund managers lose confidence in the independence of the Federal Reserve

David Hargreaves outlines the things he's watching out for in the coming year - but struggles to see beyond the potential large impact of the election campaign

David Hargreaves outlines the things he's watching out for in the coming year - but struggles to see beyond the potential large impact of the election campaign

Roger J Kerr says the poor quality of New Zealand’s economic data is damaging to our reputation as an advanced trading economy

Roger J Kerr says the poor quality of New Zealand’s economic data is damaging to our reputation as an advanced trading economy

ANZ chief economist says the improvement in sentiment 'is rooted in an improvement in experienced activity, not just hope'

ANZ chief economist says the improvement in sentiment 'is rooted in an improvement in experienced activity, not just hope'

Roger J Kerr says US interest rate markets are already placing their bets on which way the Fed decision will go

Roger J Kerr says US interest rate markets are already placing their bets on which way the Fed decision will go

Roger J Kerr says unless the RBNZ is seeing something he is not, the risks of over-stimulating seem to exceed those of just sitting pat

Roger J Kerr says unless the RBNZ is seeing something he is not, the risks of over-stimulating seem to exceed those of just sitting pat

Roger J Kerr says upcoming events are likely to prove negative for the US economy and therefore the US dollar value

Roger J Kerr says upcoming events are likely to prove negative for the US economy and therefore the US dollar value

Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of US dollar strength is likely to be as short-lived as all the previous upticks in the USD Index since the start of 2025

Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of US dollar strength is likely to be as short-lived as all the previous upticks in the USD Index since the start of 2025

Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows the highest level of business confidence since early in the year

Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows the highest level of business confidence since early in the year

Roger J Kerr sees markets expecting a US Fed rate cut believing the tariff-cost impact has largely passed, offset by other costs being restrained. For NZ, the bad news is now all behind us, and the NZD should rise from here

Roger J Kerr sees markets expecting a US Fed rate cut believing the tariff-cost impact has largely passed, offset by other costs being restrained. For NZ, the bad news is now all behind us, and the NZD should rise from here