Business Confidence
Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
16th May 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says there is clear evidence the US inflation rate will start to move down from the peak recorded in the year to March
Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
9th May 22, 8:10am
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Roger J Kerr asks some pertinent questions and proffers some answers on the way ahead for the New Zealand dollar
Credit bureau Centrix says business debt demand is starting to rise, suggesting improving business confidence
3rd May 22, 5:00am
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Credit bureau Centrix says business debt demand is starting to rise, suggesting improving business confidence
Roger J Kerr assesses the issues causing the Kiwi dollar to be under pressure
ANZ economists say the divergence between the outlooks of the residential and commercial construction sectors has never been greater; inflationary pressures in the economy remain intense
28th Apr 22, 1:27pm
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ANZ economists say the divergence between the outlooks of the residential and commercial construction sectors has never been greater; inflationary pressures in the economy remain intense
Roger J Kerr reckons the bulk of our rapidly rising inflation can be attributed to policy positions of successive governments over the past 15 years, and the fall away of imported deflation has exposed a problem of our own making
25th Apr 22, 10:13am
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Roger J Kerr reckons the bulk of our rapidly rising inflation can be attributed to policy positions of successive governments over the past 15 years, and the fall away of imported deflation has exposed a problem of our own making
Roger J Kerr says that although the NZ dollar is at the bottom end of its trading range, it may get a boost of Q1-2022 CPI comes in above estimates. The RBNZ needs a higher dollar to mitigate this high inflation, he says
18th Apr 22, 8:04am
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Roger J Kerr says that although the NZ dollar is at the bottom end of its trading range, it may get a boost of Q1-2022 CPI comes in above estimates. The RBNZ needs a higher dollar to mitigate this high inflation, he says
ANZ economists say latest survey results shows urgent need for RBNZ to hike rates; ANZ sees likely annual inflation of 7.1% as of March quarter end
12th Apr 22, 11:42am
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ANZ economists say latest survey results shows urgent need for RBNZ to hike rates; ANZ sees likely annual inflation of 7.1% as of March quarter end
Roger J Kerr says updated central bank messages have caused a 'boom-bust' environment for the NZ dollar
11th Apr 22, 8:22am
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Roger J Kerr says updated central bank messages have caused a 'boom-bust' environment for the NZ dollar
Roger J Kerr says it appears that the speculative buying of the Kiwi dollar, that has dominated the local forex market recently, has run out of some steam
4th Apr 22, 8:42am
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Roger J Kerr says it appears that the speculative buying of the Kiwi dollar, that has dominated the local forex market recently, has run out of some steam
Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows inflation expectations reaching a record survey high, while a 'remarkable' 96% of firms expect higher costs and their pricing intentions have moved into 'uncharted territory'
30th Mar 22, 1:17pm
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Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey shows inflation expectations reaching a record survey high, while a 'remarkable' 96% of firms expect higher costs and their pricing intentions have moved into 'uncharted territory'
Roger J Kerr says the high level of short-sold Australian dollar speculative positions is now proving a benefit to that currency as the unwinding of them is forcing the Aussie dollar up
28th Mar 22, 8:13am
Roger J Kerr says the high level of short-sold Australian dollar speculative positions is now proving a benefit to that currency as the unwinding of them is forcing the Aussie dollar up
Roger J Kerr says two of the required four pre-conditions for the New Zealand dollar to appreciate over the next 12 months are already in place
21st Mar 22, 8:16am
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Roger J Kerr says two of the required four pre-conditions for the New Zealand dollar to appreciate over the next 12 months are already in place
Roger J Kerr says NZ exporters should not be complacent abut the financial risk of the Kiwi dollar appreciating against all currencies from current levels
14th Mar 22, 7:58am
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Roger J Kerr says NZ exporters should not be complacent abut the financial risk of the Kiwi dollar appreciating against all currencies from current levels
Roger J Kerr says further NZ dollar gains against the Euro appear likely if the Russian invasion continues and expands
7th Mar 22, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr says further NZ dollar gains against the Euro appear likely if the Russian invasion continues and expands
Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey records massive hit to business confidence, while inflation and pricing expectations hit fresh survey highs
28th Feb 22, 1:22pm
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Latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey records massive hit to business confidence, while inflation and pricing expectations hit fresh survey highs
Roger J Kerr says so far, it appears the NZ dollar may have weathered 'Putin’s War', the Russian invasion of the Ukraine storm that hit financial and investment markets last week
28th Feb 22, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr says so far, it appears the NZ dollar may have weathered 'Putin’s War', the Russian invasion of the Ukraine storm that hit financial and investment markets last week
Roger J Kerr says it appears that the RBNZ will need to be more aggressive on their monetary tightening intentions than the markets are expecting in order to cause a more significant and permanent NZD appreciation
21st Feb 22, 8:32am
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Roger J Kerr says it appears that the RBNZ will need to be more aggressive on their monetary tightening intentions than the markets are expecting in order to cause a more significant and permanent NZD appreciation
Roger J Kerr says for the average, low-income household in New Zealand continuing rising costs 'is of much greater concern and impact than the mild Omicron strain'
14th Feb 22, 8:01am
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Roger J Kerr says for the average, low-income household in New Zealand continuing rising costs 'is of much greater concern and impact than the mild Omicron strain'
Roger J Kerr reckons the RBNZ's monetary tightening inflation objectives haven't worked out too well in their first four months, and they may need to bring out a bigger stick at their February review
7th Feb 22, 8:43am
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Roger J Kerr reckons the RBNZ's monetary tightening inflation objectives haven't worked out too well in their first four months, and they may need to bring out a bigger stick at their February review
More aggressive tightening of monetary policy from the Fed, a change of policy from the RBA, and a more general loss of confidence locally has the NZD lagging badly
31st Jan 22, 8:15am
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More aggressive tightening of monetary policy from the Fed, a change of policy from the RBA, and a more general loss of confidence locally has the NZD lagging badly
Freight hold-ups and labour shortages continue to put upward pressure on prices, hampering business confidence, according to the latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey
17th Dec 21, 2:34pm
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Freight hold-ups and labour shortages continue to put upward pressure on prices, hampering business confidence, according to the latest ANZ Business Outlook Survey
ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall, while cost and inflation pressures remained 'extreme'
30th Nov 21, 1:07pm
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ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall, while cost and inflation pressures remained 'extreme'
Anecdotes collected by ANZ staff paint a picture of a highly supply-constrained economy. Demand outside of COVID-affected areas is generally strong, and investment plans are generally going ahead
13th Nov 21, 10:21am
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Anecdotes collected by ANZ staff paint a picture of a highly supply-constrained economy. Demand outside of COVID-affected areas is generally strong, and investment plans are generally going ahead
Preliminary ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall and nearly all forward indicators ease
10th Nov 21, 1:18pm
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Preliminary ANZ Business Outlook Survey results for November saw business confidence fall and nearly all forward indicators ease