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Trade

Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
17th Jan 22, 8:31am
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Roger J Kerr says business confidence is falling because of the fear of re-imposed lockdowns as Omicron approaches. But he sees the NZD & AUD rising on USD weakness. Still, a tougher 2022 is on the cards, he says
In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
10th Jan 22, 8:52am
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In his first column for 2022, Roger J Kerr assesses the three major forces driving the relative value of the NZD, and how they are likely to play out in the new year
In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
20th Dec 21, 8:40am
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In his final column for 2021, Roger J Kerr summarises the forces that are expected to propel the Aussie dollar higher in 2022 and the Kiwi dollar with it
Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
16th Dec 21, 11:00am
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Country sees second largest ever quarterly fall in GDP - but the result shows increasing resilience in the face of lockdown restraints
This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
13th Dec 21, 10:18am
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This week's GDP figures expected to show a drop - but by nothing like the sort of drop economists earlier expected
Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
13th Dec 21, 8:25am
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Roger J Kerr says If the RBNZ were doing their job properly they would be putting considerable resources into lobbying, challenging and threatening the Govt of the day on the policies that are at the source of the consistently high non-tradable inflation
Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
6th Dec 21, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr says the latest bout of selling has more to do with the Kiwi dollar closely following the Aussie dollar in the currency markets - and the AUD has been slammed down
Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
29th Nov 21, 8:21am
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Roger J Kerr says the RBNZ stance and rhetoric in its Monetary Policy Statement last week was sufficiently circumspect to force the currency market punters to sell out of their long-NZD positions
Roger J Kerr examines who the likely buyers of New Zealand currency will be over coming months and says there are sufficient positive forces to suggest the Kiwi dollar will appreciate in coming years
22nd Nov 21, 8:12am
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Roger J Kerr examines who the likely buyers of New Zealand currency will be over coming months and says there are sufficient positive forces to suggest the Kiwi dollar will appreciate in coming years
Roger J Kerr says RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr should now 'fess up, grow some gonads and tell the Government and the interest rate markets where to go!'
15th Nov 21, 7:54am
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Roger J Kerr says RBNZ Governor Adrian Orr should now 'fess up, grow some gonads and tell the Government and the interest rate markets where to go!'
Roger J Kerr says the probability of the 'doomsday' scenario for the New Zealand economy in 2022 has arguably gone up a notch
8th Nov 21, 8:49am
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Roger J Kerr says the probability of the 'doomsday' scenario for the New Zealand economy in 2022 has arguably gone up a notch
Roger J Kerr: 'The implications for the economy and personal wellbeing are becoming increasingly apparent. We are still up sh*t creek without a paddle!'
1st Nov 21, 8:03am
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Roger J Kerr: 'The implications for the economy and personal wellbeing are becoming increasingly apparent. We are still up sh*t creek without a paddle!'
Statistics NZ says September was the third record month in a row for imports, with the figure reaching $6.6 billion - up 30% on the same month a year ago
27th Oct 21, 11:20am
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Statistics NZ says September was the third record month in a row for imports, with the figure reaching $6.6 billion - up 30% on the same month a year ago
Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management
25th Oct 21, 9:23am
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Roger J Kerr sees the future direction of the NZ dollar value as governed by varying doses of good luck and good management
New Zealand strikes free trade agreement with the United Kingdom; Benefits for meat exporters to be phased in over 15 years
21st Oct 21, 10:32am
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New Zealand strikes free trade agreement with the United Kingdom; Benefits for meat exporters to be phased in over 15 years
Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down
18th Oct 21, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the Government’s previous “smug complacency” has found us out with our pants down
Roger J Kerr says the currency markets are signalling that the performance of the NZ economy over the next 12 months is likely to be inferior to peers and competitors
11th Oct 21, 7:56am
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Roger J Kerr says the currency markets are signalling that the performance of the NZ economy over the next 12 months is likely to be inferior to peers and competitors
Roger J Kerr sees a day of reckoning and crunch-time ahead for the Kiwi dollar
4th Oct 21, 7:55am
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Roger J Kerr sees a day of reckoning and crunch-time ahead for the Kiwi dollar
Dairy company Synlait sees return to 'similar levels' of profits as prior to this year by 2023
27th Sep 21, 9:01am
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Dairy company Synlait sees return to 'similar levels' of profits as prior to this year by 2023
Roger J Kerr says the important thing from the RBNZ's October 6 rates review will be how the RBNZ sees the NZ economy extracting itself from the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus it has been supported by over the last 18 months
27th Sep 21, 8:02am
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Roger J Kerr says the important thing from the RBNZ's October 6 rates review will be how the RBNZ sees the NZ economy extracting itself from the massive fiscal and monetary stimulus it has been supported by over the last 18 months
Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets seem to be taking the view that the historical GDP growth numbers are questionable and the risks ahead for the NZ economy outweigh any positive past performance
20th Sep 21, 8:15am
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Roger J Kerr says the foreign exchange markets seem to be taking the view that the historical GDP growth numbers are questionable and the risks ahead for the NZ economy outweigh any positive past performance
To join this 'Coalition of the Waning': this AUKUS Pact created by the three military aggressors of the Iraq War; would not only be folly – it would be criminal folly
20th Sep 21, 8:02am
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To join this 'Coalition of the Waning': this AUKUS Pact created by the three military aggressors of the Iraq War; would not only be folly – it would be criminal folly
The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
16th Sep 21, 11:01am
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The 2.8% June quarter GDP rise beat market expectations of 1.2% and was up from a revised 1.4% in March
Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
15th Sep 21, 11:19am
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Global researcher Capital Economics says if the rise in shipping costs is fully passed on this will boost consumer prices globally by about 2%
Another big lockdown has once again changed the economic picture enormously, but GDP figures for the past quarter will still tell us some important things
13th Sep 21, 10:35am
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Another big lockdown has once again changed the economic picture enormously, but GDP figures for the past quarter will still tell us some important things