US

Roger J Kerr says the conventional wisdom that elevated political risk is negative for a particular currency has been challenged by recent events

Roger J Kerr says the conventional wisdom that elevated political risk is negative for a particular currency has been challenged by recent events

Roger J Kerr says the sharp drop in US employment takes precedence for the Fed and that is why there could be three or four interest rates cuts before the end of the year

Roger J Kerr says the sharp drop in US employment takes precedence for the Fed and that is why there could be three or four interest rates cuts before the end of the year

Roger J Kerr says the current Government has - thankfully - put out the welcome mat for offshore capital to invest here

Roger J Kerr says the current Government has - thankfully - put out the welcome mat for offshore capital to invest here

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ's actions last week suggest it is again looking backwards at weaker than forecast economic results rather than determining policy based on forecasts of future economic conditions

Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ's actions last week suggest it is again looking backwards at weaker than forecast economic results rather than determining policy based on forecasts of future economic conditions

Brian Easton asks: What can Econ101 tell us about Trump’s tariffs?

Brian Easton asks: What can Econ101 tell us about Trump’s tariffs?

Roger J Kerr says the Fed will need to shift promptly from the current 'moderately restrictive' monetary policy to somewhere nearer a 'neutral' setting

Roger J Kerr says the Fed will need to shift promptly from the current 'moderately restrictive' monetary policy to somewhere nearer a 'neutral' setting

Roger J Kerr says the probability of a jumbo 0.50% US interest rate cut in September will increase if upcoming economic data prints on the softer side - which he expects it to do

Roger J Kerr says the probability of a jumbo 0.50% US interest rate cut in September will increase if upcoming economic data prints on the softer side - which he expects it to do

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and the markets have been fed fake news and misinformation on the state of the US economy as measured by employment trends

Roger J Kerr says the US Fed and the markets have been fed fake news and misinformation on the state of the US economy as measured by employment trends

Roger J Kerr says a global trade scenario is emerging that could be of real benefit to New Zealand as an export-reliant economy

Roger J Kerr says a global trade scenario is emerging that could be of real benefit to New Zealand as an export-reliant economy

Roger J Kerr says if US inflation doesn't increase to levels feared by the Federal Reserve and financial market participants, due to Trump's import tariffs, their interest rates will be cut earlier and larger this year – devaluing the US dollar’s value

Roger J Kerr says if US inflation doesn't increase to levels feared by the Federal Reserve and financial market participants, due to Trump's import tariffs, their interest rates will be cut earlier and larger this year – devaluing the US dollar’s value

Roger J Kerr says it seems that if New Zealand house prices are not rising, the majority of the local economic commentators do not think the economy is performing - 'jaundiced and ill-informed attitudes that do not serve the public well'

Roger J Kerr says it seems that if New Zealand house prices are not rising, the majority of the local economic commentators do not think the economy is performing - 'jaundiced and ill-informed attitudes that do not serve the public well'

Roger J Kerr says the Australian equities market and the Australian dollar value would have to be considered strong candidates to meet the criteria of a relatively undervalued share market (vis-vis the US equities market) and undervalued currency level

Roger J Kerr says the Australian equities market and the Australian dollar value would have to be considered strong candidates to meet the criteria of a relatively undervalued share market (vis-vis the US equities market) and undervalued currency level

Roger J Kerr says the erratic Trump directly interfering in the workings of the independent Federal Reserve was just another reason for foreign investors to further reduce their confidence in the US Government and the US economy

Roger J Kerr says the erratic Trump directly interfering in the workings of the independent Federal Reserve was just another reason for foreign investors to further reduce their confidence in the US Government and the US economy

David Hargreaves has a look back at the first half of 2025 and hopes that we haven’t already seen the best part of the expected economic recovery this year

David Hargreaves has a look back at the first half of 2025 and hopes that we haven’t already seen the best part of the expected economic recovery this year

Roger J Kerr suggests the US Fed should be providing alternative scenarios to the markets, with likely monetary responses to each scenario

Roger J Kerr suggests the US Fed should be providing alternative scenarios to the markets, with likely monetary responses to each scenario