Mike Jones
ASB economists say even though debt burdens have increased, households should be able to tolerate reasonable increases in mortgage rates without budgets becoming unduly stressed
29th Jun 21, 1:53pm
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ASB economists say even though debt burdens have increased, households should be able to tolerate reasonable increases in mortgage rates without budgets becoming unduly stressed
ASB economists see single figure house price inflation by the end of next year; rents are now running hot in tandem with house prices
10th Mar 21, 11:26am
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ASB economists see single figure house price inflation by the end of next year; rents are now running hot in tandem with house prices
The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
3rd Feb 21, 3:24pm
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The shock drop in the unemployment rate has ended all talk of further official interest rate falls and is now prompting increased speculation of rates beginning to rise in 2022
Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped to 4.9% in the December quarter from 5.3%; economists had universally expected unemployment to rise
3rd Feb 21, 11:02am
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Statistics New Zealand says unemployment dropped to 4.9% in the December quarter from 5.3%; economists had universally expected unemployment to rise
Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
2nd Nov 20, 10:16am
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Economists think the unemployment rate will show a discernible lift for the September quarter, but the figures are not likely to be as bad as was being forecast earlier in the year
ASB economists say a much more severe shortage of housing than earlier thought is a key reason for rocketing house prices; 11% house price inflation forecast for June 2021 year
14th Oct 20, 9:23am
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ASB economists say a much more severe shortage of housing than earlier thought is a key reason for rocketing house prices; 11% house price inflation forecast for June 2021 year
Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
11th Aug 20, 5:00am
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Economists flag potential for quantitative easing to reach its limit if government spending and debt issuance end up being lower than forecast
Economists on average are picking unemployment to surge up from 4.2% to 5.7% for the June quarter - but they stress that the impact of the lockdown is going to make it difficult to get a clear picture
3rd Aug 20, 12:10pm
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Economists on average are picking unemployment to surge up from 4.2% to 5.7% for the June quarter - but they stress that the impact of the lockdown is going to make it difficult to get a clear picture
With unemployment figures likely to be unchanged at 4.2% there's little pressure on the Reserve Bank to make changes when it next reviews the Official Cash Rate on February 12
3rd Feb 20, 11:07am
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With unemployment figures likely to be unchanged at 4.2% there's little pressure on the Reserve Bank to make changes when it next reviews the Official Cash Rate on February 12
REINZ says number of residential properties sold across New Zealand in December 2019 increased by 12.3% from the same time last year to 6,285 up from 5,596; Auckland sales up 31.7% on same month a year earlier
16th Jan 20, 9:26am
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REINZ says number of residential properties sold across New Zealand in December 2019 increased by 12.3% from the same time last year to 6,285 up from 5,596; Auckland sales up 31.7% on same month a year earlier
The big bank economists are mulling what the flagging business confidence and drooping inflation expectations mean for the economy, with one economist even questioning whether the economy is heading for 'stall speed'
2nd Sep 19, 2:32pm
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The big bank economists are mulling what the flagging business confidence and drooping inflation expectations mean for the economy, with one economist even questioning whether the economy is heading for 'stall speed'
ASB economists say restrictions on non-resident house buying in NZ are 'biting' and this supports the ASB view that there will only be a 'modest' pick-up in house prices in the second half of this year
24th Jun 19, 1:22pm
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ASB economists say restrictions on non-resident house buying in NZ are 'biting' and this supports the ASB view that there will only be a 'modest' pick-up in house prices in the second half of this year
OCR hike in March fully priced in and market over-estimating probability of hike in January
12th Dec 13, 8:30am
OCR hike in March fully priced in and market over-estimating probability of hike in January
Expection is for strong demand for LGFA bonds; anticipation of increased offshore investor participation in 2014
11th Dec 13, 8:42am
Expection is for strong demand for LGFA bonds; anticipation of increased offshore investor participation in 2014
Swap curve steepens; markets pricing in January rate cut, BNZ says that's too soon
10th Dec 13, 8:09am
Swap curve steepens; markets pricing in January rate cut, BNZ says that's too soon
Markets expecting Fed to taper, RBNZ to raise OCR; strong data should result in strong signals on Thursday
9th Dec 13, 7:49am
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Markets expecting Fed to taper, RBNZ to raise OCR; strong data should result in strong signals on Thursday
BNZ believes current level of NZ$/A$ justified when looking at the trans-tasman fundamentals
6th Dec 13, 8:28am
BNZ believes current level of NZ$/A$ justified when looking at the trans-tasman fundamentals
2-10-year yield curve steepens further; BNZ see "fair value" for 2-year swaps at 3.70%
5th Dec 13, 8:26am
2-10-year yield curve steepens further; BNZ see "fair value" for 2-year swaps at 3.70%
Aussie Q3 GDP came in below expectations and the numbers show signs of soft domestic demand
5th Dec 13, 8:16am
Aussie Q3 GDP came in below expectations and the numbers show signs of soft domestic demand
2 and 5-year swaps are trading around recent highs; 5-year swap now seen as expensive from a hedging perspective
4th Dec 13, 7:49am
2 and 5-year swaps are trading around recent highs; 5-year swap now seen as expensive from a hedging perspective
Higher prices in Fonterra auction and ANZ Commodity Index components helping to strengthen NZ$ against majors
4th Dec 13, 7:39am
Higher prices in Fonterra auction and ANZ Commodity Index components helping to strengthen NZ$ against majors
Fears of adding support to the NZ$ is preventing the RBNZ from hiking the OCR before it needs to
3rd Dec 13, 8:35am
Fears of adding support to the NZ$ is preventing the RBNZ from hiking the OCR before it needs to
The A$ is weaker overnght and will remain in the spotlight today ahead of the RBA meeting
3rd Dec 13, 8:22am
The A$ is weaker overnght and will remain in the spotlight today ahead of the RBA meeting
Flattening of the yield curve as the short end continues to rise; market now fully pricing in OCR hike by March 2014
2nd Dec 13, 8:47am
Flattening of the yield curve as the short end continues to rise; market now fully pricing in OCR hike by March 2014
Sell-off in NZ$ surprising given strength of local data and fundamentals
2nd Dec 13, 8:32am
Sell-off in NZ$ surprising given strength of local data and fundamentals