About
David Chaston is the publisher of interest.co.nz and is commited to ensuring readers get the latest information on interest rates, and the forces that move them.
David Chaston
Latest articles
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more big bonds, more FBU departures, DST ending, Aussie data sags, markets await NFPs, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
5th Apr 24, 3:59pm
65
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; more big bonds, more FBU departures, DST ending, Aussie data sags, markets await NFPs, swaps stable, NZD stable, & more
Markets see little risk of weak US labour market data; US & Canada exports rise; freight rates ease lower; world faces historic demographic change; UST 10yr 4.35%; gold oil lower; NZ$1 = 60.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
5th Apr 24, 7:20am
188
Markets see little risk of weak US labour market data; US & Canada exports rise; freight rates ease lower; world faces historic demographic change; UST 10yr 4.35%; gold oil lower; NZ$1 = 60.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69.4
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots sees rising sales, fewer building consents issued, weak spending, swaps little-changed, NZD up, & more
4th Apr 24, 3:59pm
43
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; no retail rate changes, Barfoots sees rising sales, fewer building consents issued, weak spending, swaps little-changed, NZD up, & more
Commerce Commission finds mortgage advisors face a conflict of interest because they are incentivised to recommend a lender who pays them the best commissions, even if that lender is not the best fit for the borrower
4th Apr 24, 7:28am
33
Commerce Commission finds mortgage advisors face a conflict of interest because they are incentivised to recommend a lender who pays them the best commissions, even if that lender is not the best fit for the borrower
Powell says rate cuts will come but slowly as US economy prosperous; China service sector expands; EU inflation falls; UST 10yr 4.36%; gold at another new high and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
4th Apr 24, 7:20am
67
Powell says rate cuts will come but slowly as US economy prosperous; China service sector expands; EU inflation falls; UST 10yr 4.36%; gold at another new high and oil up; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc; TWI-5 = 69.2
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, filled jobs rise but labour force rises faster, another huge syndicated bond success, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
3rd Apr 24, 4:02pm
75
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; dairy prices rise, filled jobs rise but labour force rises faster, another huge syndicated bond success, swaps firm, NZD weak, & more
Dairy prices rise; US economic data very positive; Country Garden in vortex; German inflation eases; Aussie house prices bifurcate; UST 10yr 4.36%; gold at new high and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69
3rd Apr 24, 7:19am
38
Dairy prices rise; US economic data very positive; Country Garden in vortex; German inflation eases; Aussie house prices bifurcate; UST 10yr 4.36%; gold at new high and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.6 USc; TWI-5 = 69
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; housing market's unsold inventory swells, Synlait in trouble, Rabobank in good shape, car sales sluggish, swaps up, NZD stays low, & more
2nd Apr 24, 3:59pm
58
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; housing market's unsold inventory swells, Synlait in trouble, Rabobank in good shape, car sales sluggish, swaps up, NZD stays low, & more
It helps to use a mortgage calculator that can handle a range of realistic options and solve for the answers you actually need, when your budget gets tight
2nd Apr 24, 9:35am
It helps to use a mortgage calculator that can handle a range of realistic options and solve for the answers you actually need, when your budget gets tight
China PMIs turn positive; other Asian factories up as well; US PMIs more positive; but US PCE inflation sticky; Aussie inflation expectations sticky too; UST 10yr 4.33%; gold at new and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69
2nd Apr 24, 7:19am
79
China PMIs turn positive; other Asian factories up as well; US PMIs more positive; but US PCE inflation sticky; Aussie inflation expectations sticky too; UST 10yr 4.33%; gold at new and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.4 USc; TWI-5 = 69
US Fed happy to wait for more inflation retreats; US sentiment rises; China's property crash pressures banks; India educated jobless extreme; UST 10yr 4.21%; gold at new record high and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
30th Mar 24, 9:00am
46
US Fed happy to wait for more inflation retreats; US sentiment rises; China's property crash pressures banks; India educated jobless extreme; UST 10yr 4.21%; gold at new record high and oil up; NZ$1 = 59.8 USc; TWI-5 = 69.1
Mortgage interest rates may have risen a lot, but David Chaston wonders if they are 'fair' or at least still in line with historic benchmarks
29th Mar 24, 1:38pm
3
Mortgage interest rates may have risen a lot, but David Chaston wonders if they are 'fair' or at least still in line with historic benchmarks
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; consumer & business sentiment sinks, benefits & minimum wage rise, debt growth timid, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
28th Mar 24, 3:59pm
99
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; consumer & business sentiment sinks, benefits & minimum wage rise, debt growth timid, swaps stable, NZD unchanged, & more
US mortgage applications sink back; China's profits rise off a very low base; Sweden signals rate cuts soon; Aussie inflation sticky; UST 10yr 4.19%; gold up and oil lower; NZ$1 = 60 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
28th Mar 24, 7:19am
108
US mortgage applications sink back; China's profits rise off a very low base; Sweden signals rate cuts soon; Aussie inflation sticky; UST 10yr 4.19%; gold up and oil lower; NZ$1 = 60 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no NZ Govt surplus likely either, new NZSF boss, dairy farmers face crunch, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
27th Mar 24, 3:59pm
94
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Wednesday; no retail rate changes, no NZ Govt surplus likely either, new NZSF boss, dairy farmers face crunch, swaps stable, NZD on hold, & more
US retail, factory order, and housing data all positive. But sentiment doesn't rise; Singapore gets factory boost; UST 10yr 4.24%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
27th Mar 24, 7:23am
70
US retail, factory order, and housing data all positive. But sentiment doesn't rise; Singapore gets factory boost; UST 10yr 4.24%; gold and oil firmer; NZ$1 = 60.1 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Bank of China moves retail rates, workers not feeling more job risk, FSCL issues warning to SMEs, swaps firm, NZD holds, & more
26th Mar 24, 4:00pm
82
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Tuesday; Bank of China moves retail rates, workers not feeling more job risk, FSCL issues warning to SMEs, swaps firm, NZD holds, & more
US data holds at good levels with GDP set to grow +2% in Q1-2024; UST yields hold; China at fork in road; Taiwan data good; cocoa prices zoom again; UST 10yr 4.26%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 60 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
26th Mar 24, 7:22am
101
US data holds at good levels with GDP set to grow +2% in Q1-2024; UST yields hold; China at fork in road; Taiwan data good; cocoa prices zoom again; UST 10yr 4.26%; gold and oil firm; NZ$1 = 60 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; most companies are tiny, many house auctions modest sales, 4 things to watch, NZGB trading modest, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
25th Mar 24, 3:59pm
42
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Monday; most companies are tiny, many house auctions modest sales, 4 things to watch, NZGB trading modest, swaps stable, NZD holds, & more
Aussie housing markets bubble up; China FDI growth dives; China pushes toward CPTPP membership; Japan exits deflation; UST 10yr 4.20%; gold firms and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 59.9 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
25th Mar 24, 7:20am
55
Aussie housing markets bubble up; China FDI growth dives; China pushes toward CPTPP membership; Japan exits deflation; UST 10yr 4.20%; gold firms and oil unchanged; NZ$1 = 59.9 USc USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
After China's FDI comes in low, a new push to join the CPTPP emerges; Japan out of deflation trap; Australia confident of financial system; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold holds and oil unchanged; NZ$1 < 60 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
23rd Mar 24, 8:33am
65
After China's FDI comes in low, a new push to join the CPTPP emerges; Japan out of deflation trap; Australia confident of financial system; UST 10yr 4.22%; gold holds and oil unchanged; NZ$1 < 60 USc; TWI-5 = 69.3
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; credit card rates rise, trade deficit shrinks, Mainzeal liquidation update, FPH update; swaps hold, NZD slips, & more
22nd Mar 24, 3:59pm
72
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Friday; credit card rates rise, trade deficit shrinks, Mainzeal liquidation update, FPH update; swaps hold, NZD slips, & more
ANZ adds back 1% to its credit card interest rates that it reduced during 'the low interest rate environment during Covid' with its standard cards now incurring a 20.95% rate
22nd Mar 24, 1:34pm
8
ANZ adds back 1% to its credit card interest rates that it reduced during 'the low interest rate environment during Covid' with its standard cards now incurring a 20.95% rate
US data positive with some unexpected surprises; Japan rises; India strong; some surprising central bank moves; Aussie labour market rises; UST 10yr 4.28%; gold up and oil slips; NZ$1 = 60.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
22nd Mar 24, 7:21am
56
US data positive with some unexpected surprises; Japan rises; India strong; some surprising central bank moves; Aussie labour market rises; UST 10yr 4.28%; gold up and oil slips; NZ$1 = 60.5 USc; TWI-5 = 69.6
[updated]
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; eyes on banking market study, Fonterra ups dividend, GDP shrinks especially per capita, swaps unchanged, NZD shifts, & more
21st Mar 24, 4:00pm
154
A review of things you need to know before you sign off on Thursday; eyes on banking market study, Fonterra ups dividend, GDP shrinks especially per capita, swaps unchanged, NZD shifts, & more